Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Tesmec S.p.A is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range $0.0121 – $0.5343 · fair‑value band $0.1300 – $0.2600 · the $0.5100 price screens above the $0.2000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Tesmec S.p.A. designs, manufactures, and sells products, technologies, and integrated solutions for the construction, maintenance, and efficiency of infrastructures related to the transport and distribution of energy, data, and material. It operates through Energy, Trencher, and Railway segments.
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Tesmec S.p.A. designs, manufactures, and sells products, technologies, and integrated solutions for the construction, maintenance, and efficiency of infrastructures related to the transport and distribution of energy, data, and material. It operates through Energy, Trencher, and Railway segments. The company provides stringing solutions, such as digital stringing machines, automatic rope inspection systems, full electric machines, tower erection, OPGW installation and safety on crossing, essential machines, reels, ropes and joints, drum elevators and reel winders, stringing blocks, pivoting array blocks and head boards, bicycles and trolleys, aluminum structures, and overhead tools and accessories, as well as machines for special application; and underground machines, drum elevators and trailers, and tools and accessories. It offers energy automation products comprising protection and monitoring systems; remote control devices; service telecommunications; and smart metering tools. In addition, the company offers rocksaw, chainsaw, and bucket wheel trenchers; surface miners; detection and mapping solutions; mechanical laying solutions; and trenchers with integrated vacuum systems. Further, it provides catenary installation solutions, catenary and track maintenance vehicles, diagnostic solutions and systems, snow removal solutions, and wiring units for railway. The company operates in Italy, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North and Central America, Brazil, Russia, India, China, and internationally. Tesmec S.p.A. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Grassobbio, Italy.
Stock analysis
Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF) currently trades at $0.5100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2000, implying the stock looks roughly 155.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.2700 per share, and 3 of the 23 models we run sit above the $0.5100 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at $0.0500, and 20 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1300 (bear) to $0.2600 (bull), the price of $0.5100 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Tesmec S.p.A reported revenue of €255M in FY2025 versus €180M in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was €1.7M in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $307M · P/S ratio 1.05 · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% · Operating margin 7.2% · Revenue (TTM) $262M · Revenue growth (YoY) +7.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −61%, TSMCF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1300Fair Value $0.2000Bull $0.2600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
’19
’20
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’22
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → 9%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.16× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tesmec S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSMCF
Frequently asked questions
Is Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2000 versus a price of $0.5100, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TSMCF?
Our model-based fair value for Tesmec S.p.A is $0.2000 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5100.
What is the quality score of TSMCF?
Tesmec S.p.A has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2000 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1300, optimistic scenario $0.2600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tesmec S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2000, about −61% upside versus a price of $0.5100 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1300, optimistic scenario $0.2600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
Tesmec S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $262M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tesmec S.p.A would have to grow free cash flow by +26.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TSMCF use?
Our models discount Tesmec S.p.A at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.99, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tesmec S.p.A that is +26.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Tesmec S.p.A grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies +26.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tesmec S.p.A (+26.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.40 %: that much free cash flow Tesmec S.p.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tesmec S.p.A it is $0.2000 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.5100. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tesmec S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, TSMCF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.5100, fair value $0.2000, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TSMCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2000). For Tesmec S.p.A the two are $0.3100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tesmec S.p.A worth?
The market values Tesmec S.p.A at about $307M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.5100; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TSMCF?
Our models span a range for Tesmec S.p.A: cautious scenario $0.1300, base $0.2000, optimistic $0.2600 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $0.5100). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tesmec S.p.A (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 0.1%, debt of 1.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TSMCF from its 52-week high?
Tesmec S.p.A trades at $0.5100, about 2% below its 52-week high of $0.5200 and 1,175% above the low of $0.0400 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tesmec S.p.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tesmec S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.5100, calculated fair value $0.2000 (−61%), Quality Score 51/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TSMCF calculated?
We run Tesmec S.p.A through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Tesmec S.p.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Tesmec S.p.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.1300 to $0.2600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Tesmec S.p.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
The market capitalisation of Tesmec S.p.A is $307M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tesmec S.p.A is 1.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
The net margin of Tesmec S.p.A is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tesmec S.p.A is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tesmec S.p.A is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
The operating margin of Tesmec S.p.A is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF)?
Revenue at Tesmec S.p.A is growing +7.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Tesmec S.p.A (TSMCF) carry?
The net debt of Tesmec S.p.A is $125M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026