Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Tetra Technologies Inc $0.28, price $5.97, upside -95.3%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $0.2800 · Strongly overvalued (−95%)
!Quality 35/100
!Mixed Growth(revenue 5y +10.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers(2/14)
!Narrow moat29/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.13 – $12.32 · fair‑value band $0.2800 – $0.3600 · the $5.97 price screens above the $0.2800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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TETRA Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy services and solutions company. It operates through two segments, Completion Fluids & Products; and Water & Flowback Services.
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TETRA Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy services and solutions company. It operates through two segments, Completion Fluids & Products; and Water & Flowback Services. The Completion Fluids & Products segment manufactures and markets clear brine fluids, additives, and associated products and services to the oil and gas industry for use in well drilling, completion, and workover operations in the United States, as well as in Latin America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. This segment also markets liquid and dry calcium chloride products; and TETRA PureFlow ultra-pure zinc bromide to battery technology companies. Its Water & Flowback Services segment provides water management services for onshore oil and gas operators. This segment also offers frac flowback, early production facilities and services, production well testing, and other associated services in oil and gas producing regions in the United States, as well as in various basins in Latin America, Europe, and the Middle East. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Spring, Texas.
Stock analysis
Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI) currently trades at $5.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 2,032.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $1.57 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the $5.97 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.1100, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2800 (bear) to $0.3600 (bull), the price of $5.97 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Tetra Technologies Inc reported revenue of $631M in FY2025 versus $388M in FY2021, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was $3.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.5B · P/E ratio 99.5 · P/S ratio 0.47 · EPS (TTM) $0.0600 · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin 8.2%.
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 38% fair-value upside, at −95%, TTI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.1100 to $3.47). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $0.2800Fair Value $0.2800Bull $0.3600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0439 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.7% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−7.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 9%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+43.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +40.6% a year for the price and +5.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 378 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−95% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.64× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)99.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.28× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.38× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF76.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA18.1× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.82× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)12· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)68· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2800 versus a price of $5.97, about −95% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TTI?
Our model-based fair value for Tetra Technologies Inc is $0.2800 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.97.
What is the quality score of TTI?
Tetra Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2800 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2800, optimistic scenario $0.3600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tetra Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2800, about −95% upside versus a price of $5.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2800, optimistic scenario $0.3600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
Tetra Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $630M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tetra Technologies Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +43.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TTI use?
Our models discount Tetra Technologies Inc at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.21, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tetra Technologies Inc that is +43.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Tetra Technologies Inc grew +10.8 % a year. The price currently implies +43.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tetra Technologies Inc (+43.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.42 %: that much free cash flow Tetra Technologies Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tetra Technologies Inc it is $0.2800 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.97. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tetra Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TTI trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.97, fair value $0.2800, a gap of about −95% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TTI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2800). For Tetra Technologies Inc the two are $5.69 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tetra Technologies Inc worth?
The market values Tetra Technologies Inc at about $1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.97; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TTI?
Our models span a range for Tetra Technologies Inc: cautious scenario $0.2800, base $0.2800, optimistic $0.3600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TTI?
Tetra Technologies Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 99.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.8, P/B 5.3, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 18.1.
What is the PEG ratio of TTI?
The PEG ratio of Tetra Technologies Inc is 1.82 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tetra Technologies Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 3.0%, debt of 0.64 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TTI from its 52-week high?
Tetra Technologies Inc trades at $5.97, about 52% below its 52-week high of $12.32 and 8% above the low of $5.54 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tetra Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Poste Italiane S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tetra Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.97, calculated fair value $0.2800 (−95%), Quality Score 35/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TTI calculated?
We run Tetra Technologies Inc through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Tetra Technologies Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $5.97. Our model-based fair value is $0.2800, about −95% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tetra Technologies Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Tetra Technologies Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
The market capitalisation of Tetra Technologies Inc is $1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tetra Technologies Inc is 0.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
Earnings per share at Tetra Technologies Inc are $0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 99.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
The net margin of Tetra Technologies Inc is 0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tetra Technologies Inc is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tetra Technologies Inc is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
The operating margin of Tetra Technologies Inc is 8.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
Revenue at Tetra Technologies Inc is growing −0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI)?
Earnings per share at Tetra Technologies Inc are growing +100% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Tetra Technologies Inc (TTI) carry?
The net debt of Tetra Technologies Inc is $218M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026