EN DE
Data-driven stock valuation

Tullow Oil PLC ADR (TUWOY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Tullow Oil PLC ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Energy · US · Market cap $242M · ISIN US8994152028

At a glance

TO Tullow Oil PLC ADR logo Tullow Oil PLC ADR TUWOY · US
Price$0.1100
Fair Value$0.0700
Upside−36.4%
Quality30/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 57% above our fair value of $0.0700.

As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of Tullow Oil PLC ADR is $0.0700 per share against a price of $0.1100, so the fair value sits 36% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.8% net margin
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $0.0300 to $0.1000

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from $0.0722 to $0.0700 (−3.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +39.2% over the past month.

Watch Tullow Oil PLC ADR for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.0300 to $0.1000). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.4100 $0.0300 Fair Value $0.0700 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0300 – $0.4100 · fair‑value band $0.0300 – $0.1000 · the $0.1100 price screens above the $0.0700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Tullow Oil PLC ADR (TUWOY) currently trades at $0.1100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0700, implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.5100 per share, and 17 of the 23 models we run sit above the $0.1100 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0300, and 6 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tullow Oil PLC ADR generated revenue of $847M at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue declined 29.8% year over year. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Scenario range: $0.0300 (bear) to $0.1000 (bull), the price of $0.1100 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −36%, TUWOY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.4200 $0.6900 $1.09 79
Growth DCF $0.4100 $0.6400 $0.9600 78
Owner Earnings $0.5700 $0.9400 $1.48 75
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.4200 $0.6900 $1.09 79
Owner Earnings $0.5700 $0.9400 $1.48 75
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2900 $0.4800 $0.7200 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.6300 $1.18 $1.88 73
5Y P/E Exit $0.1700 $0.2200 $0.2600 72
10Y Revenue Exit $0.3300 $0.5100 $0.7700 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.5300 $0.9500 $1.61 66
10Y P/E Exit $0.2700 $0.3500 $0.4400 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0100 $0.0700 $0.1000 63
Lynch FV $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 61
PEG = 1.0 $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 57
EPV $0.3200 $0.3600 $0.3900 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.2300 $0.3900 $0.5000 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2300 $0.3700 $0.4200 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 62
P/S Multiple $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0500 58
EV/EBIT $0.5000 $0.6700 $0.8400 66
EV/EBITDA $0.8500 $1.14 $1.43 67
EV/Revenue $0.2200 $0.3200 $0.4200 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.4100 $0.6400 $0.9600 78
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2900 $0.4800 $0.7200 72
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.3200 $0.3600 $0.3900 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0500 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.5100) versus Earnings-Based ($0.0300). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

Notify me when TUWOY reaches fair value

Put TUWOY on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.29 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.0400
Net margin 0.8% FY2025
Return on equity −316% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 24.2% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $847M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −29.8% 3y avg −21.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +175%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $139M FY2025
Net debt $1.9B FY2025 · ≈ 13.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 31
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Tullow Oil plc, an energy company, develops, produces, and sells oil and gas resources in Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tullow Oil PLC ADR reported revenue of $851M in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound −9.8%/yr. Reported net income was $6.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$851M
Latest YoY
−44.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (38Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.7%
Value creation/yr (3Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−50.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−50.5%
Dividend yield0.0%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−72.9% (2020) → 24.5% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop757% (2020) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.8%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue −9.8%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $1.8B
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $851M
Net income
FY21 −$80.7M
FY22 $49.1M
FY23 −$110M
FY24 $54.6M
FY25 $6.5M

TUWOY screens 57% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Tullow Oil PLC ADR · Fair Value
$0.0700 −57%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tullow Oil PLC ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TUWOY

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 297 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −30% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.7× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 0.5× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 2.54× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Tullow Oil PLC ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+3.4 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years-9.4 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+1.4 %
FCF yield on price38.80 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models11.2 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 8
FUTURE0 · sector 7
PAST0 · sector 9
HEALTH100 · sector 87
DIVIDEND0 · sector 70

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥33.41 ¥32.55 −3%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $130.35 $90.15 −31%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ C$69.78 C$44.78 −36%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $143.35 $132.20 −8%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $60.04 $30.06 −50%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $199.22 $105.24 −47%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $48.06 $27.06 −44%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$32.55 A$20.71 −36%
EQT Corporation EQT $54.57 $42.85 −21%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $366.50 $77.26 −79%

Compare Tullow Oil PLC ADR with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Energy stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark

Frequently asked questions

Is Tullow Oil PLC ADR (TUWOY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0700 versus a price of $0.1100, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TUWOY?
Our model-based fair value for Tullow Oil PLC ADR is $0.0700 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1100.
What is the quality score of TUWOY?
Tullow Oil PLC ADR has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tullow Oil PLC ADR (TUWOY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0700 (as of Aug 30, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0300, optimistic scenario $0.1000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tullow Oil PLC ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0700, about −36% upside versus a price of $0.1100 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0300, optimistic scenario $0.1000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tullow Oil PLC ADR (TUWOY)?
Tullow Oil PLC ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $847M (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TUWOY?
The net profit margin of Tullow Oil PLC ADR is about 0.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What growth is priced into Tullow Oil PLC ADR (TUWOY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tullow Oil PLC ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +3.4 % per year for ten years (discount rate 11.2 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.4 % per year. As of Aug 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TUWOY use?
Our models discount Tullow Oil PLC ADR at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
Free · no account needed

Watch Tullow Oil PLC ADR in the live analysis

One click puts Tullow Oil PLC ADR on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.