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Tennessee Valley Authority (TVE) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $12.6M

TV Tennessee Valley Authority logo Tennessee Valley Authority TVE · US
Price$23.55
Fair Value$31.64
Upside+34.4%
Quality59/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $18.09 – $32.12 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $45,529 to $31.64 (−99.9%) since Jun 25, 2026.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$24.55 $22.75 Fair Value $31.64 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $22.75 – $24.55 · fair‑value band $18.09 – $32.12 · the $23.55 price screens below the $31.64 fair value. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Tennessee Valley Authority (TVE) currently trades at $23.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.64, implying the stock looks roughly 34.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Net debt stands at $49.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $18.09 (bear case) to $32.12 (bull case); at $23.55, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 45% fair-value upside, at 34%, TVE screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow $13.0M FY2025
Dividend yield 4.2%
Net debt $49.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Tennessee Valley Authority engages in the production and sale of electricity in the United States. It generates power from coal-fired, nuclear, hydroelectric facilities, and combustion turbine and diesel generators. The company sells power at wholesale to distributor customers comprising municipalities and cooperatives that resell the power to their customers at a retail rate. It also supplies power directly to federal agencies and customers with large or unusual loads, as well as customers with whom it has entered into exchange power arrangements. As of September 30, 2008, it operated various power generating facilities, including 29 conventional hydroelectric sites, 1 pumped storage hydroelectric site, 11 coal-fired sites, 3 nuclear sites, 11 combustion turbine sites, 2 diesel generator sites, 1 wind energy site, 1 digester gas site, 1 biomass cofiring site, and 15 solar energy sites. The company supplies power in Tennessee, northern Alabama, northeastern Mississippi, and …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tennessee Valley Authority reported revenue of $13.7B in FY2025 versus $10.5B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4B in FY2025, compounding −2.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +6.8%/yr
FY21 $10.5B
FY22 $12.5B
FY23 $12.1B
FY24 $12.3B
FY25 $13.7B
Net income −2.6%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $500M
FY24 $1.1B
FY25 $1.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tennessee Valley Authority Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TVE

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tennessee Valley Authority (TVE) undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.64 versus a price of $23.55, about +34% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TVE?
Our model-based fair value for Tennessee Valley Authority is $31.64 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $23.55.
What is the quality score of TVE?
Tennessee Valley Authority has a Quality Score of 59/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the net profit margin of TVE?
The net profit margin of Tennessee Valley Authority is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tennessee Valley Authority pay a dividend?
Tennessee Valley Authority currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.19% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.