Tennessee Valley Authority (TVE) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $12.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $45,529 to $31.64 (−99.9%) since Jun 25, 2026.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $22.75 – $24.55 · fair‑value band $18.09 – $32.12 · the $23.55 price screens below the $31.64 fair value. As of Jul 21, 2026.
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Tennessee Valley Authority (TVE) currently trades at $23.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.64, implying the stock looks roughly 34.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Net debt stands at $49.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $18.09 (bear case) to $32.12 (bull case); at $23.55, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 45% fair-value upside, at 34%, TVE screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Tennessee Valley Authority engages in the production and sale of electricity in the United States. It generates power from coal-fired, nuclear, hydroelectric facilities, and combustion turbine and diesel generators. The company sells power at wholesale to distributor customers comprising municipalities and cooperatives that resell the power to their customers at a retail rate. It also supplies power directly to federal agencies and customers with large or unusual loads, as well as customers with whom it has entered into exchange power arrangements. As of September 30, 2008, it operated various power generating facilities, including 29 conventional hydroelectric sites, 1 pumped storage hydroelectric site, 11 coal-fired sites, 3 nuclear sites, 11 combustion turbine sites, 2 diesel generator sites, 1 wind energy site, 1 digester gas site, 1 biomass cofiring site, and 15 solar energy sites. The company supplies power in Tennessee, northern Alabama, northeastern Mississippi, and …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tennessee Valley Authority reported revenue of $13.7B in FY2025 versus $10.5B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4B in FY2025, compounding −2.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.