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Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc stock $0.45, price $0.46, upside -2.6%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US

AA Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc logo Thin data Oct 31, 2026

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc

UAVS · US
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Low debt
Fair value $0.4505 · Fairly valued (−2.6%)
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +58.4 %/yr in USD)
Revenue last quarter 36% below a year ago.
Quality 38/100
Loss-making · -101.9% net margin (FY2025)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$4,270 $0.4626 Fair Value $0.4505 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.4626 – $4,270 · fair‑value band $0.2975 – $0.5610 · the $0.4626 price screens above the $0.4505 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 31, 2026.

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Company profile

AgEagle Aerial Systems, Inc., doing business as EagleNXT, through its subsidiaries, designs and delivers autonomous uncrewed aerial systems. It operates through Drones and Sensors segments.

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The company offers senseFly, an uncrewed aerial vehicle; MicaSense, a multi spectral camera; and Ground Control, a cloud-based plug-and-play operating system that enabled pilots and large enterprises to operate drone fleets, fly autonomously, collaborate globally, visualize data, and integrate with existing business systems and processes.

It also offers uncrewed aerial vehicles under the eBee TAC, eBee X, and eBee VISION brands; and sensor solutions, such as Altum-PT, RedEdge-P, RedEdge-Pdual, and REdEdge PTriple. It serves agriculture, military/defense, public safety, surveying/mapping, and utilities/engineering industries.

AgEagle Aerial Systems, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Allen, Texas.

Stock analysis

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS) currently trades at $0.4626, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4505, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.7%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $0.2975 (bear) to $0.5610 (bull), the price of $0.4626 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2018: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2018.

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc reported revenue of $12.8M in FY2025 versus $9.8M in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$13.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $34.1M Micro · P/S ratio 3.77 · EPS (TTM) $−0.7800 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin −102% · Return on equity −106% · Return on assets (EBIT) −77.1% · Operating margin −209%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −3%, UAVS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.2975 Fair Value $0.4505 Bull $0.5610
Price $0.4626 · Upside -2.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $0.3500 $0.5300 $0.6600 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3500 $0.5300 $0.6600 55

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 8
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 75
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 4
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2018: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2018.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+58.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+87.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−383.6% (2020) → −69.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 216 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −2.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −30.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −101.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −36.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.96× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 3.77× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)30 · sector 2
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 68
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)12 · sector 46

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sandisk Corporation SNDK $1,330 $2,221 +67% vs UAVS
HP Inc HPQ $31.83 $52.85 +66% vs UAVS
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$20.50 HK$33.71 +64% vs UAVS
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.25 ¥46.76 +37% vs UAVS
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $184.22 $161.40 −12% vs UAVS
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 327.50 TWD 213.20 TWD −35% vs UAVS
Western Digital Corporation WDC $380.88 $175.91 −54% vs UAVS
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $475.51 $195.72 −59% vs UAVS
Everpure, Inc P $137.20 $51.34 −63% vs UAVS
Seagate Technology Holdings STX $700.47 $208.25 −70% vs UAVS

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Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc · Fair Value
$0.4505 −3%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UAVS

Frequently asked questions

Is Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4505 versus a price of $0.4626, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of UAVS?
Our model-based fair value for Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc is $0.4505 (as of Oct 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4626.
What is the quality score of UAVS?
Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4505 (as of Oct 31, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2975, optimistic scenario $0.5610. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4505, about −3% upside versus a price of $0.4626 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.2975, optimistic scenario $0.5610. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.1M (latest available figure, as of Oct 31, 2026).
Does Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc pay a dividend?
Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.59% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 31, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc it is $0.4505 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026), against a price of $0.4626. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 31, 2026, UAVS trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.4626, fair value $0.4505, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UAVS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4626); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4505). For Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc the two are $0.0121 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc worth?
The market values Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc at about $34.1M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 31, 2026). Per share that is $0.4626; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4505 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UAVS?
Our models span a range for Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc: cautious scenario $0.2975, base $0.4505, optimistic $0.5610 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026, price $0.4626). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (as of Oct 31, 2026): return on equity −106.1%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UAVS from its 52-week high?
Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc trades at $0.4626, about 76% below its 52-week high of $1.91 and at the low of $0.4626 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4505 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Sandisk Corporation, Seagate Technology Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 31, 2026: price $0.4626, calculated fair value $0.4505 (−3%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UAVS calculated?
We run Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4505, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was $0.4626. Our model-based fair value is $0.4505, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($0.2975 to $0.5610) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
The market capitalisation of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc is $34.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc is 3.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
Earnings per share at Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc are $−0.7800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
The dividend yield of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc is 0.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
The net margin of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc is −102% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc is −106% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc is −77.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
The operating margin of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc is −209% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS)?
Revenue at Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc is growing −36.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS) generate?
The free cash flow of Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc is −$10.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc (UAVS) hold?
Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc holds more cash than debt, $27.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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