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Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 1.6T IDR (≈ $159M) · ISIN ID1000152903

What is Uni Charm Indonesia PT really worth?

UC Uni Charm Indonesia PT UCID · JK
Price510.00 IDR
Fair Value1,528 IDR
Upside+199.7%
Quality53/100

A solid business, trading 67% below our fair value of 1,528 IDR.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -14.9% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range 1,200 IDR – 1,857 IDR

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +23.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (1,200 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,511 IDR 353.65 IDR Fair Value 1,528 IDR Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 353.65 IDR – 1,511 IDR · fair‑value band 1,200 IDR – 1,857 IDR · the 510.00 IDR price screens below the 1,528 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID) currently trades at 510.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,528 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 66.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 1,597 IDR per share, and 7 of the 9 models we run sit above the 510.00 IDR price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 178.38 IDR, and 2 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Uni Charm Indonesia PT generated revenue of 7.8T IDR at a net margin of −14.9%. Revenue declined 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −22.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.8T IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,200 IDR (bear case) to 1,857 IDR (bull case); at 510.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 200%, UCID screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 198.03 IDR per share, which is 13.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 1,332 IDR 1,697 IDR 2,399 IDR 81
Growth DCF 1,376 IDR 1,733 IDR 2,369 IDR 80
5Y Revenue Exit 1,232 IDR 1,578 IDR 2,080 IDR 74
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,332 IDR 1,697 IDR 2,399 IDR 81
5Y Revenue Exit 1,232 IDR 1,578 IDR 2,080 IDR 74
10Y Revenue Exit 1,242 IDR 1,508 IDR 1,793 IDR 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 162.20 IDR 178.38 IDR 203.25 IDR 69
DDM Multi-Stage 162.20 IDR 207.01 IDR 271.82 IDR 67
Multiples
EV/Revenue 1,237 IDR 1,566 IDR 1,894 IDR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 556.15 IDR 745.24 IDR 1,112 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,376 IDR 1,733 IDR 2,369 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,232 IDR 1,597 IDR 2,045 IDR 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (1,597 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (178.38 IDR). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 1.7
P/S ratio 0.19 TTM
EPS (TTM) 295.00 IDR price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.7
Dividend yield 4.7% payout 8.1%
Net margin −15.0% FY2025
Return on equity −22.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 3.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 7.8T IDR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −7.8% 3y avg −8.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +140%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 350B IDR FY2025
Net cash 1.8T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT Uni-Charm Indonesia Tbk operates in the sanitary napkin industry in Indonesia. It operates through two segments: Diapers and Non Diapers. The company engages in the manufacture and sale of sanitary napkin, night wing, panty liners, and baby diapers; and feminine care, baby care, wellness care, and pet care.

Full company description

PT Uni-Charm Indonesia Tbk operates in the sanitary napkin industry in Indonesia. It operates through two segments: Diapers and Non Diapers. The company engages in the manufacture and sale of sanitary napkin, night wing, panty liners, and baby diapers; and feminine care, baby care, wellness care, and pet care. It also offers non-woven and tissue papers; and trading services. The company serves its products through CHARM, MamyPoko, Lifree, Fitti Pants, Certainty, Silcot, CharmNap Urine Dry, Unicharm pet, and Kirey Care Wipes brand names. PT Uni-Charm Indonesia Tbk was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Uni-Charm Indonesia Tbk is a subsidiary of Unicharm Corporation.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Uni Charm Indonesia PT reported revenue of 8.0T IDR in FY2025 versus 9.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2T IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 20/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.0T IDR
Latest YoY
−17.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −3.3%/yr
FY21 9.1T IDR
FY22 10.3T IDR
FY23 10.2T IDR
FY24 9.7T IDR
FY25 8.0T IDR
Net income
FY21 480B IDR
FY22 313B IDR
FY23 435B IDR
FY24 350B IDR
FY25 −1.2T IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Uni Charm Indonesia PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UCID

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 252 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on assets −4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −15% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth −8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 1.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 27
FUTURE0 · sector 7
PAST0 · sector 27
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND93 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
L'Oréal S.A LORL C$24.76 C$22.64 −9%
Unilever PLC UNA €55.92 €40.47 −28%
Colgate-Palmolive Company CL $90.75 $55.28 −39%
500696 500696 ₹2,093 ₹641.55 −69%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,015 ₹789.46 −61%
Kenvue Inc KVUE $18.98 $10.97 −42%
Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB $109.55 $79.71 −27%
Henkel AG HEN3 €75.82 €85.95 +13%
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc ESLA €86.54 €18.84 −78%
Church & Dwight Co CHD $101.26 $65.12 −36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,528 IDR versus a price of 510.00 IDR, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of UCID?
Our model-based fair value for Uni Charm Indonesia PT is 1,528 IDR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 510.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of UCID?
Uni Charm Indonesia PT has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
Uni Charm Indonesia PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.8T IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UCID?
The net profit margin of Uni Charm Indonesia PT is about −14.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Uni Charm Indonesia PT pay a dividend?
Uni Charm Indonesia PT currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.66% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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