Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Uni Charm Indonesia PT stock IDR 1,243, price IDR 416, upside +198.7%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 353.65 IDR – 1,493 IDR · fair‑value band 1,070 IDR – 1,425 IDR · the 416.00 IDR price screens below the 1,243 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 17, 2026.
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PT Uni-Charm Indonesia Tbk operates in the sanitary napkin industry in Indonesia. It operates through two segments: Diapers and Non Diapers.
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The company engages in the manufacture and sale of sanitary napkin, night wing, panty liners, and baby diapers; and feminine care, baby care, wellness care, and pet care. It also offers non-woven and tissue papers; and trading services.
The company serves its products through CHARM, MamyPoko, Lifree, Fitti Pants, Certainty, Silcot, CharmNap Urine Dry, Unicharm pet, and Kirey Care Wipes brand names. PT Uni-Charm Indonesia Tbk was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
PT Uni-Charm Indonesia Tbk is a subsidiary of Unicharm Corporation.
Stock analysis
Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID) currently trades at 416.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,243 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 66.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 1,566 IDR per share, and 7 of the 9 models we run sit above the 416.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 125.53 IDR, and 2 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1,070 IDR (bear) to 1,425 IDR (bull), the price of 416.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Uni Charm Indonesia PT reported revenue of 8.0T IDR in FY2025 versus 9.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2T IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.7T IDR (≈ $96.4M) · P/E ratio 1.3 · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) 327.00 IDR · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin −15.0% · Return on equity −19.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 199%, UCID screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear1,070 IDRFair Value 1,243 IDRBull1,425 IDR
Price 416.00 IDR · Upside +198.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (254.25 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.6% (2020) → −6.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside+198.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−16.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−12.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)2.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.7% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Uni Charm Indonesia PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UCID
Frequently asked questions
Is Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,243 IDR versus a price of 416.00 IDR, about +199% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of UCID?
Our model-based fair value for Uni Charm Indonesia PT is 1,243 IDR (as of Oct 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 416.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of UCID?
Uni Charm Indonesia PT has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,243 IDR (as of Oct 17, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,070 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,425 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Uni Charm Indonesia PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,243 IDR, about +199% upside versus a price of 416.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,070 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,425 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
Uni Charm Indonesia PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 17, 2026).
Does Uni Charm Indonesia PT pay a dividend?
Uni Charm Indonesia PT currently shows a dividend yield of 1.68% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 17, 2026).
What growth is priced into Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Uni Charm Indonesia PT would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.1 % per year. As of Oct 17, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UCID use?
Our models discount Uni Charm Indonesia PT at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.21, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Uni Charm Indonesia PT that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Uni Charm Indonesia PT grew -1.1 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Uni Charm Indonesia PT (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 20.24 %: that much free cash flow Uni Charm Indonesia PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Uni Charm Indonesia PT it is 1,243 IDR per share (as of Oct 17, 2026), against a price of 416.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Uni Charm Indonesia PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 17, 2026, UCID trades below its calculated fair value: price 416.00 IDR, fair value 1,243 IDR, a gap of about +199% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UCID?
No. The price is what the market pays today (416.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,243 IDR). For Uni Charm Indonesia PT the two are 826.63 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Uni Charm Indonesia PT worth?
The market values Uni Charm Indonesia PT at about 1.7T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 17, 2026). Per share that is 416.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,243 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UCID?
Our models span a range for Uni Charm Indonesia PT: cautious scenario 1,070 IDR, base 1,243 IDR, optimistic 1,425 IDR per share (as of Oct 17, 2026, price 416.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UCID?
Uni Charm Indonesia PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.3 (as of Oct 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,243 IDR is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
Balance-sheet figures for Uni Charm Indonesia PT (as of Oct 17, 2026): return on equity −19.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UCID from its 52-week high?
Uni Charm Indonesia PT trades at 416.00 IDR, about 22% below its 52-week high of 535.00 IDR and 18% above the low of 353.65 IDR (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,243 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Uni Charm Indonesia PT?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Uni Charm Indonesia PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 17, 2026: price 416.00 IDR, calculated fair value 1,243 IDR (+199%), Quality Score 53/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UCID calculated?
We run Uni Charm Indonesia PT through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,243 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Uni Charm Indonesia PT currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was 416.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,243 IDR, about +199% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Uni Charm Indonesia PT right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (1,070 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Uni Charm Indonesia PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
The market capitalisation of Uni Charm Indonesia PT is 1.7T IDR (≈ $96.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Uni Charm Indonesia PT is 0.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
Earnings per share at Uni Charm Indonesia PT are 327.00 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
The dividend yield of Uni Charm Indonesia PT is 1.7% (payout 2.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
The net margin of Uni Charm Indonesia PT is −15.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Uni Charm Indonesia PT is −19.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Uni Charm Indonesia PT is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
The operating margin of Uni Charm Indonesia PT is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
Revenue at Uni Charm Indonesia PT is growing +16.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID)?
Earnings per share at Uni Charm Indonesia PT are growing +140% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Uni Charm Indonesia PT (UCID) hold?
Uni Charm Indonesia PT holds more cash than debt, 1.8T IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 17, 2026