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Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 12, 2026: fair value of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt IDR 57, price IDR 69, upside -17.5%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · ID

TD Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt

UNTD · JK

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

Low debt
Fair value 56.94 IDR · Overvalued (−17.5%)
Quality 22/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −0.5 %/yr in IDR)
Loss-making · -20.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 11/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

219.53 IDR 58.00 IDR Fair Value 56.94 IDR Feb 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

32‑month range 58.00 IDR – 219.53 IDR · fair‑value band 53.98 IDR – 59.38 IDR · the 69.00 IDR price screens above the 56.94 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk designs, manufactures, and sells in bicycles and electric motorcycles in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Bicycle, Electric Bicycle, Electric Motorcycle, and Spare Parts segments.

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PT Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk designs, manufactures, and sells in bicycles and electric motorcycles in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Bicycle, Electric Bicycle, Electric Motorcycle, and Spare Parts segments. The company offers mountain bikes consisting of trail, XC, sport, DJ/BMX, and junior bikes; gravel, folding, city, kids, road, performance, and touring bikes; and e-mopeds. It also provides spare parts and accessories; and e-cargo vehicles. The company sells its products under the United Bike and United E-Motor brands through a network of dealers. PT Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Tangerang Selatan, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD) currently trades at 69.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 56.94 IDR, 17.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 56.44 IDR per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 69.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 31.93 IDR, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 53.98 IDR (bear) to 59.38 IDR (bull), the price of 69.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt reported revenue of 413B IDR in FY2025 versus 502B IDR in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −33.2B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 460B IDR (≈ $25.7M) · P/S ratio 1.10 · EPS (TTM) −13.48 IDR · Dividend yield 6.8% · Net margin −8.1% · Return on equity −16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin −26.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −17%, UNTD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 53.98 IDR Fair Value 56.94 IDR Bull 59.38 IDR
Price 69.00 IDR · Upside -17.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 29.64 IDR 31.93 IDR 33.91 IDR 71
ROIC Compounder 29.64 IDR 31.93 IDR 33.91 IDR 69
Gordon GGM 43.91 IDR 47.86 IDR 53.82 IDR 67
All 7 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV 29.64 IDR 31.93 IDR 33.91 IDR 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 43.91 IDR 47.86 IDR 53.82 IDR 67
DDM Multi-Stage 43.91 IDR 54.26 IDR 68.39 IDR 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT 42.40 IDR 51.49 IDR 60.58 IDR 66
EV/Revenue 33.51 IDR 41.39 IDR 49.27 IDR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 42.12 IDR 56.44 IDR 84.23 IDR 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 29.64 IDR 31.93 IDR 33.91 IDR 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 1
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 25
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 4/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−28.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.4% (2021) → 3.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

UNTD screens overvalued: fair value 17% below the price. Compare with Tesla, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 104 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −17.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −20.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −26.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 37.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)10 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 49

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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General Motors Company GM $82.01 $60.53 −26% vs UNTD
BYD Company 002594 ¥83.31 ¥61.43 −26% vs UNTD
Honda Motor Co HMC $31.67 $20.27 −36% vs UNTD
Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 €40.96 €22.09 −46% vs UNTD
Tesla, Inc TSLA $378.73 $40.97 −89% vs UNTD

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Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt · Fair Value
56.94 IDR −17%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UNTD

Frequently asked questions

Is Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 56.94 IDR versus a price of 69.00 IDR, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UNTD?
Our model-based fair value for Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt is 56.94 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 69.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of UNTD?
Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 56.94 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 53.98 IDR, optimistic scenario 59.38 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 56.94 IDR, about −17% upside versus a price of 69.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 53.98 IDR, optimistic scenario 59.38 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 450B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt pay a dividend?
Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.76% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt it is 56.94 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 69.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, UNTD trades above its calculated fair value: price 69.00 IDR, fair value 56.94 IDR, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UNTD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (69.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (56.94 IDR). For Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt the two are 12.06 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt worth?
The market values Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt at about 460B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 69.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 56.94 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UNTD?
Our models span a range for Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt: cautious scenario 53.98 IDR, base 56.94 IDR, optimistic 59.38 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 69.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −16.3%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UNTD from its 52-week high?
Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt trades at 69.00 IDR, about 44% below its 52-week high of 123.00 IDR and 19% above the low of 58.00 IDR (as of Oct 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 56.94 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, General Motors Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 69.00 IDR, calculated fair value 56.94 IDR (−17%), Quality Score 22/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UNTD calculated?
We run Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 56.94 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
The closing price on Oct 12, 2026 was 69.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 56.94 IDR, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (59.38 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (53.98 IDR to 59.38 IDR), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt

How large is the market capitalisation of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
The market capitalisation of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt is 460B IDR (≈ $25.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt is 1.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
Earnings per share at Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt are −13.48 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
The dividend yield of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt is 6.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
The net margin of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt is −8.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt is −16.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
The operating margin of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt is −26.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
Revenue at Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt is growing +37.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD)?
Earnings per share at Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt are growing −46.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD) generate?
The free cash flow of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt is −42.5B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt (UNTD) carry?
The net debt of Terang Dunia Internusa Tbk Pt is 413B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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