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Ford Motor Company (FMC1) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €59.4B

FM Ford Motor Company FMC1 · XETRA
Price€12.30
Fair Value€16.43
Upside+33.6%
Quality45/100
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Evidence: Medium Range €8.05 – €28.17

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from €16.17 to €16.43 (+1.6%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −13.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

€15.62 €9.32 Fair Value €16.43 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range €9.32 – €15.62 · fair‑value band €8.05 – €28.17 · the €12.30 price screens below the €16.43 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Ford Motor Company (FMC1) currently trades at €12.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €16.43 — implying the stock looks roughly 33.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ford Motor Company generated revenue of €190B at a net margin of -3.2%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.8%. Net debt stands at €142B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €8.05 (bear case) to €28.17 (bull case); at €12.30, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside — at 34%, FMC1 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €190B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.4%
Net margin -3.2%
Return on equity -14.8%
Free cash flow €12.5B FY2025
Operating margin 5.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-1.33
Dividend yield 4.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +431%
Net debt €142B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine and hybrid vehicles, electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers; develops EV and digital vehicle technologies, and software; and provides telematics and EV charging solutions. It also sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. In addition, it engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. Further, the company provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ford Motor Company reported revenue of €187B in FY2025 versus €136B in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€8.2B in FY2025.

Revenue +8.3%/yr
FY21 €136B
FY22 €158B
FY23 €176B
FY24 €185B
FY25 €187B
Net income
FY21 €17.9B
FY22 −€2.2B
FY23 €4.3B
FY24 €5.9B
FY25 −€8.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ford Motor Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FMC1

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mahindra & Mahindra Limited MHID $31.10 $36.77 +18%
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $177.16 $230.51 +30%
VOW3 VOW3 €87.66 €93.91 +7%
BYD Company 81211 HK$67.90 HK$42.60 -37%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 581,000 KRW 496,527 KRW -15%
Tesla, Inc TSLA 39,580 ARS 29,518 ARS -25%
General Motors Company GM 1,456 MXN 864.84 MXN -41%
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N 1,909 MXN 159.05 MXN -92%
Ferrari N.V RACE €306.20 €181.80 -41%
Mercedes-Benz Group MBG CHF 42.70 CHF 81.59 +91%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ford Motor Company (FMC1) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €16.43 versus a price of €12.30 — about +34% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of FMC1?
Our model-based fair value for Ford Motor Company is €16.43 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €12.30.
What is the quality score of FMC1?
Ford Motor Company has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Ford Motor Company (FMC1)?
Ford Motor Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €190B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FMC1?
The net profit margin of Ford Motor Company is about -3.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ford Motor Company pay a dividend?
Ford Motor Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.22% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.