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Upwork Inc (UPWK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Upwork Inc $19.95, price $8.18, upside +143.9%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · US · ISIN US91688F1049

UI Upwork Inc logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Upwork Inc

UPWK · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $19.95 · Strongly undervalued (+144%)
✓Quality 69/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +16.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/14)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 7 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$60.70 $7.60 Fair Value $19.95 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.60 – $60.70 · fair‑value band $13.96 – $25.93 · the $8.18 price screens below the $19.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Upwork Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides platforms and workforce solutions that connect businesses with freelance, agency, fractional, and payrolled talent in the United States, the Philippines, India, Pakistan, and internationally.

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Upwork Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides platforms and workforce solutions that connect businesses with freelance, agency, fractional, and payrolled talent in the United States, the Philippines, India, Pakistan, and internationally. The company offers Upwork Marketplace, a human and AI-powered work marketplace that connects businesses with on-demand access to independent talent across a range of categories, including AI-related projects, administrative support, sales and marketing, design and creative, and customer service, as well as web, mobile, and software development. Its marketplace also streamlines workflows, such as talent sourcing, outreach, contracting, and engagement management, as well as provides infrastructure for remote collaboration, including communication and collaboration tools, consolidated invoicing, and payment protection; and Upwork Payroll services. It also offers enterprise solutions that provide access to platform capabilities that support contingent workforce solutions, including sourcing, onboarding, classification, compliance and contract management, payments, and reporting. In addition, the company offers managed services that provide a service-led program management and end-to-end project delivery solution that enables enterprise clients to outsource defined functions or projects; Uma, an AI assistant; and escrow services. The company was formerly known as Elance-oDesk, Inc. and changed its name to Upwork Inc. in May 2015. Upwork Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.

Stock analysis

Upwork Inc (UPWK) currently trades at $8.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.95, implying the stock looks roughly 59.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $24.96 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the $8.18 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.42, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $13.96 (bear) to $25.93 (bull), the price of $8.18 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Upwork Inc reported revenue of $788M in FY2025 versus $503M in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was $115M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.1B · P/E ratio 10.1 · P/S ratio 1.48 · EPS (TTM) $0.8100 · Net margin 14.7% · Return on equity 18.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin 16.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 144%, UPWK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $13.96 Fair Value $19.95 Bull $25.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5925 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $21.65 $38.60 $67.82 77
Growth DCF $21.05 $35.82 $58.11 77
Owner Earnings $11.96 $21.81 $37.91 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $21.65 $38.60 $67.82 77
Owner Earnings $11.96 $21.81 $37.91 74
5Y Revenue Exit $12.54 $20.22 $30.36 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $14.74 $24.96 $37.79 74
5Y P/E Exit $16.18 $28.07 $41.93 70
10Y Revenue Exit $15.45 $23.79 $36.29 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $17.06 $27.05 $42.23 67
10Y P/E Exit $17.95 $29.20 $45.55 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.35 $34.41 $47.70 63
Lynch FV $9.54 $13.62 $17.71 61
PEG = 1.0 $9.54 $13.62 $17.71 57
EPV $5.44 $6.25 $6.93 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $14.72 $19.62 $24.53 63
P/S Multiple $9.57 $12.76 $15.94 58
P/B Multiple $11.91 $15.89 $19.86 55
EV/EBIT $12.86 $17.31 $21.76 66
EV/EBITDA $11.81 $15.91 $20.01 67
EV/Revenue $7.55 $10.99 $14.44 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.55 $3.42 $5.10 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $21.05 $35.82 $58.11 77
Rev-Margin DCF $12.54 $20.23 $30.66 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.32 $7.02 $19.58 61
ROIC Compounder $5.62 $7.38 $9.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $13.96 $19.95 $25.93 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+47.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+47.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6% → 16%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−13.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −15.5% a year for the price and +1.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−1.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.8%

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 149 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 69 · Above median
Fair Value upside +144% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.57× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.81× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.44× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.50× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)7 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)75 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)72 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 39

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Reddit, Inc RDDT $155.67 $132.52 −15%
Baidu, Inc 9888 HK$88.55 HK$49.16 −44%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 HK$31.22 HK$101.62 +225%
NAVER Corporation 035420 194,700 KRW 315,395 KRW +62%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$32.28 HK$71.55 +122%
REA Group REA A$152.30 A$167.53 +10%

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Upwork Inc · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Upwork Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UPWK

Frequently asked questions

Is Upwork Inc (UPWK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.95 versus a price of $8.18, about +144% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of UPWK?
Our model-based fair value for Upwork Inc is $19.95 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.18.
What is the quality score of UPWK?
Upwork Inc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $19.95 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $13.96, optimistic scenario $25.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Upwork Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $19.95, about +144% upside versus a price of $8.18 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $13.96, optimistic scenario $25.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
Upwork Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $791M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Upwork Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -13.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UPWK use?
Our models discount Upwork Inc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.99, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Upwork Inc that is -13.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Upwork Inc (UPWK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Upwork Inc grew +16.1 % a year. The price currently implies -13.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Upwork Inc (UPWK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Upwork Inc (-13.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.26 %: that much free cash flow Upwork Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Upwork Inc it is $19.95 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $8.18. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Upwork Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, UPWK trades below its calculated fair value: price $8.18, fair value $19.95, a gap of about +144% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UPWK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($19.95). For Upwork Inc the two are $11.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Upwork Inc worth?
The market values Upwork Inc at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $8.18; our models calculate a fair value of $19.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UPWK?
Our models span a range for Upwork Inc: cautious scenario $13.96, base $19.95, optimistic $25.93 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $8.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UPWK?
Upwork Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $19.95 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 1.8, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 8.5.
What is the PEG ratio of UPWK?
The PEG ratio of Upwork Inc is 0.50 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Upwork Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 18.8%, debt of 0.57 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UPWK from its 52-week high?
Upwork Inc trades at $8.18, about 63% below its 52-week high of $22.11 and 4% above the low of $7.84 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $19.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Upwork Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Upwork Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $8.18, calculated fair value $19.95 (+144%), Quality Score 69/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UPWK calculated?
We run Upwork Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $19.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Upwork Inc currently trades 144 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $8.18. Our model-based fair value is $19.95, about +144% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Upwork Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($13.96). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($13.96 to $25.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Upwork Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
The market capitalisation of Upwork Inc is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Upwork Inc is 1.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
Earnings per share at Upwork Inc are $0.8100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
The net margin of Upwork Inc is 14.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Upwork Inc is 18.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Upwork Inc is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
The operating margin of Upwork Inc is 16.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
Revenue at Upwork Inc is growing +1.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Upwork Inc (UPWK)?
Earnings per share at Upwork Inc are growing −12.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Upwork Inc (UPWK) carry?
The net debt of Upwork Inc is $82.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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