Valmet Oyj (VALMT) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · FI · Market cap €4.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +31.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 17% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from €22.17 (bear) to €39.75 (bull), base €31.80. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €16.86 – €30.97 · fair‑value band €22.17 – €39.75 · the €27.20 price screens below the €31.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Valmet Oyj (VALMT) currently trades at €27.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €31.80, implying the stock looks roughly 16.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Valmet Oyj generated revenue of €5.3B at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at €1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €22.17 (bear case) to €39.75 (bull case); at €27.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 17%, VALMT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€36.26) versus Earnings-Based (€8.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Valmet Oyj develops and supplies process technologies, automation, and services for the pulp, paper, and energy industries in North America, Latin America, EMEA, China, and Asia-Pacific. It operates through two segments: Process Performance Solutions and Biomaterial Solutions and Services.
Full company description
Valmet Oyj develops and supplies process technologies, automation, and services for the pulp, paper, and energy industries in North America, Latin America, EMEA, China, and Asia-Pacific. It operates through two segments: Process Performance Solutions and Biomaterial Solutions and Services. The Process Performance Solutions segment delivers flow control technologies and automation systems, ranging from individual measurements to full plant-wide solutions. The Biomaterial Solutions and Services segment serves global producers in the pulp, paper, packaging, tissue, and bioenergy industries, providing complete production lines, key process islands; and a full range of lifecycle services, enabling improvements in fiber yield, energy and water efficiency, emissions, and operational uptime. It offers automation systems, distributed control systems, industrial applications, analyzers and measurements, industrial internet solutions, automation services, valves, pumps, and valve automation soultions. The company also provides technologies for pulp, energy, circularity, packaging, paper, and tissue, including rebuilds, upgrades, conversions, and maintenance services. In addition, the company develops digital solutions for remote or on-site monitoring and predictive maintenance. It serves pulp, board and paper, energy and industrial gas, biomaterials and fuel, chemical, and mineral industries. Valmet Oyj was founded in 1750 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Valmet Oyj reported revenue of €5.2B in FY2025 versus €3.9B in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was €279M in FY2025, compounding −1.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Valmet (HLSE:VALMT) Stock Looks Cheap On Cash Flow And Reasonable On Earnings
- Valmet Oyj (HLSE:VALMT) Reviews A Breakup After Strong Earnings, Is The Upside Already Priced In?
- Valmet Oyj (VOYJF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Sales Growth Amid Strategic Review
- Valmet's Half Year Financial Review January-June 2026 Net sales and Comparable EBITA increased in the second quarter
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
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| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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