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VANTIVA SA (VANTI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of VANTIVA SA €0.09, price €0.08, upside +16.3%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · FR · ISIN FR0013505062

VS Thin data Sep 23, 2026

VANTIVA SA

VANTI · PA

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value €0.0927 · Undervalued (+16%)
!Quality 42/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −10.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -22.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (6/9)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€1.30 €0.0797 Fair Value €0.0927 Aug 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.0797 – €1.30 · fair‑value band €0.0506 – €0.0927 · the €0.0797 price screens below the €0.0927 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Vantiva S.A. designs, develops, and supplies software solutions to pay-TV operators and network service providers in France, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, and South Africa.

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Vantiva S.A. designs, develops, and supplies software solutions to pay-TV operators and network service providers in France, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, and South Africa. Its CPE portfolio comprises broadband solution, including fiber gateway, fixed wireless access, routers, extenders, wi-fi XL, navigate companion, navigate 5G, RDK-B, PRPL OS, and homeware; and video solution, including set-top boxes, dongles, smart media devices, navigate IQ, android TV, RDK-V, and Linux. The company offers broadband CPE connectivity devices, such as modems and gateways are designed to allow cable, telco, and mobile operators to deliver multiple-play services, including video, voice, data, and mobility to residential and business subscribers over fixed wireline and wireless networks that is cable, xDSL, fiber, LTE, and 5G. It also provides video connectivity such as digital set-top boxes designed to allow cable, satellite, and telco operators over broadband, broadcast, and hybrid networks. In addition, the company offers IP, broadcast, and hybrid set-top boxes and media servers that enable NSPs to provide access to broadcast TV, Internet TV, and OTT services in standard, high, and ultra-high definition sound experiences. Further, it provides the design, validation, and full integration of the CPE, hardware, and software capabilities, as well as manages all the logistics and supervises manufacturing, assembly, and post-sale services. Additionally, the company provides Falcon 5G, a fixed wireless access solution for indoor connectivity; HomeSight solution service that helps care providers to elevate health and wellness for individuals and their support networks; professional services; and service management solutions. The company was formerly known as Technicolor SA and changed its name to Vantiva S.A. in September 2022. Vantiva S.A. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Stock analysis

VANTIVA SA (VANTI) currently trades at €0.0797, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0927, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of €0.8300 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the €0.0797 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.8300, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €0.0506 (bear) to €0.0927 (bull), the price of €0.0797 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

VANTIVA SA reported revenue of €1.7B in FY2025 versus €2.3B in FY2021, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€393M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €50.8M · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) €−0.3000 · Net margin −22.6% · Return on equity −174% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% · Operating margin 3.8% · Revenue (TTM) €1.7B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 16%, VANTI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.0506 Fair Value €0.0927 Bull €0.0927
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €2.39 €3.01 €4.00 82
Growth DCF €2.45 €3.03 €3.89 80
5Y EBITDA Exit €2.44 €3.45 €4.79 75
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €2.39 €3.01 €4.00 82
5Y Revenue Exit €1.72 €2.20 €2.90 74
5Y EBITDA Exit €2.44 €3.45 €4.79 75
10Y Revenue Exit €2.01 €2.36 €2.70 68
10Y EBITDA Exit €2.41 €3.02 €3.65 70
Earnings-Based
EPV €0.7400 €0.8300 €0.9000 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT €1.57 €2.08 €2.60 66
EV/EBITDA €2.89 €3.84 €4.80 67
EV/Revenue €1.20 €1.70 €2.20 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €2.45 €3.03 €3.89 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.72 €2.27 €2.97 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €0.7400 €0.8300 €0.9000 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.2% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.5% (2020) → 3.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 261 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside +16% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −23% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −18% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.25× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)55 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $71.72 $78.89 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $105.56 $101.23 −4%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.83 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $169.84 $64.71 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.55 €16.00 +10%
TKO Group TKO $188.87 $95.50 −49%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.62 $104.08 +10%
Fox Corporation FOXA $63.96 $89.49 +40%
Roku, Inc ROKU $153.49 $42.88 −72%
News Corporation NWS A$45.40 A$29.85 −34%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VANTIVA SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VANTI

Frequently asked questions

Is VANTIVA SA (VANTI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.0927 versus a price of €0.0797, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VANTI?
Our model-based fair value for VANTIVA SA is €0.0927 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.0797.
What is the quality score of VANTI?
VANTIVA SA has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.0927 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.0506, optimistic scenario €0.0927. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the VANTIVA SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.0927, about +16% upside versus a price of €0.0797 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €0.0506, optimistic scenario €0.0927. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
VANTIVA SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For VANTIVA SA it is €0.0927 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €0.0797. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is VANTIVA SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, VANTI trades below its calculated fair value: price €0.0797, fair value €0.0927, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VANTI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.0797); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.0927). For VANTIVA SA the two are €0.0130 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is VANTIVA SA worth?
The market values VANTIVA SA at about €50.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €0.0797; our models calculate a fair value of €0.0927 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VANTI?
Our models span a range for VANTIVA SA: cautious scenario €0.0506, base €0.0927, optimistic €0.0927 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €0.0797). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of VANTI?
The PEG ratio of VANTIVA SA is 1.25 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
Balance-sheet figures for VANTIVA SA (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VANTI from its 52-week high?
VANTIVA SA trades at €0.0797, about 43% below its 52-week high of €0.1400 and at the low of €0.0797 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.0927 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to VANTIVA SA?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is VANTIVA SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €0.0797, calculated fair value €0.0927 (+16%), Quality Score 42/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VANTI calculated?
We run VANTIVA SA through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.0927, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. VANTIVA SA currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €0.0797. Our model-based fair value is €0.0927, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with VANTIVA SA right now?
A fairly wide model range (€0.0506 to €0.0927) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of VANTIVA SA

How large is the market capitalisation of VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
The market capitalisation of VANTIVA SA is €50.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of VANTIVA SA is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
Earnings per share at VANTIVA SA are €−0.3000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
The net margin of VANTIVA SA is −22.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of VANTIVA SA is −174% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of VANTIVA SA is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
The operating margin of VANTIVA SA is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at VANTIVA SA (VANTI)?
Revenue at VANTIVA SA is growing −18.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does VANTIVA SA (VANTI) generate?
The free cash flow of VANTIVA SA is €107M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does VANTIVA SA (VANTI) carry?
The net debt of VANTIVA SA is €1.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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