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Vantiva S.A (VANTI) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · FR · Market cap €50.8M

VS Vantiva S.A VANTI · PA
Price€0.0976
Fair Value€0.0942
Upside-3.5%
Quality42/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -22.6% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range €0.0439 – €0.0942 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from €0.0938 to €0.0942 (+0.4%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −6.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.0942). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (€0.0439 to €0.0942) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€1.30 €0.0824 Fair Value €0.0942 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.0824 – €1.30 · fair‑value band €0.0439 – €0.0942 · the €0.0976 price screens above the €0.0942 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Vantiva S.A (VANTI) currently trades at €0.0976, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0942, implying the stock looks roughly 3.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Vantiva S.A generated revenue of €1.7B at a net margin of -22.6%. Revenue declined 18.0% year over year. Net debt stands at €1.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.0439 (bear case) to €0.0942 (bull case); at €0.0976, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -3%, VANTI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €1.64 €2.03 €2.60 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.34 €1.84 €2.48 74
ROIC Compounder €0.7400 €0.8300 €0.9000 72
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €1.60 €2.01 €2.67 38
5Y Revenue Exit €1.34 €1.80 €2.47 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €2.06 €3.05 €4.36 41
10Y Revenue Exit €1.44 €1.75 €2.07 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €1.83 €2.41 €3.02 37
Earnings-Based
EPV €0.7400 €0.8300 €0.9000 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT €1.57 €2.08 €2.60 53
EV/EBITDA €2.89 €3.84 €4.80 54
EV/Revenue €1.20 €1.70 €2.20 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €1.64 €2.03 €2.60 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.34 €1.84 €2.48 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €0.7400 €0.8300 €0.9000 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (€2.08) versus Earnings-Based (€0.8300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €1.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.0%
Net margin -22.6%
Return on equity -174%
Free cash flow €107M FY2025
Operating margin 3.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.3000
Net debt €1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Vantiva S.A. designs, develops, and supplies software solutions to pay-TV operators and network service providers in France, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, and South Africa.

Full company description

Vantiva S.A. designs, develops, and supplies software solutions to pay-TV operators and network service providers in France, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, and South Africa. Its CPE portfolio comprises broadband solution, including fiber gateway, fixed wireless access, routers, extenders, wi-fi XL, navigate companion, navigate 5G, RDK-B, PRPL OS, and homeware; and video solution, including set-top boxes, dongles, smart media devices, navigate IQ, android TV, RDK-V, and Linux. The company offers broadband CPE connectivity devices, such as modems and gateways are designed to allow cable, telco, and mobile operators to deliver multiple-play services, including video, voice, data, and mobility to residential and business subscribers over fixed wireline and wireless networks that is cable, xDSL, fiber, LTE, and 5G. It also provides video connectivity such as digital set-top boxes designed to allow cable, satellite, and telco operators over broadband, broadcast, and hybrid networks. In addition, the company offers IP, broadcast, and hybrid set-top boxes and media servers that enable NSPs to provide access to broadcast TV, Internet TV, and OTT services in standard, high, and ultra-high definition sound experiences. Further, it provides the design, validation, and full integration of the CPE, hardware, and software capabilities, as well as manages all the logistics and supervises manufacturing, assembly, and post-sale services. Additionally, the company provides Falcon 5G, a fixed wireless access solution for indoor connectivity; HomeSight solution service that helps care providers to elevate health and wellness for individuals and their support networks; professional services; and service management solutions. The company was formerly known as Technicolor SA and changed its name to Vantiva S.A. in September 2022. Vantiva S.A. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Vantiva S.A reported revenue of €1.7B in FY2025 versus €2.3B in FY2021, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€393M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€1.7B
Latest YoY
−6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.3%
Revenue −6.3%/yr
FY21 €2.3B
FY22 €2.8B
FY23 €1.6B
FY24 €1.9B
FY25 €1.7B
Net income
FY21 −€140M
FY22 €151M
FY23 −€285M
FY24 −€282M
FY25 −€393M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vantiva S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VANTI

Peer Group

Entertainment · 265 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth -18% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.25× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 6
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vantiva S.A (VANTI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.0942 versus a price of €0.0976, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VANTI?
Our model-based fair value for Vantiva S.A is €0.0942 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.0976.
What is the quality score of VANTI?
Vantiva S.A has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vantiva S.A (VANTI)?
Vantiva S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VANTI?
The net profit margin of Vantiva S.A is about -22.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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