Vinci SA (VCISF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Vinci SA $212, price $119, upside +78.1%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Vinci SA
VCISF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $37.15 – $162.66 · fair‑value band $158.65 – $270.17 · the $118.81 price screens below the $211.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Vinci SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in concessions, energy, and construction businesses in France and internationally. It operates through Concessions, Energy Solutions, and Construction segments. The company's Concessions segment operates motorways, autoroutes, airports, highways, railways, and stadiums.
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Vinci SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in concessions, energy, and construction businesses in France and internationally. It operates through Concessions, Energy Solutions, and Construction segments. The company's Concessions segment operates motorways, autoroutes, airports, highways, railways, and stadiums. Its Energy segment provides services to the manufacturing sector, infrastructure, building solutions and facilities management, and information and communication technology; and industrial and energy-related services, which includes development of renewable energy assets, as well as engineering, procurement, construction projects in the energy sector, and development of renewable energy production facilities of solar, and wind farms. The company's Construction segment engages in designing and undertaking projects, which includes general contractor; geotechnical, and structural engineering and related digital activities, as well as provision of services in nuclear engineering; undertaking building, civil engineering, roadworks, rail works, and water works; development of properties, including residential and commercial properties; and management of residences and property services. Vinci SA was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Nanterre, France.
Stock analysis
Vinci SA (VCISF) currently trades at $118.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $211.54, implying the stock looks roughly 43.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $252.28 per share, and 19 of the 24 models we run sit above the $118.81 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $41.93, and 5 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $158.65 (bear) to $270.17 (bull), the price of $118.81 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Vinci SA reported revenue of €75.3B in FY2025 versus €50.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was €4.9B in FY2025, compounding +17.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $81.8B · P/E ratio 12.0 · P/S ratio 0.78 · EPS (TTM) $9.92 · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 15.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 78%, VCISF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Earlier news
- VINCI: Disclosure of transactions on shares from September 14, 2026, to September 18, 2026
- Vinci (ENXTPA:DG) Secures Multi Year Sweden Electricity Grid Contract
- VINCI Autoroutes and VINCI Airports traffic in August 2026
- VINCI Energies wins a new multi-year contract to maintain an electricity distribution network in Sweden
Compare Vinci SA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 779 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $642.51 | $162.77 | −75% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,658 | $1,116 | −33% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,876 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 159,718 KRW | −56% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | $55.77 | $21.74 | −61% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €407.40 | €203.86 | −50% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $769.03 | $525.05 | −32% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €95.00 | €62.20 | −35% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €43.14 | €66.31 | +54% |
| WSP Global Inc WSP | C$182.05 | C$200.26 | +10% |
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Key figures of Vinci SA
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