Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of May 28, 2026: fair value of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A CLP 2,820, price CLP 3,108, upside -9.3%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,081 CLP – 3,216 CLP · fair‑value band 1,953 CLP – 3,052 CLP · the 3,108 CLP price screens above the 2,820 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A. produces and sells construction materials in Chile and internationally.
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Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A. produces and sells construction materials in Chile and internationally. The company offers thermal insulation and acoustic absorptions; asphalt shingles, accessories and fixing, and moisture barriers; vapor barrier, manhole covers, valcanoboarding, and volcanoes; volcoglasses; invisible seam, corner pieces, septum repair, partition, plasters, putties, volcastic, and façade installation tools; and passive fire protection products, as well as pastes, compounds, and joint treatment tapes. It offers its products to residential, health, hospitality, hotel, education, industrial, commercial, and workspace sectors. Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A. was founded in 1916 and is based in Santiago, Chile.
Stock analysis
Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN) currently trades at 3,108 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,820 CLP, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 10.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of 3,101 CLP per share, and 2 of the 20 models we run sit above the 3,108 CLP price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 660.91 CLP, and 18 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 1,953 CLP (bear) to 3,052 CLP (bull), the price of 3,108 CLP sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A reported revenue of 141B CLP in FY2025 versus 166B CLP in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was 17.3B CLP in FY2025, compounding −23.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 233B CLP (≈ $236M) · P/E ratio 13.1 · P/S ratio 1.61 · EPS (TTM) 237.11 CLP · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 12.3% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −9%, VOLCAN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1,953 CLPFair Value 2,820 CLPBull 3,052 CLP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (118.80 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in CLP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in CLP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−4.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 5%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Chile: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 4.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.6% a year for the price.
Compare Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 249 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−9.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.9% · Above median
Return on assets1.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)12.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VOLCAN
Frequently asked questions
Is Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,820 CLP versus the last price from May 28, 2026 of 3,108 CLP, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VOLCAN?
Our model-based fair value for Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A is 2,820 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from May 28, 2026): 3,108 CLP.
What is the quality score of VOLCAN?
Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2,820 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,953 CLP, optimistic scenario 3,052 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2,820 CLP, about −9% upside versus the last price from May 28, 2026 of 3,108 CLP (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 1,953 CLP, optimistic scenario 3,052 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 143B CLP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A pay a dividend?
Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +24.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VOLCAN use?
Our models discount Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A at 13.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Chile. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A that is +24.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A grew +3.3 % a year. The price currently implies +24.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (+24.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.64 %: that much free cash flow Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A it is 2,820 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 3,108 CLP. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VOLCAN trades above its calculated fair value: price 3,108 CLP, fair value 2,820 CLP, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VOLCAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,108 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2,820 CLP). For Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A the two are 287.42 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A worth?
The market values Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A at about 233B CLP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 3,108 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 2,820 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VOLCAN?
Our models span a range for Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A: cautious scenario 1,953 CLP, base 2,820 CLP, optimistic 3,052 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 3,108 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VOLCAN?
Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2,820 CLP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 15.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.9%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VOLCAN from its 52-week high?
Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A trades at 3,108 CLP, about 3% below its 52-week high of 3,216 CLP and 8% above the low of 2,889 CLP (as of May 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2,820 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 3,108 CLP, calculated fair value 2,820 CLP (−9%), Quality Score 62/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VOLCAN calculated?
We run Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2,820 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
The latest price we hold is from May 28, 2026 and stands at 3,108 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 2,820 CLP, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits above our optimistic bull case: the favourable scenario is already priced in. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
The market capitalisation of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A is 233B CLP (≈ $236M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A is 1.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
Earnings per share at Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A are 237.11 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
The dividend yield of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A is 2.6% (payout 33.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
The net margin of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A is 12.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
The operating margin of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
Revenue at Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A is growing +4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN)?
Earnings per share at Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A are growing +10.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A (VOLCAN) carry?
The net debt of Compañía Industrial El Volcán S.A is 54.1B CLP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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