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Viaplay Group (VPLAY-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · SE · Market cap 5.5B SEK

VG Viaplay Group VPLAY-B · ST
Pricekr 1.31
Fair Valuekr 1.18
Upside-9.8%
Quality40/100
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Evidence: Low Range kr 0.6715 – kr 1.79 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price −0.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

kr 1.75 kr 0.6950 Fair Value kr 1.18 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range kr 0.6950 – kr 1.75 · fair‑value band kr 0.6715 – kr 1.79 · the kr 1.31 price screens above the kr 1.18 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Viaplay Group (VPLAY-B) currently trades at kr 1.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.18, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Viaplay Group generated revenue of 18.6B SEK at a net margin of -8.4%. Revenue grew 20.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -57.2%. Net debt stands at 5.6B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.6715 (bear case) to kr 1.79 (bull case); at kr 1.31, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -10%, VPLAY-B screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.6B SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.7%
Net margin -8.4%
Return on equity -57.2%
Free cash flow −2.3B SEK FY2025
Operating margin -1.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -0.3400
EPS growth (YoY) +90.8%
Net debt 5.6B SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Viaplay Group AB (publ) operates as an entertainment provider company in Sweden, rest of Nordics, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates Viaplay, an online video streaming service, which offers live sports, series, films, and documentaries. It also operates advertising-supported TV channels that offer popular series, films and live sports, as well as V sport, V series and V film pay-TV channels that deliver premium entertainment for the whole family. In addition, the company operates radio stations, that are accessible online and through mobile apps. Further, it offers audio streaming services; and content producing services, as well as satellite, IPTV, and broadband services. The company was formerly known as Nordic Entertainment Group AB (publ) and changed its name to Viaplay Group AB (publ) in May 2022. Viaplay Group AB (publ) was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Viaplay Group reported revenue of kr 17.7B in FY2025 versus kr 12.7B in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 1.3B in FY2025.

Revenue +8.7%/yr
FY21 kr 12.7B
FY22 kr 15.7B
FY23 kr 18.6B
FY24 kr 18.5B
FY25 kr 17.7B
Net income
FY21 kr 325M
FY22 kr 323M
FY23 −kr 9.7B
FY24 kr 106M
FY25 −kr 1.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Viaplay Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VPLAY-B

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS C$11.30 C$7.43 -34%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.95 $10.35 -62%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $167.50 $44.27 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €19.50 €13.27 -32%
TKO Group TKO $206.43 $174.49 -15%
News Corporation N1WS35 R$71.61 R$62.07 -13%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 4.93 MXN -91%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.42 ¥11.87 +4%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 530.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Viaplay Group (VPLAY-B) undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.18 versus a price of kr 1.31, about −10% (fairly valued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of VPLAY-B?
Our model-based fair value for Viaplay Group is kr 1.18 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 1.31.
What is the quality score of VPLAY-B?
Viaplay Group has a Quality Score of 40/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Viaplay Group (VPLAY-B)?
Viaplay Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.6B SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VPLAY-B?
The net profit margin of Viaplay Group is about -8.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.