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Vunani Limited (VUN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ZA · Market cap 403M ZAC

VL Vunani Limited VUN · JSE
PriceR2.50
Fair ValueR1.06
Upside-57.6%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range R0.8000 – R1.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from R1.25 to R1.06 (−15.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −5.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R1.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R2.86 R1.07 Fair Value R1.06 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R1.07 – R2.86 · fair‑value band R0.8000 – R1.33 · the R2.50 price screens above the R1.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Vunani Limited (VUN) currently trades at R2.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R1.06, implying the stock looks roughly 57.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Vunani Limited generated revenue of 777M ZAR at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 177M ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R0.8000 (bear case) to R1.33 (bull case); at R2.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -58%, VUN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R7.37 R11.27 R17.04 80
Residual Income R1.21 R1.16 R0.9400 76
Rev-Margin DCF R6.36 R9.87 R14.53 74
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings R3.89 R5.79 R8.81 31
5Y P/E Exit R3.91 R4.76 R5.63 38
10Y P/E Exit R5.21 R6.47 R8.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R0.4300 R2.16 R2.98 54
Lynch FV R0.5900 R0.8400 R1.09 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple R0.6100 R0.8100 R1.02 63
P/B Multiple R0.8000 R1.06 R1.33 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R0.8800 R1.18 R1.76 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R7.37 R11.27 R17.04 80
Rev-Margin DCF R6.36 R9.87 R14.53 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income R1.21 R1.16 R0.9400 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (R9.87) versus Multiples (R0.8100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 777M ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.9%
Net margin -0.9%
Return on equity -0.3%
Free cash flow 91.4M ZAC FY2026
P/E ratio 41.7
More key figures
Operating margin 10.9%
EPS (TTM) R-0.0400
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +41.7%
Net cash 177M ZAC FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Vunani Limited operates in the financial services sector in South Africa. It operates through Fund Management, Asset Administration, Insurance, Advisory Services, and Institutional Securities Broking segments.

Full company description

Vunani Limited operates in the financial services sector in South Africa. It operates through Fund Management, Asset Administration, Insurance, Advisory Services, and Institutional Securities Broking segments. The company offers institutional and retail products, including equities, bonds, inflation-linked bonds and properties, and absolute return and smart beta funds. It also operates as a beneficiary fund administrator for administering funds on behalf of minor dependents of deceased retirement fund members. In addition, the company provides short-term, medical aid, individual life, and employee benefit insurance products. Further, it offers corporate advisory and investment services comprising capital raising, IPOs, BEE transactions, transaction structuring, and book builds and share placements, as well as merger, acquisition, and disposal advisory services. Additionally, the company provides equity, derivative, and capital market trading services for institutional clients; and trades in equities, index futures, single stock futures, currency and interest rate futures, stocks and commodities, equity options, over the counter options, money market products, and bonds. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Sandton, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Vunani Limited reported revenue of R875M in FY2026 versus R660M in FY2022, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was R10.1M in FY2026, compounding −36.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
875M ZAR
Latest YoY
+18.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY22 R660M
FY23 R723M
FY24 R685M
FY25 R739M
FY26 R875M
Net income −36.2%/yr
FY22 R60.8M
FY23 R52.4M
FY24 R14.4M
FY25 −R11.5M
FY26 R10.1M

VUN screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vunani Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VUN

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 421 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −58% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Below median
Revenue growth 25% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.42× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.46× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 96
PAST 37 · sector 31
HEALTH 92 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vunani Limited (VUN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R1.06 versus a price of R2.50, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VUN?
Our model-based fair value for Vunani Limited is R1.06 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R2.50.
What is the quality score of VUN?
Vunani Limited has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vunani Limited (VUN)?
Vunani Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 777M ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VUN?
The net profit margin of Vunani Limited is about -0.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Vunani Limited pay a dividend?
Vunani Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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