Vunani Limited (VUN) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · ZA · Market cap 403M ZAC
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from R1.25 to R1.06 (−15.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −5.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R1.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R1.07 – R2.86 · fair‑value band R0.8000 – R1.33 · the R2.50 price screens above the R1.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Vunani Limited (VUN) currently trades at R2.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R1.06, implying the stock looks roughly 57.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Vunani Limited generated revenue of 777M ZAR at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 177M ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R0.8000 (bear case) to R1.33 (bull case); at R2.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -58%, VUN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (R9.87) versus Multiples (R0.8100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vunani Limited operates in the financial services sector in South Africa. It operates through Fund Management, Asset Administration, Insurance, Advisory Services, and Institutional Securities Broking segments.
Full company description
Vunani Limited operates in the financial services sector in South Africa. It operates through Fund Management, Asset Administration, Insurance, Advisory Services, and Institutional Securities Broking segments. The company offers institutional and retail products, including equities, bonds, inflation-linked bonds and properties, and absolute return and smart beta funds. It also operates as a beneficiary fund administrator for administering funds on behalf of minor dependents of deceased retirement fund members. In addition, the company provides short-term, medical aid, individual life, and employee benefit insurance products. Further, it offers corporate advisory and investment services comprising capital raising, IPOs, BEE transactions, transaction structuring, and book builds and share placements, as well as merger, acquisition, and disposal advisory services. Additionally, the company provides equity, derivative, and capital market trading services for institutional clients; and trades in equities, index futures, single stock futures, currency and interest rate futures, stocks and commodities, equity options, over the counter options, money market products, and bonds. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Sandton, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Vunani Limited reported revenue of R875M in FY2026 versus R660M in FY2022, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was R10.1M in FY2026, compounding −36.2%/yr from FY2022.
VUN screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 421 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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