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Waldencast plc (WALDW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Waldencast plc $0.04, price $0.04, upside -4.7%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · US · ISIN JE00BPG99318

WP Waldencast plc logo Thin data Jul 31, 2026

Waldencast plc

WALDW · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $0.0426 · Fairly valued (−4.7%)
!Quality 33/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +23.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -84.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$10.01 $0.0234 Fair Value $0.0426 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0234 – $10.01 · fair‑value band $0.0381 – $0.0515 · the $0.0447 price screens above the $0.0426 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Company profile

Waldencast plc operates in the beauty and wellness industry in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, India, Australia, and New Zealand. The company operates through two segments, Obagi Medical and Milk Makeup.

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Waldencast plc operates in the beauty and wellness industry in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, India, Australia, and New Zealand. The company operates through two segments, Obagi Medical and Milk Makeup. It offers skin care products to minimize signs of skin aging, address dark spots, hyperpigmentation, fine lines and wrinkles, and protect and enhance skin tone and texture; cosmetics; and other beauty products. In addition, the company provides foundation, concealer, primer, blush, setting spray, and bronzer categories, as well as sells liner, eyeshadow, and lip color products. It serves distributors, retailers, physicians, and directly to consumers through its e-commerce platforms, and third-party logistics and delivery providers. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Waldencast plc (WALDW) currently trades at $0.0447, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0426, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.9%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0381 (bear) to $0.0515 (bull), the price of $0.0447 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Waldencast plc reported revenue of $272M in FY2025 versus $94.4M in FY2020, a compound +23.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$230M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $366M · P/S ratio 1.35 · Net margin −84.4% · Return on equity −40.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 58.9% · Operating margin −22.5% · Revenue (TTM) $272M · Revenue growth (YoY) −1.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 1,177% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −5%, WALDW screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0381 Fair Value $0.0426 Bull $0.0515
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) n/a $0.0100 $0.0100 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a $0.0100 $0.0100 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.6% (2020) → −22.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Waldencast plc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 239 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +2.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −4.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −84.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −22.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.29× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.79× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.35× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Colgate-Palmolive Company CL $86.52 $56.16 −35%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹1,836 ₹775.25 −58%
Kenvue Inc KVUE $17.80 $12.72 −29%
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc EL $90.19 $44.21 −51%
Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB $98.77 $83.77 −15%
Henkel AG HEN €66.35 €82.61 +25%
Church & Dwight Co CHD $95.62 $65.04 −32%
Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI €75.40 €69.09 −8%
Puig Brands, S.A PUIG €17.84 €24.28 +36%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹781.35 ₹493.84 −37%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Waldencast plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WALDW

Frequently asked questions

Is Waldencast plc (WALDW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0426 versus a price of $0.0447, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of WALDW?
Our model-based fair value for Waldencast plc is $0.0426 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0447.
What is the quality score of WALDW?
Waldencast plc has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0426 (as of Jul 31, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0381, optimistic scenario $0.0515. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Waldencast plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0426, about −5% upside versus a price of $0.0447 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0381, optimistic scenario $0.0515. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
Waldencast plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $272M (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Waldencast plc it is $0.0426 per share (as of Jul 31, 2026), against a price of $0.0447. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Waldencast plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jul 31, 2026, WALDW trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0447, fair value $0.0426, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WALDW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0447); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0426). For Waldencast plc the two are $0.0021 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Waldencast plc worth?
The market values Waldencast plc at about $366M (market capitalisation, as of Jul 31, 2026). Per share that is $0.0447; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0426 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WALDW?
Our models span a range for Waldencast plc: cautious scenario $0.0381, base $0.0426, optimistic $0.0515 per share (as of Jul 31, 2026, price $0.0447). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Waldencast plc (as of Jul 31, 2026): return on equity −40.3%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WALDW from its 52-week high?
Waldencast plc trades at $0.0447, about 32% below its 52-week high of $0.0660 and 1,177% above the low of $0.0035 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0426 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Waldencast plc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Waldencast plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jul 31, 2026: price $0.0447, calculated fair value $0.0426 (−5%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WALDW calculated?
We run Waldencast plc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0426, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Waldencast plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0447. Our model-based fair value is $0.0426, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Waldencast plc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Waldencast plc

How large is the market capitalisation of Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
The market capitalisation of Waldencast plc is $366M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Waldencast plc is 1.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
The net margin of Waldencast plc is −84.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Waldencast plc is −40.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Waldencast plc is 58.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
The operating margin of Waldencast plc is −22.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
Revenue at Waldencast plc is growing −1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Waldencast plc (WALDW) generate?
The free cash flow of Waldencast plc is −$16.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Waldencast plc (WALDW) carry?
The net debt of Waldencast plc is $117M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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