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Waldencast plc (WALDW) Fair Value & Analysis

Information Technology · US · Market cap $366M

WP Waldencast plc logo Waldencast plc WALDW · US
Price$0.0383
Fair Value$0.0351
Upside-8.3%
Quality88/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0313 – $0.0428

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from $0.1700 to $0.0351 (−79.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +30.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$0.0792 $0.0228 Fair Value $0.0351 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $0.0228 – $0.0792 · fair‑value band $0.0313 – $0.0428 · the $0.0383 price screens above the $0.0351 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Waldencast plc (WALDW) currently trades at $0.0383, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0351 — implying the stock looks roughly 8.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 88/100 (high quality), in the Information Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Waldencast plc generated revenue of $272M at a net margin of -84.5%. Revenue declined 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -40.3%. Net debt stands at $117M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $272M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.7%
Net margin -84.5%
Return on equity -40.3%
Free cash flow −$16.2M FY2025
Operating margin -22.5%
More key figures
Net debt $117M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Waldencast plc operates in the beauty and wellness industry in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, India, Australia, and New Zealand. The company operates through two segments, Obagi Medical and Milk Makeup. It offers skin care products to minimize signs of skin aging, address dark spots, hyperpigmentation, fine lines and wrinkles, and protect and enhance skin tone and texture; cosmetics; and other beauty products. In addition, the company provides foundation, concealer, primer, blush, setting spray, and bronzer categories, as well as sells liner, eyeshadow, and lip color products. It serves distributors, retailers, physicians, and directly to consumers through its e-commerce platforms, and third-party logistics and delivery providers. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Waldencast plc reported revenue of $272M in FY2025 versus $94.4M in FY2020, a compound +23.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$230M in FY2025.

Revenue +23.6%/yr
FY20 $94.4M
FY21 $142M
FY23 $218M
FY24 $274M
FY25 $272M
Net income
FY20 −$2.4M
FY21 −$19.6M
FY23 −$90.0M
FY24 −$42.4M
FY25 −$230M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Waldencast plc (WALDW) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0351 versus a price of $0.0383 — about −8% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of WALDW?
Our 21-model fair value for Waldencast plc is $0.0351 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0383.
What is the quality score of WALDW?
Waldencast plc has a Quality Score of 88/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Waldencast plc (WALDW)?
Waldencast plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $272M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WALDW?
The net profit margin of Waldencast plc is about -84.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.