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Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited (WBO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ZA · Market cap 8.8B ZAC

WB Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited WBO · JSE
PriceR168.98
Fair ValueR501.86
Upside+197.0%
Quality61/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range R376.40 – R627.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −6.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 197% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R376.40). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R251.98 R76.51 Fair Value R501.86 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R76.51 – R251.98 · fair‑value band R376.40 – R627.33 · the R168.98 price screens below the R501.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited (WBO) currently trades at R168.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R501.86, implying the stock looks roughly 197.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited generated revenue of 27.9B ZAR at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.5B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R376.40 (bear case) to R627.33 (bull case); at R168.98, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 197%, WBO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R414.71 R580.37 R813.08 80
Residual Income R152.22 R207.46 R1,026 76
Rev-Margin DCF R349.87 R506.45 R692.20 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R411.83 R603.89 R893.84 38
Owner Earnings R368.41 R535.49 R787.73 31
5Y Revenue Exit R349.87 R505.49 R704.42 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R391.65 R585.37 R813.24 41
5Y P/E Exit R413.82 R627.77 R855.84 38
10Y Revenue Exit R362.04 R509.20 R708.97 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R395.72 R564.07 R791.85 37
10Y P/E Exit R409.67 R593.19 R824.29 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R162.51 R561.28 R753.84 54
Lynch FV R129.82 R185.45 R241.09 50
PEG = 1.0 R129.82 R185.45 R241.09 46
EPV R243.47 R269.60 R292.14 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R50.07 R99.77 R151.09 70
DDM Multi-Stage R50.07 R85.39 R105.32 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R376.40 R501.86 R627.33 63
P/S Multiple R304.70 R406.27 R507.84 58
P/B Multiple R304.70 R406.27 R507.84 55
EV/EBIT R425.29 R541.05 R656.81 53
EV/EBITDA R415.98 R528.63 R641.29 54
EV/Revenue R325.87 R432.10 R538.33 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R51.28 R68.71 R102.55 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R414.71 R580.37 R813.08 80
Rev-Margin DCF R349.87 R506.45 R692.20 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income R152.22 R207.46 R1,026 76
ROIC Compounder R250.15 R285.02 R320.25 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R323.02 R461.46 R599.90 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (R564.07) versus Asset-Based (R68.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 27.9B ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 23.9%
Free cash flow 1.6B ZAC FY2025
P/E ratio 7.4
More key figures
Operating margin 4.8%
EPS (TTM) R22.93
Dividend yield 0.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.2%
Net cash 3.5B ZAC FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited operates as a construction company in South Africa, rest of Africa, and the United Kingdom.

Full company description

Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited operates as a construction company in South Africa, rest of Africa, and the United Kingdom. It undertakes construction of buildings, including retail, commercial offices, residential, healthcare, hotels and entertainment, warehousing and industrial, and data centres; civil engineering and infrastructure for mining, industrial, and water and energy infrastructure; and roads and earthworks, such as road and bridges, bulk earthworks, dams, oil and gas, and rail and pipeline infrastructure projects. The company also undertakes construction of airports, toll roads, renewable energy, and serviced accommodation; and manufactures, supplies, and installs long-steel products. Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited reported revenue of R28.5B in FY2025 versus R19.5B in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was R1.2B in FY2025, compounding +40.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
28.5B ZAR
Latest YoY
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.6%
Revenue +10.0%/yr
FY21 R19.5B
FY22 R17.2B
FY23 R23.8B
FY24 R27.5B
FY25 R28.5B
Net income +40.8%/yr
FY21 R316M
FY22 −R2.2B
FY23 R790M
FY24 R968M
FY25 R1.2B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share −0.4 pp

of which total revenue −0.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.5 pp

EBIT margin +5.0 pp
Tax rate +1.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WBO

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 842 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +197% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.65× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 87.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 15
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 96 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited (WBO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R501.86 versus a price of R168.98, about +197% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WBO?
Our model-based fair value for Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited is R501.86 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R168.98.
What is the quality score of WBO?
Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited (WBO)?
Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 27.9B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WBO?
The net profit margin of Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited pay a dividend?
Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.04% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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