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GeneDx Holdings Corp. (WGS) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.9B · ISIN US81663L2007

GH GeneDx Holdings Corp. logo GeneDx Holdings Corp. WGS · US
Price$86.34
Fair Value$4.75
Upside-94.5%
Quality52/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 1718% ABOVE our fair value of $4.75
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +19.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -17.6% net margin
!Trails peers (1/11)
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +19.0 %/yr)
Loss-making · -17.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range $3.17 – $6.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +35.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 1,718% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.17 to $6.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$462.33 $1.24 Fair Value $4.75 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.24 – $462.33 · fair‑value band $3.17 – $6.33 · the $86.34 price screens above the $4.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

GeneDx Holdings Corp. (WGS) currently trades at $86.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.75, implying the stock looks roughly 94.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, GeneDx Holdings Corp. generated revenue of $443M at a net margin of -17.6%. Revenue grew 17.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.4%. Net debt stands at $46.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.17 (bear case) to $6.33 (bull case); at $86.34, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 168% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -95%, WGS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $8.45 $11.46 $20.45 78
Growth DCF $8.04 $12.08 $19.51 77
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.29 $11.00 $18.26 74
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.45 $11.46 $20.45 78
5Y Revenue Exit $7.25 $10.91 $18.56 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.29 $11.00 $18.26 74
10Y Revenue Exit $7.52 $13.55 $17.20 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.71 $13.63 $23.60 66
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $6.66 $8.24 $9.83 67
EV/Revenue $6.29 $8.16 $10.03 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.19 $6.96 $10.38 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.04 $12.08 $19.51 77
Rev-Margin DCF $7.46 $12.21 $21.46 70

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($12.08) versus Asset-Based ($6.96). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 4.26 TTM
EPS (TTM) $-2.66
Net margin -4.9% FY2025
Return on equity -30.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -50.7% avg 5y
Operating margin -25.6% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $443M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.4% 3y avg +22.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $14.3M FY2025
Net debt $46.9M FY2025 · ≈ 3.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 92
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

GeneDx Holdings Corp., a genomics company, provides genetic testing services. The company primarily offers pediatric and rare disease diagnostics with a focus on whole exome and genome sequencing, as well as data and information services.

Full company description

GeneDx Holdings Corp., a genomics company, provides genetic testing services. The company primarily offers pediatric and rare disease diagnostics with a focus on whole exome and genome sequencing, as well as data and information services. It also develops an AI-based platform for next generation sequencing analysis, interpretation, and clinical reporting for rare disease, hereditary risk, and cancer testing. GeneDx Holdings Corp. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GeneDx Holdings Corp. reported revenue of $428M in FY2025 versus $212M in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$21.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$428M
Latest YoY
+40.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.9%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +19.1%/yr
FY21 $212M
FY22 $235M
FY23 $203M
FY24 $305M
FY25 $428M
Net income
FY21 −$245M
FY22 −$549M
FY23 −$176M
FY24 −$52.3M
FY25 −$21.0M

WGS screens 1,718% overvalued. Compare with Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GeneDx Holdings Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WGS

Peer Group

Diagnostics & Research · 140 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −95% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -26% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Diagnostics & Research median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.26× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 132.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE87 · sector 24
PAST0 · sector 9
HEALTH92 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Diagnostics & Research stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc TMO $630.70 $308.19 -51%
Danaher Corporation DHR $215.68 $103.88 -52%
WuXi AppTec Co 2359 HK$198.90 HK$157.39 -21%
Lonza Group LONN CHF 587.80 CHF 259.80 -56%
IDEXX Laboratories, Inc IDXX $553.44 $255.77 -54%
Agilent Technologies, Inc A $155.08 $61.53 -60%
Waters Corporation WAT $416.15 $121.96 -71%
IQVIA Holdings IQV $236.66 $132.17 -44%
Illumina, Inc ILMN $215.59 $95.51 -56%
Mettler-Toledo International Inc MTD $1,419 $615.78 -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GeneDx Holdings Corp. (WGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.75 versus a price of $86.34, about −95% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WGS?
Our model-based fair value for GeneDx Holdings Corp. is $4.75 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $86.34.
What is the quality score of WGS?
GeneDx Holdings Corp. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GeneDx Holdings Corp. (WGS)?
GeneDx Holdings Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $443M (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WGS?
The net profit margin of GeneDx Holdings Corp. is about -17.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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