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Wheels India Limited (WHEELS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹36.4B

WI Wheels India Limited WHEELS · NSE
Price₹1,561
Fair Value₹1,241
Upside-20.6%
Quality54/100

Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +17.8 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 26% ABOVE our fair value of ₹1,241
!Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 40/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +17.8 %/yr)
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range ₹636.74 – ₹1,745 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price +8.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 26% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (₹636.74 to ₹1,745). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,786 ₹421.83 Fair Value ₹1,241 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹421.83 – ₹1,786 · fair‑value band ₹636.74 – ₹1,745 · the ₹1,561 price screens above the ₹1,241 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Wheels India Limited (WHEELS) currently trades at ₹1,561, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,241, implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wheels India Limited generated revenue of ₹22.4B at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.6%. Net debt stands at ₹7.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹636.74 (bear case) to ₹1,745 (bull case); at ₹1,561, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 124% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -21%, WHEELS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹346.38 ₹644.50 ₹1,129 80
Residual Income ₹424.99 ₹566.65 ₹1,675 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹764.87 ₹1,467 ₹2,327 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹344.80 ₹656.22 ₹1,168 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹764.87 ₹1,491 ₹2,468 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹966.81 ₹1,890 ₹3,028 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹679.73 ₹1,323 ₹2,037 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹578.45 ₹1,215 ₹2,167 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹746.12 ₹1,501 ₹2,617 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹559.02 ₹1,095 ₹1,820 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹431.41 ₹1,712 ₹2,326 54
Lynch FV ₹424.12 ₹605.88 ₹787.64 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹424.12 ₹605.88 ₹787.64 46
EPV ₹857.20 ₹1,017 ₹1,157 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹112.96 ₹234.88 ₹372.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹112.96 ₹198.05 ₹246.51 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,047 ₹1,396 ₹1,745 63
P/S Multiple ₹808.90 ₹1,079 ₹1,348 58
P/B Multiple ₹808.90 ₹1,079 ₹1,348 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,540 ₹2,088 ₹2,636 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,417 ₹1,924 ₹2,431 54
EV/Revenue ₹1,005 ₹1,480 ₹1,954 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹213.13 ₹285.59 ₹426.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹346.38 ₹644.50 ₹1,129 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹764.87 ₹1,467 ₹2,327 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹424.99 ₹566.65 ₹1,675 76
ROIC Compounder ₹963.11 ₹1,306 ₹1,744 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹770.82 ₹1,101 ₹1,432 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹1,396) versus Dividend Discount (₹198.05). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 24.6
P/S ratio 1.63 TTM
Net margin 3.2% TTM
Return on equity 13.6% TTM
Return on assets 5.4% TTM
Operating margin 4.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
EPS (TTM) ₹63.51
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹22.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.5% 3y avg +5.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹899M FY2026
Net debt ₹7.6B FY2026 · ≈ 8.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 81
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Wheels India Limited, together with its subsidiary, manufactures and sells automotive and industrial components in India and internationally.

Full company description

Wheels India Limited, together with its subsidiary, manufactures and sells automotive and industrial components in India and internationally. The company provides steel, cast aluminum, forged aluminum, and wire wheel for use in passenger and light cargo vehicles, trucks, trailers, buses, agriculture and farm equipment, off-road vehicles, and defense vehicles; vehicle chassis and suspensions; wind turbines; fabricated and precision products for construction, mining vehicle, and other equipment; hydraulic cylinders for energy equipment and off-road vehicles; and railway products, such as bogie frames and bolsters. It also offers components and structures for windmill, railways, and thermal power plants. The company was incorporated in 1960 and is headquartered in Chennai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Wheels India Limited reported revenue of ₹54.6B in FY2026 versus ₹39.7B in FY2022, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.6B in FY2026, compounding +19.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹54.6B
Latest YoY
+15.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+25.5% (25.5 + 0.0)
Revenue +8.3%/yr
FY22 ₹39.7B
FY23 ₹46.4B
FY24 ₹49.8B
FY25 ₹47.4B
FY26 ₹54.6B
Net income +19.3%/yr
FY22 ₹765M
FY23 ₹554M
FY24 ₹628M
FY25 ₹1.1B
FY26 ₹1.6B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +10.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.3 pp

of which total revenue +10.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp

EBIT margin +10.7 pp
Tax rate +0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −10.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

WHEELS screens 21% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wheels India Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WHEELS

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 646 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −21% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.63× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 19.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE6 · sector 17
FUTURE13 · sector 25
PAST55 · sector 28
HEALTH88 · sector 95
DIVIDEND16 · sector 31

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥56.76 ¥84.47 +49%
Knorr-Bremse AG KBX €100.50 €72.88 -27%
Magna International Inc MGA $69.71 $68.17 -2%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $131.89 $58.07 -56%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹169.58 ₹80.63 -52%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,700 ₹11,534 -76%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥50.30 ¥28.28 -44%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wheels India Limited (WHEELS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,241 versus a price of ₹1,561, about −21% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WHEELS?
Our model-based fair value for Wheels India Limited is ₹1,241 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,561.
What is the quality score of WHEELS?
Wheels India Limited has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wheels India Limited (WHEELS)?
Wheels India Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹22.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WHEELS?
The net profit margin of Wheels India Limited is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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