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Wilmington PLC (WIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Wilmington PLC £2.71, price £2.54, upside +6.7%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · GB · ISIN GB0009692319

WP Broad data Sep 27, 2026

Wilmington PLC

WIL · LSE

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value £2.71 · Fairly valued (+6.7%)
!Quality 59/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue YoY +3.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓4.6% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Ranks above peers (9/14)
!Moderate moat 54/100
!Insider activity 40/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£3.96 £1.77 Fair Value £2.71 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £1.77 – £3.96 · fair‑value band £2.03 – £3.39 · the £2.54 price screens below the £2.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Wilmington plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides data, information, training, and education solutions to professional markets in the United Kingdom, the United States, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Health, Safety and Environment (HSE), Legal, and Financial Services segments.

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Wilmington plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides data, information, training, and education solutions to professional markets in the United Kingdom, the United States, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Health, Safety and Environment (HSE), Legal, and Financial Services segments. It offers risk and compliance data; face-to-face and online learning for various industry standard qualifications and certificates; and compliance training and technical support, including formal qualifications, continuing education, and mandatory training through instructor-led and self-guided formats for customers across various industries, such as financial services, legal, and health, safety, and environment sectors. The company also provides training courses in health, safety, and environmental industries; international compliance and regulatory information for the insurance industry; witness training and conference services; certified professional training; training courses in compliance and money laundering; facilitation of ISO certification services for businesses; professional association services; training and support services for the accounting profession; conference and networking services for specialist events in the healthcare and finance industries; information and events for professional markets; and trust and shared services. It offers its services under the ICA, CLTi, Mercia, Astutis, Bond Solon, and FRA brands. The company was formerly known as Wilmington Group plc and changed its name to Wilmington plc in February 2015. Wilmington plc was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Birmingham, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Wilmington PLC (WIL) currently trades at £2.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.71, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.3%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £2.66 per share, and 10 of the 23 models we run sit above the £2.54 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.8400, and 13 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: £2.03 (bear) to £3.39 (bull), the price of £2.54 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Wilmington PLC reported revenue of 101M GBX in FY2025 versus 113M GBX in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 11.6M GBX in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 232M GBX · P/E ratio 19.5 · P/S ratio 2.23 · EPS (TTM) £0.1300 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 11.4% · Return on equity 10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 35% fair-value upside, at 7%, WIL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £2.03 Fair Value £2.71 Bull £3.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0140 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF £2.09 £2.57 £3.26 82
Growth DCF £2.13 £2.58 £3.19 80
5Y EBITDA Exit £2.12 £2.86 £3.75 76
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £2.09 £2.57 £3.26 82
5Y Revenue Exit £1.92 £2.52 £3.31 74
5Y EBITDA Exit £2.12 £2.86 £3.75 76
5Y P/E Exit £2.17 £2.95 £3.79 72
10Y Revenue Exit £1.95 £2.45 £3.03 68
10Y EBITDA Exit £2.09 £2.66 £3.31 70
10Y P/E Exit £2.12 £2.72 £3.34 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.8800 £1.67 £2.07 66
EPV £1.16 £1.25 £1.33 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.8800 £1.15 £1.39 69
DDM Multi-Stage £0.8800 £1.16 £1.44 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple £2.03 £2.71 £3.39 63
P/S Multiple £1.65 £2.19 £2.74 58
P/B Multiple £1.65 £2.19 £2.74 55
EV/EBIT £2.54 £3.24 £3.93 66
EV/EBITDA £2.40 £3.04 £3.69 67
EV/Revenue £1.90 £2.51 £3.12 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.6300 £0.8400 £1.26 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £2.13 £2.58 £3.19 80
Rev-Margin DCF £1.92 £2.55 £3.27 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £1.06 £1.16 £1.32 76
ROIC Compounder £1.16 £1.25 £1.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £1.45 £2.08 £2.70 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+5.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.2% vs 4.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 14%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+20.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.0% a year for the price and +17.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+23.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+23.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+20.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+18.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+15.5%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 124 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +6.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.1% · Above median
Return on assets 6.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.6% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.05× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.17× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 13.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)42 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)60 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)40 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)91 · sector 54

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDU $56.47 $83.50 +48%
TAL Education Group TAL $12.00 $32.66 +172%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $37.40 $40.60 +9%
Covista Inc CVSA $120.75 $151.99 +26%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹134.36 ₹33.64 −75%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $147.28 $162.01 +10%
Stride, Inc LRN $76.66 $171.72 +124%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $20.30 $21.53 +6%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $30.49 $41.28 +35%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $76.83 $105.48 +37%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wilmington PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WIL

Frequently asked questions

Is Wilmington PLC (WIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2.71 versus a price of £2.54, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of WIL?
Our model-based fair value for Wilmington PLC is £2.71 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £2.54.
What is the quality score of WIL?
Wilmington PLC has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £2.71 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario £2.03, optimistic scenario £3.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wilmington PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £2.71, about +7% upside versus a price of £2.54 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £2.03, optimistic scenario £3.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
Wilmington PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £107M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Wilmington PLC pay a dividend?
Wilmington PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Wilmington PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +0.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.1 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WIL use?
Our models discount Wilmington PLC at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Wilmington PLC that is +0.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Wilmington PLC (WIL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Wilmington PLC grew -2.1 % a year. The price currently implies +0.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Wilmington PLC (WIL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Wilmington PLC (+0.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.32 %: that much free cash flow Wilmington PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wilmington PLC it is £2.71 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of £2.54. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wilmington PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, WIL trades below its calculated fair value: price £2.54, fair value £2.71, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£2.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£2.71). For Wilmington PLC the two are £0.1700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wilmington PLC worth?
The market values Wilmington PLC at about 232M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is £2.54; our models calculate a fair value of £2.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WIL?
Our models span a range for Wilmington PLC: cautious scenario £2.03, base £2.71, optimistic £3.39 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price £2.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WIL?
Wilmington PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £2.71 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wilmington PLC (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 10.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WIL from its 52-week high?
Wilmington PLC trades at £2.54, about 26% below its 52-week high of £3.44 and 10% above the low of £2.30 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £2.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wilmington PLC?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wilmington PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price £2.54, calculated fair value £2.71 (+7%), Quality Score 59/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WIL calculated?
We run Wilmington PLC through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £2.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Wilmington PLC currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was £2.54. Our model-based fair value is £2.71, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wilmington PLC right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Wilmington PLC (WIL) come from?
Earnings per share at Wilmington PLC grew +13.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.3 %, EBIT margin +3.8 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +7.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Wilmington PLC

How large is the market capitalisation of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
The market capitalisation of Wilmington PLC is 232M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wilmington PLC is 2.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
Earnings per share at Wilmington PLC are £0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
The dividend yield of Wilmington PLC is 4.6% (payout 89.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
The net margin of Wilmington PLC is 11.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wilmington PLC is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wilmington PLC is 12.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
The operating margin of Wilmington PLC is 18.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
Revenue at Wilmington PLC is growing +12.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wilmington PLC (WIL)?
Earnings per share at Wilmington PLC are growing −22.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Wilmington PLC (WIL) hold?
Wilmington PLC holds more cash than debt, 40.8M GBX net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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