Data-driven stock valuation

WIN Metals Ltd (WIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what WIN Metals Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

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Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$16.3M (≈ $11.8M) · ISIN AU0000172041

At a glance

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0164 to A$0.0177), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
• Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0130 – A$0.5557 · fair‑value band A$0.0164 – A$0.0177 · the A$0.0170 price screens below the A$0.0170 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

WIN Metals Ltd (WIN) currently trades at A$0.0170, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Revenue grew 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −18.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.2M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 1.6 (as of Aug 26, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Scenario range: A$0.0164 (bear) to A$0.0177 (bull), the price of A$0.0170 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 0%, WIN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0100 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Widest divergence: Multiples (A$0.3200) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (64).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

WIN Metals Ltd operates as a mineral exploration and development company in Australia. The company explores for gold, lithium, and nickel deposits.

Full company description

WIN Metals Ltd operates as a mineral exploration and development company in Australia. The company explores for gold, lithium, and nickel deposits. Its properties include the 100% owned Mt Edwards nickel and lithium project that covers an area of 240 square kilometers located in Western Australia; the Faraday-Trainline lithium project located in Widgiemooltha, Western Australia; and Butchers Creek Gold Project located in Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Widgie Nickel Limited and changed its name to WIN Metals Ltd in July 2024. WIN Metals Ltd was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

WIN Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$1.3M in FY2025 versus A$48.2K in FY2022, a compound +202.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$33.8M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 466 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

Context: sector, industry, market

• Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
• P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
• Valuation of the Australia market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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