Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Wrap Technologies Inc $0.19, price $1.47, upside -87.1%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.01 – $8.18 · fair‑value band $0.1200 – $0.2400 · the $1.47 price screens above the $0.1900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Wrap Technologies, Inc., a public safety technology and services company, develops policing solutions for law enforcement and security personnel in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and internationally.
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Wrap Technologies, Inc., a public safety technology and services company, develops policing solutions for law enforcement and security personnel in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company offers BolaWrap, a handheld and non-lethal device designed to give a tactical option; Wrap Reality, a virtual reality training platform, which provides scenario-based training focused on human-factors awareness, decision making under stress, and use of force judgment.; WrapTactics, a subscription-based digital training and performance platform aimed at delivering short form and scenario-based instruction focused on non-lethal response tactics, decision-making under stress, and follow-on lawful control techniques; WrapVision, a body-worn camera and digital evidence management solution; and counter-unmanned aircraft systems (C-UAS) through a network of distributors, resellers, strategic partners, and direct sales. Wrap Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
Stock analysis
Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP) currently trades at $1.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1900, 87.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $0.2100 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the $1.47 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1400, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1200 (bear) to $0.2400 (bull), the price of $1.47 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Wrap Technologies Inc reported revenue of $4.7M in FY2025 versus $7.7M in FY2021, a compound −11.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$10.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $74.1M · P/S ratio 12.4 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3100 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin −299% · Return on equity −176% · Return on assets (EBIT) −73.3% · Operating margin −429%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −87%, WRAP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1200Fair Value $0.1900Bull $0.2400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.9/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+113.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−331.6% (2020) → −288.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 145 stocks
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Is Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1900 versus a price of $1.47, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WRAP?
Our model-based fair value for Wrap Technologies Inc is $0.1900 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.47.
What is the quality score of WRAP?
Wrap Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1900 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1200, optimistic scenario $0.2400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wrap Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1900, about −87% upside versus a price of $1.47 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1200, optimistic scenario $0.2400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
Wrap Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Wrap Technologies Inc pay a dividend?
Wrap Technologies Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wrap Technologies Inc it is $0.1900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.47. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wrap Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WRAP trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.47, fair value $0.1900, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WRAP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1900). For Wrap Technologies Inc the two are $1.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wrap Technologies Inc worth?
The market values Wrap Technologies Inc at about $74.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.47; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WRAP?
Our models span a range for Wrap Technologies Inc: cautious scenario $0.1200, base $0.1900, optimistic $0.2400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wrap Technologies Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −176.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WRAP from its 52-week high?
Wrap Technologies Inc trades at $1.47, about 53% below its 52-week high of $3.10 and 39% above the low of $1.06 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wrap Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Coherent Corp, Garmin Ltd, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wrap Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.47, calculated fair value $0.1900 (−87%), Quality Score 35/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WRAP calculated?
We run Wrap Technologies Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Wrap Technologies Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.47. Our model-based fair value is $0.1900, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wrap Technologies Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1200 to $0.2400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Wrap Technologies Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
The market capitalisation of Wrap Technologies Inc is $74.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wrap Technologies Inc is 12.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
Earnings per share at Wrap Technologies Inc are $−0.3100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
The dividend yield of Wrap Technologies Inc is 1.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
The net margin of Wrap Technologies Inc is −299% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wrap Technologies Inc is −176% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wrap Technologies Inc is −73.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
The operating margin of Wrap Technologies Inc is −429% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)?
Revenue at Wrap Technologies Inc is growing +45.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP) generate?
The free cash flow of Wrap Technologies Inc is −$10.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP) hold?
Wrap Technologies Inc holds more cash than debt, $1.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026