Yamaya Corporation (WY2) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Yamaya Corporation stock €17.12, price €11.32, upside +51.3%, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €10.71 – €19.44 · fair‑value band €14.03 – €22.26 · the €11.32 price screens below the €17.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 21, 2026.
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Yamaya Corporation primarily engages in the wholesale and retail sale of alcoholic beverages and food products through stores and mail order in Japan. The company also operates restaurants. Yamaya Corporation was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Sendai, Japan.
Stock analysis
Yamaya Corporation (WY2) currently trades at €11.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €17.12, implying the stock looks roughly 33.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €22.90 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the €11.32 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €2.83, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €14.03 (bear) to €22.26 (bull), the price of €11.32 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Yamaya Corporation reported revenue of ¥159B in FY2026 versus ¥143B in FY2022, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.1B in FY2026, compounding −17.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap €123M Micro · P/E ratio 10.6 · EPS (TTM) €1.07 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% · Operating margin 1.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at 51%, WY2 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€14.03Fair Value €17.12Bull€22.26
Price €11.32 · Upside +51.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.3870 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.0% vs 1.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 2%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Brewers · 56 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside+51.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.5% · Below median
Return on assets3.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)1.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)2.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yamaya Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WY2
Frequently asked questions
Is Yamaya Corporation (WY2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €17.12 versus a price of €11.32, about +51% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WY2?
Our model-based fair value for Yamaya Corporation is €17.12 (as of Oct 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €11.32.
What is the quality score of WY2?
Yamaya Corporation has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €17.12 (as of Oct 21, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €14.03, optimistic scenario €22.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yamaya Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €17.12, about +51% upside versus a price of €11.32 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €14.03, optimistic scenario €22.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
Yamaya Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥160B (latest available figure, as of Oct 21, 2026).
Does Yamaya Corporation pay a dividend?
Yamaya Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 3.51% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 21, 2026).
What growth is priced into Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yamaya Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -6.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.2 % per year. As of Oct 21, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WY2 use?
Our models discount Yamaya Corporation at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yamaya Corporation that is -6.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yamaya Corporation (WY2) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yamaya Corporation grew +1.2 % a year. The price currently implies -6.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yamaya Corporation (WY2) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yamaya Corporation (-6.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.31 %: that much free cash flow Yamaya Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yamaya Corporation it is €17.12 per share (as of Oct 21, 2026), against a price of €11.32. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yamaya Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 21, 2026, WY2 trades below its calculated fair value: price €11.32, fair value €17.12, a gap of about +51% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WY2?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€11.32); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€17.12). For Yamaya Corporation the two are €5.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yamaya Corporation worth?
The market values Yamaya Corporation at about €123M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 21, 2026). Per share that is €11.32; our models calculate a fair value of €17.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WY2?
Our models span a range for Yamaya Corporation: cautious scenario €14.03, base €17.12, optimistic €22.26 per share (as of Oct 21, 2026, price €11.32). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WY2?
Yamaya Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6 (as of Oct 21, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €17.12 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 2.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yamaya Corporation (as of Oct 21, 2026): return on equity 6.5%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WY2 from its 52-week high?
Yamaya Corporation trades at €11.32, about 12% below its 52-week high of €12.92 and 9% above the low of €10.41 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €17.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yamaya Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Anheuser-Busch InBev SA, Heineken N.V, Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A., Constellation Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yamaya Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 21, 2026: price €11.32, calculated fair value €17.12 (+51%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WY2 calculated?
We run Yamaya Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €17.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Yamaya Corporation currently trades 34 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was €11.32. Our model-based fair value is €17.12, about +51% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yamaya Corporation right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€14.03). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Yamaya Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
The market capitalisation of Yamaya Corporation is €123M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
Earnings per share at Yamaya Corporation are €1.07 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
The dividend yield of Yamaya Corporation is 3.5% (payout 37.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
The net margin of Yamaya Corporation is 1.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yamaya Corporation is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yamaya Corporation is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
The operating margin of Yamaya Corporation is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
Revenue at Yamaya Corporation is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yamaya Corporation (WY2)?
Earnings per share at Yamaya Corporation are growing −8.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Yamaya Corporation (WY2) carry?
The net debt of Yamaya Corporation is ¥2.7B (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 21, 2026