Xer Tech Holding (XER) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 227M SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated today
Share price +4.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 2.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range kr 2.46 – kr 11.20 · fair‑value band kr 1.23 – kr 2.04 · the kr 3.64 price screens above the kr 1.64 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Xer Tech Holding (XER) currently trades at kr 3.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.64, implying the stock looks roughly 55.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 7.2M SEK. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.1. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 1.23 (bear case) to kr 2.04 (bull case); at kr 3.64, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -55%, XER screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 0.9000) versus Multiples (kr 0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xer Tech Holding AB (publ) develops and sells hybrid-electric long-range unmanned aerial systems (UAVs) for dual-use defense and commercial applications. It offers UAV hardware with proprietary hybrid engines and modular platforms able to carry heavy payloads, integrated AI, and sensor systems for demanding defense and industrial missions.
Full company description
Xer Tech Holding AB (publ) develops and sells hybrid-electric long-range unmanned aerial systems (UAVs) for dual-use defense and commercial applications. It offers UAV hardware with proprietary hybrid engines and modular platforms able to carry heavy payloads, integrated AI, and sensor systems for demanding defense and industrial missions. The company's platform also supports operations including powerline inspections, mapping, surveillance, gas leak detection, emergency response, and defense applications such as intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance, and mine detection. The company was formerly known as Renewable Ventures Nordic AB (publ). The company is based in Dietikon, Switzerland. Xer Tech Holding AB (publ) operates as a subsidiary of Rex Technology Investments Pte. Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xer Tech Holding reported revenue of kr 150K in FY2025 versus kr 297K in FY2022, a compound −20.4%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 9.3M in FY2025.
XER screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Dell Technologies Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 224 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $484.50 | $187.75 | -61% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $210.50 | $57.72 | -73% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $454.10 | $90.94 | -80% |
| Hygon Information Technology Co 688041 | ¥287.66 | ¥30.66 | -89% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥36.47 | ¥40.44 | +11% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥414.30 | ¥91.67 | -78% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$29.04 | HK$4.30 | -85% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥86.42 | ¥39.38 | -54% |
| Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 | ¥75.02 | ¥44.02 | -41% |
| Lite-On Technology Corporation 2301 | 269.50 TWD | 121.96 TWD | -55% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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