Xiaomi Corp (XIACY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Xiaomi Corp $19.46, price $15.33, upside +26.9%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Xiaomi Corp ADR for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.36 – $39.48 · fair‑value band $10.76 – $37.60 · the $15.33 price screens below the $19.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Follow Xiaomi Corp ADR in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Xiaomi Corp ADR is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Xiaomi Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sales of smartphones in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Smartphones, IoT and Lifestyle Products, Internet Services, and smart electric vehicles segments.
Show more
Xiaomi Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sales of smartphones in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Smartphones, IoT and Lifestyle Products, Internet Services, and smart electric vehicles segments. The company also offers internet of things (IoT) and lifestyle products comprising smart large home appliances, smart TVs, tablets, wearables and other IoT and lifestyle products; hardware repairment services for products; installation services for certain IoT products; and sale of materials. In addition, it provides internet services, such as advertising, online game, and fintech services; and development, manufacture, and sales of smart electric vehicles. Further, the company in the wholesale and retail of smartphones and ecosystem partners' products; investment activities; sales of smart hardware; software and hardware development; procurement and sales of smartphones, ecosystem partners' products and spare parts, and raw materials; operation of retail stores; and commercial factoring and e-commerce business. Additionally, it provides intra-group capital supervision, collection, remittance, credit guarantee, and interest rate risk management; customer; software related; promotion; electronic payment technology; and technical services. Xiaomi Corporation was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Xiaomi Corp ADR (XIACY) currently trades at $15.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.46, implying the stock looks roughly 21.2% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $31.07 per share, and 16 of the 24 models we run sit above the $15.33 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.99, and 8 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $10.76 (bear) to $37.60 (bull), the price of $15.33 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Xiaomi Corp ADR reported revenue of 445B CNY in FY2025 versus 328B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was 40.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding +20.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $81.8B · P/E ratio 12.7 · P/S ratio 1.16 · EPS (TTM) $1.15 · Net margin 9.1% · Return on equity 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Operating margin 4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 27%, XIACY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.76Fair Value $19.46Bull $37.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.8696 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +20.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.9%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +1.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.14.9% vs 50.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 120% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+14.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.3% a year for the price and +12.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consumer Electronics · 121 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+83.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets3.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.46 versus a price of $15.33, about +27% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of XIACY?
Our model-based fair value for Xiaomi Corp ADR is $19.46 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $15.33.
What is the quality score of XIACY?
Xiaomi Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $19.46 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.76, optimistic scenario $37.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xiaomi Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $19.46, about +27% upside versus a price of $15.33 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $10.76, optimistic scenario $37.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
Xiaomi Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 445B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xiaomi Corp ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +8.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.6 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of XIACY use?
Our models discount Xiaomi Corp ADR at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xiaomi Corp ADR that is +8.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xiaomi Corp (XIACY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Xiaomi Corp ADR grew +12.6 % a year. The price currently implies +8.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xiaomi Corp ADR (+8.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.89 %: that much free cash flow Xiaomi Corp ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xiaomi Corp ADR it is $19.46 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $15.33. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xiaomi Corp ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, XIACY trades below its calculated fair value: price $15.33, fair value $19.46, a gap of about +27% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XIACY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($15.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($19.46). For Xiaomi Corp ADR the two are $4.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xiaomi Corp ADR worth?
The market values Xiaomi Corp ADR at about $81.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $15.33; our models calculate a fair value of $19.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XIACY?
Our models span a range for Xiaomi Corp ADR: cautious scenario $10.76, base $19.46, optimistic $37.60 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $15.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of XIACY?
Xiaomi Corp ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.7 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $19.46 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 14.0 (reported for FY2025: 13.3). Other multiples: PEG 1.9, P/B 2.1, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 16.6.
What is the PEG ratio of XIACY?
The PEG ratio of Xiaomi Corp ADR is 1.89 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xiaomi Corp ADR (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 14.0%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XIACY from its 52-week high?
Xiaomi Corp ADR trades at $15.33, about 57% below its 52-week high of $35.74 and 11% above the low of $13.83 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $19.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xiaomi Corp ADR?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Samsung Electronics Co, Sony Group, LG Electronics Inc, Huaqin Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xiaomi Corp ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $15.33, calculated fair value $19.46 (+27%), Quality Score 49/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XIACY calculated?
We run Xiaomi Corp ADR through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $19.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Xiaomi Corp ADR currently trades 21 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $15.33. Our model-based fair value is $19.46, about +27% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xiaomi Corp ADR right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($10.76 to $37.60). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Xiaomi Corp ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
The market capitalisation of Xiaomi Corp ADR is $81.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xiaomi Corp ADR is 1.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
Earnings per share at Xiaomi Corp ADR are $1.15 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
The net margin of Xiaomi Corp ADR is 9.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xiaomi Corp ADR is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xiaomi Corp ADR is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
The operating margin of Xiaomi Corp ADR is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
Revenue at Xiaomi Corp ADR is growing −10.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xiaomi Corp (XIACY)?
Earnings per share at Xiaomi Corp ADR are growing −58.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Xiaomi Corp (XIACY) carry?
The net debt of Xiaomi Corp ADR is 10.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Xiaomi Corp ADR in the live analysis
One click puts Xiaomi Corp ADR on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Some data
Sep 29, 2026