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Xiaomi Corporation (XIACY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $75.2B

XC Xiaomi Corporation logo Xiaomi Corporation XIACY · US
Price$18.88
Fair Value$14.73
Upside-22.0%
Quality43/100
Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Moderate moat 51/100
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Evidence: High Range $9.78 – $29.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $18.47 to $14.73 (−20.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +36.5% over the past month.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($9.78 to $29.31). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$37.98 $13.83 Fair Value $14.73 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $13.83 – $37.98 · fair‑value band $9.78 – $29.31 · the $18.88 price screens above the $14.73 fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Xiaomi Corporation (XIACY) currently trades at $18.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.73, implying the stock looks roughly 22.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xiaomi Corporation generated revenue of $445B at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue declined 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. Net debt stands at $10.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.78 (bear case) to $29.31 (bull case); at $18.88, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -22%, XIACY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $445B
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.9%
Net margin 8.0%
Return on equity 14.0%
Free cash flow $21.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 12.7
More key figures
Operating margin 4.5%
EPS (TTM) $1.15
EPS growth (YoY) -58.1%
Net debt $10.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100
Profitability 51
Quality Growth 63
Cashflow 35
Fin. Strength 66
Investment 32
Low Volatility 65
Momentum 19
52W Momentum 9
Net Issuance 49

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Xiaomi Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sales of smartphones in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Smartphones, IoT and Lifestyle Products, Internet Services, and smart electric vehicles segments.

Full company description

Xiaomi Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sales of smartphones in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Smartphones, IoT and Lifestyle Products, Internet Services, and smart electric vehicles segments. The company also offers internet of things (IoT) and lifestyle products comprising smart large home appliances, smart TVs, tablets, wearables and other IoT and lifestyle products; hardware repairment services for products; installation services for certain IoT products; and sale of materials. In addition, it provides internet services, such as advertising, online game, and fintech services; and development, manufacture, and sales of smart electric vehicles. Further, the company in the wholesale and retail of smartphones and ecosystem partners' products; investment activities; sales of smart hardware; software and hardware development; procurement and sales of smartphones, ecosystem partners' products and spare parts, and raw materials; operation of retail stores; and commercial factoring and e-commerce business. Additionally, it provides intra-group capital supervision, collection, remittance, credit guarantee, and interest rate risk management; customer; software related; promotion; electronic payment technology; and technical services. Xiaomi Corporation was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xiaomi Corporation reported revenue of $445B in FY2025 versus $328B in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was $40.5B in FY2025, compounding +20.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY21 $328B
FY22 $280B
FY23 $271B
FY24 $366B
FY25 $445B
Net income +20.3%/yr
FY21 $19.3B
FY22 $2.5B
FY23 $17.5B
FY24 $23.7B
FY25 $40.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xiaomi Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XIACY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 4 / 4
FUTURE 0 / 11
PAST 56 / 15
HEALTH 96 / 97
DIVIDEND 0 / 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Apple Inc APC €251.20 €98.22 -61%
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 353,500 KRW 139,655 KRW -60%
Sony Group SONYN 373.00 MXN 440.14 MXN +18%
Panasonic Holdings PCRHY $25.96 $10.25 -61%
Koninklijke Philips N.V PHGN34 R$134.68 R$56.66 -58%
LG Electronics Inc 066570 202,000 KRW 101,895 KRW -50%
Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 ¥316.81 ¥35.89 -89%
Huaqin Co 603296 ¥79.36 ¥95.93 +21%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥23.72 ¥10.84 -54%
LG Corp 003550 109,900 KRW 94,418 KRW -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xiaomi Corporation (XIACY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.73 versus a price of $18.88, about −22% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of XIACY?
Our model-based fair value for Xiaomi Corporation is $14.73 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $18.88.
What is the quality score of XIACY?
Xiaomi Corporation has a Quality Score of 43/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Xiaomi Corporation (XIACY)?
Xiaomi Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $445B (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XIACY?
The net profit margin of Xiaomi Corporation is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.