Xiaomi Corporation (XIACY) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $75.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $18.47 to $14.73 (−20.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +36.5% over the past month.
What matters now
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($9.78 to $29.31). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $13.83 – $37.98 · fair‑value band $9.78 – $29.31 · the $18.88 price screens above the $14.73 fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.
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Xiaomi Corporation (XIACY) currently trades at $18.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.73, implying the stock looks roughly 22.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xiaomi Corporation generated revenue of $445B at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue declined 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. Net debt stands at $10.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.78 (bear case) to $29.31 (bull case); at $18.88, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -22%, XIACY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xiaomi Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sales of smartphones in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Smartphones, IoT and Lifestyle Products, Internet Services, and smart electric vehicles segments.
Full company description
Xiaomi Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the development and sales of smartphones in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Smartphones, IoT and Lifestyle Products, Internet Services, and smart electric vehicles segments. The company also offers internet of things (IoT) and lifestyle products comprising smart large home appliances, smart TVs, tablets, wearables and other IoT and lifestyle products; hardware repairment services for products; installation services for certain IoT products; and sale of materials. In addition, it provides internet services, such as advertising, online game, and fintech services; and development, manufacture, and sales of smart electric vehicles. Further, the company in the wholesale and retail of smartphones and ecosystem partners' products; investment activities; sales of smart hardware; software and hardware development; procurement and sales of smartphones, ecosystem partners' products and spare parts, and raw materials; operation of retail stores; and commercial factoring and e-commerce business. Additionally, it provides intra-group capital supervision, collection, remittance, credit guarantee, and interest rate risk management; customer; software related; promotion; electronic payment technology; and technical services. Xiaomi Corporation was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xiaomi Corporation reported revenue of $445B in FY2025 versus $328B in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was $40.5B in FY2025, compounding +20.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
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- How Apple Is Boosting Baidu and Other Chinese Tech Stocks
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Inc APC | €251.20 | €98.22 | -61% |
| Samsung Electronics Co 005930 | 353,500 KRW | 139,655 KRW | -60% |
| Sony Group SONYN | 373.00 MXN | 440.14 MXN | +18% |
| Panasonic Holdings PCRHY | $25.96 | $10.25 | -61% |
| Koninklijke Philips N.V PHGN34 | R$134.68 | R$56.66 | -58% |
| LG Electronics Inc 066570 | 202,000 KRW | 101,895 KRW | -50% |
| Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 | ¥316.81 | ¥35.89 | -89% |
| Huaqin Co 603296 | ¥79.36 | ¥95.93 | +21% |
| Goertek Inc 002241 | ¥23.72 | ¥10.84 | -54% |
| LG Corp 003550 | 109,900 KRW | 94,418 KRW | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.