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TCL Electronics Holdings (1070) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$32.5B

TE TCL Electronics Holdings 1070 · HK
PriceHK$16.09
Fair ValueHK$21.39
Upside+32.9%
Quality54/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (13/15)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range HK$16.33 – HK$25.99 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +5.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 33% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from HK$16.33 (bear) to HK$25.99 (bull), base HK$21.39. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$16.75 HK$1.97 Fair Value HK$21.39 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.97 – HK$16.75 · fair‑value band HK$16.33 – HK$25.99 · the HK$16.09 price screens below the HK$21.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

TCL Electronics Holdings (1070) currently trades at HK$16.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$21.39, implying the stock looks roughly 32.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, TCL Electronics Holdings generated revenue of HK$118B at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$7.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$16.33 (bear case) to HK$25.99 (bull case); at HK$16.09, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 33%, 1070 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$25.23 HK$39.22 HK$62.47 80
Residual Income HK$7.24 HK$8.90 HK$20.23 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$18.25 HK$25.84 HK$35.46 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$25.27 HK$40.22 HK$65.56 38
Owner Earnings HK$19.25 HK$29.66 HK$47.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$18.25 HK$25.83 HK$35.72 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$20.45 HK$30.27 HK$42.23 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$22.01 HK$33.42 HK$46.15 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$20.16 HK$28.06 HK$39.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$21.93 HK$31.28 HK$44.75 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$22.95 HK$33.56 HK$47.96 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$6.73 HK$29.11 HK$39.80 54
Lynch FV HK$7.48 HK$10.68 HK$13.88 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$7.48 HK$10.68 HK$13.88 46
EPV HK$12.55 HK$13.73 HK$14.76 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$16.33 HK$21.78 HK$27.22 63
P/S Multiple HK$12.62 HK$16.83 HK$21.03 58
P/B Multiple HK$12.62 HK$16.83 HK$21.03 55
EV/EBIT HK$19.66 HK$24.39 HK$29.12 53
EV/EBITDA HK$19.29 HK$23.89 HK$28.50 54
EV/Revenue HK$15.04 HK$19.14 HK$23.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$3.81 HK$5.10 HK$7.62 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$25.23 HK$39.22 HK$62.47 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$18.25 HK$25.84 HK$35.46 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$7.24 HK$8.90 HK$20.23 76
ROIC Compounder HK$13.30 HK$15.58 HK$18.31 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$12.80 HK$18.28 HK$23.76 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$30.27) versus Asset-Based (HK$5.10). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$118B
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.3%
Net margin 2.3%
Return on equity 13.5%
Free cash flow HK$4.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 13.2 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 1.2%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.4300
EPS growth (YoY) +121%
Net cash HK$7.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TCL Electronics Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a consumer electronics company in Mainland China, Europe, Latin America, North America, and internationally.

Full company description

TCL Electronics Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a consumer electronics company in Mainland China, Europe, Latin America, North America, and internationally. It operates through six segments: TV; Internet Business; Smart Mobile, Connective Devices and Services; All-Category Marketing; Photovoltaic Business; and Smart Commercial Display, Smart Home and Other Businesses. The company manufactures and sells television (TV) sets, mobile phones, smart connective devices, smart commercial display and smart home products, and photovoltaic equipment. It also engages in membership cards, video-on-demand, advertising, vertical application, and other businesses. In addition, the company distributes TCL branded air conditioners, refrigerators and washing machines, and other household appliances; and offers construction, operation, and maintenance services. Further, it is involved in trading of TV products and related components, smart commercial display products, and white goods; operation of distribution network; research and development of software of TV products; operation of the internet platform; sale of photovoltaic power generation equipment and systems; valued-added telecommunications business and internet cultural business; distribution of mobile devices and components, as well as rendering services; construction of photovoltaic power stations; and other new energy technology business. The company was formerly known as TCL Multimedia Technology Holdings Limited and changed its name to TCL Electronics Holdings Limited in June 2018. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Sha Tin, Hong Kong. TCL Electronics Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of T.C.L. Industries Holdings (H.K.) Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TCL Electronics Holdings reported revenue of HK$115B in FY2025 versus HK$74.8B in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.5B in FY2025, compounding +20.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$115B
Latest YoY
+15.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.9%
Revenue +11.2%/yr
FY21 HK$74.8B
FY22 HK$71.4B
FY23 HK$79.0B
FY24 HK$99.3B
FY25 HK$115B
Net income +20.5%/yr
FY21 HK$1.2B
FY22 HK$447M
FY23 HK$744M
FY24 HK$1.8B
FY25 HK$2.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +23.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.1 pp

of which total revenue +12.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.5 pp

EBIT margin +4.0 pp
Tax rate +0.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +12.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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TCL Electronics Holdings · Fair Value
HK$21.39 +33%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TCL Electronics Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1070

Peer Group

Consumer Electronics · 128 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +33% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.69× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.46× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 77 · sector 10
FUTURE 77 · sector 17
PAST 54 · sector 10
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Apple Inc AAPL $305.93 $172.19 -44%
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 255,500 KRW 163,160 KRW -36%
Sony Group SONYN 366.00 MXN 303.26 MXN -17%
Xiaomi Corporation 1810 HK$25.88 HK$44.26 +71%
LG Electronics Inc 066570 205,000 KRW 98,149 KRW -52%
Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 ¥249.80 ¥35.52 -86%
Huaqin Co 603296 ¥79.02 ¥39.69 -50%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥22.56 ¥21.02 -7%
LG Corp 003550 113,700 KRW 89,984 KRW -21%
Shenzhen Transsion Holdings 688036 ¥56.29 ¥56.82 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TCL Electronics Holdings (1070) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$21.39 versus a price of HK$16.09, about +33% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1070?
Our model-based fair value for TCL Electronics Holdings is HK$21.39 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$16.09.
What is the quality score of 1070?
TCL Electronics Holdings has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TCL Electronics Holdings (1070)?
TCL Electronics Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$118B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1070?
The net profit margin of TCL Electronics Holdings is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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