XXL Energy Corp (XL) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CA · Market cap C$1.0M (≈ $733K) · ISIN CA98418B1058

Below-average quality, trading 67% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$0.2940). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• A fairly wide model range (C$0.2940 to C$0.5513) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.1400 – C$0.3500 · fair‑value band C$0.2940 – C$0.5513 · the C$0.1400 price screens below the C$0.4200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

XXL Energy Corp (XL) currently trades at C$0.1400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.4200, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at C$2.9M. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. Net debt stands at C$53.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$0.2940 (bear case) to C$0.5513 (bull case); at C$0.1400, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 200%, XL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$1.68) versus Multiples (C$0.5800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

XXL Energy Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of petroleum and natural gas properties in the United States.

Full company description

XXL Energy Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of petroleum and natural gas properties in the United States. It holds interests in six wells and three royalty interest wells in the Green River Basin property; an interest in oil and gas leases and related assets in the Piceance Basin, Colorado; and working interests in oil and gas leases located in the Warbonnet area of Pinedale Field, Sublette County, Wyoming. The company was formerly known as Exxel Energy Corp. and changed its name to XXL Energy Corp. in May 2008. XXL Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

XXL Energy Corp reported revenue of $3.6M in FY2025 versus $3.3M in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.9M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 329 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.