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XTPL SA (XTP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of XTPL SA stock PLN 44.91, price PLN 70.30, that is 36.1% below the price, quality 26 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Technology PL · ISIN PLXTPL000018

XS XTPL SA logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

XTPL SA

XTP · WAR
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 36% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +10.9 %/yr in PLN)
Revenue last quarter 54% below a year ago.
Fair value 44.91 PLN · Strongly overvalued
Quality 26/100
Loss-making · -173.4% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

192.00 PLN 41.70 PLN Fair Value 44.91 PLN Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 41.70 PLN – 192.00 PLN · fair‑value band 33.68 PLN – 56.14 PLN · the 70.30 PLN price screens above the 44.91 PLN fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

XTPL S.A. operates in the nanotechnology market in Poland and internationally. The company develops and commercializes precise printing technology platform of nanomaterials.

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It also offers delta printing system laboratory printers; Nanoinks and other consumables; and research services related to printing on client-supplied substrates. The company sells its products through distributors. XTPL S.A. was founded in 2015 and is based in Wroclaw, Poland.

Stock analysis

XTPL SA (XTP) currently trades at 70.30 PLN, while our estimate is 44.91 PLN, 36% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: 33.68 PLN (bear) to 56.14 PLN (bull), the price of 70.30 PLN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

XTPL SA reported revenue of 13.7M PLN in FY2025 versus 2.1M PLN in FY2021, a compound +60.1%/yr. Reported net income was −23.3M PLN in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 207M PLN (≈ $52.3M) Micro · P/S ratio 16.2 · EPS (TTM) −8.21 PLN · Return on equity −83.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −34.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −331% · Revenue (TTM) 12.9M PLN · Revenue growth (YoY) −53.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −36%, XTP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear 33.68 PLN Fair Value 44.91 PLN Bull 56.14 PLN
Price 70.30 PLN · Downside -36.1%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 3
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 73
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 20
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 69
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 48
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 44
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+226.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13,326.6% (2020) → −158.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

XTP screens overvalued: fair value 36% below the price. Compare with Dell Technologies Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 230 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −36.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −49.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −173.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −53.9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/B 10.69× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 16.08× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 86
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
HP Inc HPQ $28.96 $52.85 +82% vs XTP
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$19.57 HK$33.71 +72% vs XTP
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.25 ¥46.76 +37% vs XTP
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $196.68 $160.68 −18% vs XTP
Sandisk Corporation SNDK $977.69 $789.73 −19% vs XTP
Western Digital Corporation WDC $313.31 $175.91 −44% vs XTP
Everpure, Inc P $106.50 $57.04 −46% vs XTP
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $373.68 $195.72 −48% vs XTP
Wiwynn Corporation 6669 1,680 TWD 829.37 TWD −51% vs XTP
Seagate Technology Holdings STX $551.72 $208.25 −62% vs XTP

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XTPL SA: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "XTPL SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XTP

Frequently asked questions

Is XTPL SA (XTP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is 44.91 PLN versus a price of 70.30 PLN, about 36% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XTP?
Our estimate for XTPL SA is 44.91 PLN (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 70.30 PLN.
What is the quality score of XTP?
XTPL SA has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for XTPL SA (XTP)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of 44.91 PLN (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario 33.68 PLN, optimistic scenario 56.14 PLN. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the XTPL SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at 44.91 PLN, about 36% lower versus a price of 70.30 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 33.68 PLN, optimistic scenario 56.14 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of XTPL SA (XTP)?
XTPL SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.9M PLN (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of XTPL SA (XTP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For XTPL SA it is 44.91 PLN per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of 70.30 PLN.
Is XTPL SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, XTP trades above its calculated fair value: price 70.30 PLN, fair value 44.91 PLN, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XTP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (70.30 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (44.91 PLN). For XTPL SA the two are 25.39 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is XTPL SA worth?
The market values XTPL SA at about 207M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is 70.30 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 44.91 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XTP?
Our models span a range for XTPL SA: cautious scenario 33.68 PLN, base 44.91 PLN, optimistic 56.14 PLN per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price 70.30 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of XTPL SA (XTP)?
Balance-sheet figures for XTPL SA (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −83.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XTP from its 52-week high?
XTPL SA trades at 70.30 PLN, about 14% below its 52-week high of 81.80 PLN and 29% above the low of 54.70 PLN (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 44.91 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to XTPL SA?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Sandisk Corporation, Seagate Technology Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is XTPL SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price 70.30 PLN, calculated fair value 44.91 PLN (−36%), Quality Score 26/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. XTPL SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of XTPL SA (XTP)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was 70.30 PLN. Our estimate is 44.91 PLN, about 36% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with XTPL SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (56.14 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of XTPL SA

How large is the market capitalisation of XTPL SA (XTP)?
The market capitalisation of XTPL SA is 207M PLN (≈ $52.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of XTPL SA (XTP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of XTPL SA is 16.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of XTPL SA (XTP)?
Earnings per share at XTPL SA are −8.21 PLN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of XTPL SA (XTP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of XTPL SA is −83.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of XTPL SA (XTP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of XTPL SA is −34.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of XTPL SA (XTP)?
The operating margin of XTPL SA is −331% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at XTPL SA (XTP)?
Revenue at XTPL SA is growing −53.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does XTPL SA (XTP) generate?
The free cash flow of XTPL SA is −18.9M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does XTPL SA (XTP) carry?
The net debt of XTPL SA is 10.1M PLN (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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