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AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED S$0.42, price S$0.21, upside +100.0%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · SG · ISIN SGXE57819042

AG Thin data Oct 3, 2026

AEDGE GROUP LIMITED

XVG · SG

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 0.4200 SGD · Strongly undervalued (+100.0%)
!Quality 53/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +16.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.9% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Ranks above peers (12/14)
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

2,918 SGD 0.1303 SGD Fair Value 0.4200 SGD Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1303 SGD – 2,918 SGD · fair‑value band 0.2020 SGD – 0.5960 SGD · the 0.2100 SGD price screens below the 0.4200 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Aedge Group Limited engages in engineering services, transport services, cleaning services, security and manpower services in Singapore.

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Aedge Group Limited engages in engineering services, transport services, cleaning services, security and manpower services in Singapore. The company offers scaffolding, insulation and passive fire protection, and electrical engineering services to the industrial, petrochemical, and marine industries; and designs and installs heating, ventilation, air-conditioning, and refrigeration systems for industrial and marine industries. It also provides security services, such as security guarding and security system integration; EV charging services; cleaning services; and manpower services for aerospace technicians to aerospace maintenance, repair, and overhaul companies. In addition, the company offers transport services comprising private bus charter, school bus, and ad-hoc bus services. Aedge Group Limited was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Singapore.

Stock analysis

AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG) currently trades at 0.2100 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4200 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.4500 SGD per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the 0.2100 SGD price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.0500 SGD, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.2020 SGD (bear) to 0.5960 SGD (bull), the price of 0.2100 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

AEDGE GROUP LIMITED reported revenue of 38.4M SGD in FY2026 versus 20.5M SGD in FY2022, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was 2.4M SGD in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 37.5M SGD (≈ $29.3M) · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 0.65 · EPS (TTM) 0.0200 SGD · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 6.2% · Return on equity 17.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 100%, XVG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.2020 SGD Fair Value 0.4200 SGD Bull 0.5960 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0036 SGD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.2600 SGD 0.5900 SGD 1.09 SGD 74
Residual Income 0.0800 SGD 0.1100 SGD 0.1700 SGD 74
Owner Earnings 0.2700 SGD 0.6100 SGD 1.22 SGD 71
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 0.2700 SGD 0.6100 SGD 1.22 SGD 71
5Y P/E Exit 0.2000 SGD 0.4400 SGD 0.7300 SGD 68
10Y P/E Exit 0.2200 SGD 0.4500 SGD 0.8000 SGD 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0900 SGD 0.5100 SGD 0.7100 SGD 63
Lynch FV 0.1400 SGD 0.2000 SGD 0.2600 SGD 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0500 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.1600 SGD 66
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0500 SGD 0.0900 SGD 0.1100 SGD 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.2800 SGD 0.3700 SGD 0.4700 SGD 63
P/B Multiple 0.1700 SGD 0.2300 SGD 0.2800 SGD 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0400 SGD 0.0500 SGD 0.0800 SGD 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.2600 SGD 0.5900 SGD 1.09 SGD 74
Rev-Margin DCF 0.1500 SGD 0.3200 SGD 0.5600 SGD 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.0800 SGD 0.1100 SGD 0.1700 SGD 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+36.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+32.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+29.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5% → 10%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.6% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 361 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +100.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 17.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 43.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.35× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.16× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 26
PAST (return on equity)68 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)32 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)57 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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CK Hutchison Holdings 0001 HK$67.25 HK$134.50 +100%
SK Inc 034730 611,000 KRW 348,688 KRW −43%
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $55.36 $78.34 +42%
Keppel Ltd BN4 11.30 SGD 3.88 SGD −66%
Kingdom Holding 4280 13.08 SAR 13.40 SAR +2%
Koç Holding KCHOL 216.50 TRY 182.26 TRY −16%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AEDGE GROUP LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XVG

Frequently asked questions

Is AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4200 SGD versus a price of 0.2100 SGD, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of XVG?
Our model-based fair value for AEDGE GROUP LIMITED is 0.4200 SGD (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.2100 SGD.
What is the quality score of XVG?
AEDGE GROUP LIMITED has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.4200 SGD (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2020 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.5960 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AEDGE GROUP LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.4200 SGD, about +100% upside versus a price of 0.2100 SGD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.2020 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.5960 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
AEDGE GROUP LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 38.4M SGD (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does AEDGE GROUP LIMITED pay a dividend?
AEDGE GROUP LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.86% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AEDGE GROUP LIMITED would have to grow free cash flow by -2.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.5 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of XVG use?
Our models discount AEDGE GROUP LIMITED at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.01, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AEDGE GROUP LIMITED that is -2.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AEDGE GROUP LIMITED grew +16.5 % a year. The price currently implies -2.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (-2.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.32 %: that much free cash flow AEDGE GROUP LIMITED produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AEDGE GROUP LIMITED it is 0.4200 SGD per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 0.2100 SGD. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AEDGE GROUP LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, XVG trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.2100 SGD, fair value 0.4200 SGD, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XVG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.2100 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.4200 SGD). For AEDGE GROUP LIMITED the two are 0.2100 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AEDGE GROUP LIMITED worth?
The market values AEDGE GROUP LIMITED at about 37.5M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 0.2100 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.4200 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XVG?
Our models span a range for AEDGE GROUP LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.2020 SGD, base 0.4200 SGD, optimistic 0.5960 SGD per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 0.2100 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of XVG?
AEDGE GROUP LIMITED trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.4200 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
Balance-sheet figures for AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 17.0%, debt of 1.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XVG from its 52-week high?
AEDGE GROUP LIMITED trades at 0.2100 SGD, about 42% below its 52-week high of 0.3604 SGD and 24% above the low of 0.1688 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.4200 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AEDGE GROUP LIMITED?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AEDGE GROUP LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 0.2100 SGD, calculated fair value 0.4200 SGD (+100%), Quality Score 53/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XVG calculated?
We run AEDGE GROUP LIMITED through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.4200 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. AEDGE GROUP LIMITED currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 0.2100 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.4200 SGD, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AEDGE GROUP LIMITED right now?
The model range is unusually wide (0.2020 SGD to 0.5960 SGD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED

How large is the market capitalisation of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
The market capitalisation of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED is 37.5M SGD (≈ $29.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED is 0.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
Earnings per share at AEDGE GROUP LIMITED are 0.0200 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
The dividend yield of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED is 2.9% (payout 30.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
The net margin of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED is 6.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED is 17.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED is −1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
The operating margin of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG)?
Revenue at AEDGE GROUP LIMITED is growing +43.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does AEDGE GROUP LIMITED (XVG) carry?
The net debt of AEDGE GROUP LIMITED is 22.0M SGD (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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