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Yugo Metals Limited (YUG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Yugo Metals Limited stock A$0.02, price A$0.04, that is 31.1% below the price, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000404998

YM Yugo Metals Limited logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Yugo Metals Limited

YUG · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 31% below what the stock costs today.

Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +27.4 %/yr in AUD)
Fair value A$0.0241 · Overvalued (−31.1%)
Quality 38/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/6)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.4150 A$0.0090 Fair Value A$0.0241 Oct 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0090 – A$0.4150 · fair‑value band A$0.0241 – A$0.0276 · the A$0.0350 price screens above the A$0.0241 fair value. As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Yugo Metals Limited explores and develops base and precious metals in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The company explores for nickel, cobalt, gold, silver, antimony, copper, zinc, lead, iron, and barite deposits.

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It owns 100% interests in the Golden Hills project, which consists of the Sinjakovo and Jezero tenements covering an area of approximately 80.3 square kilometers; the St Nicholas project consisting of Doboj and Petrovo granted tenements covering an area of 60.3 square kilometers; and the Monte project comprising Cajnice tenement covering an area of approximately 49.5 square kilometers.

The company was formerly known as Lykos Metals Limited and changed its name to Yugo Metals Limited in June 2025. Yugo Metals Limited was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Booragoon, Australia.

Stock analysis

Yugo Metals Limited (YUG) currently trades at A$0.0350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0241, 31% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0241 (bear) to A$0.0276 (bull), the price of A$0.0350 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Yugo Metals Limited reported revenue of A$83.9K in FY2025 versus A$40.6K in FY2022, a compound +27.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.9M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$17.7M (≈ $12.4M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −110% · Return on assets (EBIT) −71.0% · Operating margin 1,151% · Revenue (TTM) A$110K · Revenue growth (YoY) +508% · Free cash flow −A$3.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −31%, YUG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0241 Fair Value A$0.0241 Bull A$0.0276
Price A$0.0350 · Downside -31.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 29
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+122.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13,097.0% (2022) → −2,057.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

YUG screens overvalued: fair value 31% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 373 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside −31.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −58.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 508.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.90× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 96
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$15.49 A$30.70 +98% vs YUG
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹257.35 ₹334.17 +30% vs YUG
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.90 SAR 63.69 SAR +10% vs YUG
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹550.15 ₹605.17 +10% vs YUG
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥29.87 ¥32.43 +9% vs YUG
BHP Group BHP A$59.00 A$47.21 −20% vs YUG
Korea Zinc Company 010130 891,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −27% vs YUG
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$8.45 C$4.43 −48% vs YUG
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.90 ¥6.82 −51% vs YUG
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥39.23 ¥4.44 −89% vs YUG

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Yugo Metals Limited: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yugo Metals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YUG

Frequently asked questions

Is Yugo Metals Limited (YUG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0241 versus a price of A$0.0350, about 31% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of YUG?
Our model-based fair value for Yugo Metals Limited is A$0.0241 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0350.
What is the quality score of YUG?
Yugo Metals Limited has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yugo Metals Limited (YUG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0241 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0241, optimistic scenario A$0.0276. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yugo Metals Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0241, about 31% lower versus a price of A$0.0350 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0241, optimistic scenario A$0.0276. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yugo Metals Limited (YUG)?
Yugo Metals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$110K (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yugo Metals Limited (YUG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yugo Metals Limited it is A$0.0241 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.0350. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yugo Metals Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, YUG trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0350, fair value A$0.0241, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of YUG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0350); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0241). For Yugo Metals Limited the two are A$0.0109 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yugo Metals Limited worth?
The market values Yugo Metals Limited at about A$17.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0350; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0241 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about YUG?
Our models span a range for Yugo Metals Limited: cautious scenario A$0.0241, base A$0.0241, optimistic A$0.0276 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price A$0.0350). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yugo Metals Limited (YUG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yugo Metals Limited (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −110.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is YUG from its 52-week high?
Yugo Metals Limited trades at A$0.0350, about 65% below its 52-week high of A$0.1000 and at the low of A$0.0350 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0241 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yugo Metals Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yugo Metals Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.0350, calculated fair value A$0.0241 (−31%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of YUG calculated?
We run Yugo Metals Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0241, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Yugo Metals Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yugo Metals Limited (YUG)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was A$0.0350. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0241, about 31% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yugo Metals Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0276). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0241 to A$0.0276), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Yugo Metals Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Yugo Metals Limited (YUG)?
The market capitalisation of Yugo Metals Limited is A$17.7M (≈ $12.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Yugo Metals Limited (YUG)?
Earnings per share at Yugo Metals Limited are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Yugo Metals Limited (YUG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yugo Metals Limited is −110% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yugo Metals Limited (YUG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yugo Metals Limited is −71.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yugo Metals Limited (YUG)?
The operating margin of Yugo Metals Limited is 1,151% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yugo Metals Limited (YUG)?
Revenue at Yugo Metals Limited is growing +508% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Yugo Metals Limited (YUG) generate?
The free cash flow of Yugo Metals Limited is −A$3.0M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Yugo Metals Limited (YUG) hold?
Yugo Metals Limited holds more cash than debt, A$6.2M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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