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Yankuang Energy Group (YZCHF) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $14.1B

YE Yankuang Energy Group logo Yankuang Energy Group YZCHF · US
Price$1.48
Fair Value$4.31
Upside+192.2%
Quality43/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 6.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.22 – $6.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −17.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 192% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.22). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.22 to $6.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2.04 $0.0283 Fair Value $4.31 Oct 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0283 – $2.04 · fair‑value band $3.22 – $6.93 · the $1.48 price screens below the $4.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Yankuang Energy Group (YZCHF) currently trades at $1.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.31, implying the stock looks roughly 192.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yankuang Energy Group generated revenue of $146B at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at $63.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.22 (bear case) to $6.93 (bull case); at $1.48, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 192%, YZCHF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $8.56 $9.35 $12.57 76
ROIC Compounder $5.08 $6.63 $7.99 72
Growth-Adj P/E $8.31 $11.87 $15.43 68
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $4.02 $8.75 $16.02 31
5Y Revenue Exit $3.71 $10.44 $19.27 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.65 $14.09 $24.14 41
5Y P/E Exit $1.63 $6.52 $11.74 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.8500 $6.42 $14.29 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.46 $8.97 $18.03 37
10Y P/E Exit $3.69 $8.51 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.10 $19.57 $26.10 54
Lynch FV $4.33 $6.19 $8.05 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.33 $6.19 $8.05 46
EPV $5.08 $6.63 $7.99 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $9.42 $12.56 $15.71 63
P/S Multiple $11.44 $15.26 $19.07 58
P/B Multiple $11.44 $15.26 $19.07 55
EV/EBIT $10.44 $15.34 $20.23 53
EV/EBITDA $12.08 $17.52 $22.97 54
EV/Revenue $7.88 $13.08 $18.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.01 $6.71 $10.01 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.56 $9.35 $12.57 76
ROIC Compounder $5.08 $6.63 $7.99 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.31 $11.87 $15.43 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($15.26) versus Earnings-Based ($6.19). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $146B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.8%
Net margin 6.6%
Return on equity 9.4%
Free cash flow $964M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.0
More key figures
Operating margin 11.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.1400
EPS growth (YoY) +43.2%
Net debt $63.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited engages in the mining and sale of coal in the People's Republic of China, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Coal Mining; Smart Logistics; Coal Chemical, Electricity and Heat Supply; and Equipment Manufacturing segments.

Full company description

Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited engages in the mining and sale of coal in the People's Republic of China, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Coal Mining; Smart Logistics; Coal Chemical, Electricity and Heat Supply; and Equipment Manufacturing segments. The company offers thermal, PCI, and coking coal; methanol, acetic acid, ethyl acetate, caprolactam, urea, ethylene glycol, naphtha, liquid paraffin, and crude liquid wax; coal mining and excavating equipment, cables, wires, cable accessories, and raw materials products; and chemicals, as well as involved in wholesale of petroleum and mineral products; and manufacturing of synthetic materials. It also engages in potash mineral exploration; electricity and heat supply; coal mining technology development, transfer, and consultation; finance leasing; leasing, trading, and commercial factoring; engineering; investment and asset management; educational software development; event planning; construction and production solar and wind power; providing railway, river, and lakes transportation; commercial; and logistics and transportation services. In addition, the company is involved in coal resource exploration development; port infrastructure construction; production and sales of mining equipment, electromechanical equipment, and rubber products; installation of mining equipment; coal and electrolytic copper trading; recycling of renewable resources; management of mineral resources, coal mining, and washing; operation of power generation; bonded area trade and warehousing; manufacturing of chemical products; and manufacturing of other metal processing machinery. The company was formerly known as Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited and changed its name to Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited in December 2021. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Zoucheng, the People's Republic of China. Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Shan Dong Energy Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yankuang Energy Group reported revenue of $145B in FY2025 versus $152B in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $9.0B in FY2025, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 26/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$145B
Latest YoY
−7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+25.7%
Revenue −1.2%/yr
FY21 $152B
FY22 $201B
FY23 $150B
FY24 $157B
FY25 $145B
Net income −14.0%/yr
FY21 $16.4B
FY22 $31.2B
FY23 $20.6B
FY24 $15.5B
FY25 $9.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yankuang Energy Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YZCHF

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Thermal Coal · 101 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +192% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.80× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.0× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 14.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.89× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 27
FUTURE 9 · sector 0
PAST 38 · sector 21
HEALTH 60 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 31

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yankuang Energy Group (YZCHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.31 versus a price of $1.48, about +192% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YZCHF?
Our model-based fair value for Yankuang Energy Group is $4.31 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.48.
What is the quality score of YZCHF?
Yankuang Energy Group has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yankuang Energy Group (YZCHF)?
Yankuang Energy Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $146B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YZCHF?
The net profit margin of Yankuang Energy Group is about 6.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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