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Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd (ZPRS) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · Il · Market cap 2.2B ILS

ZW Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd ZPRS · TA
Price32.35 ILS
Fair Value4.41 ILS
Upside-86.4%
Quality28/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -30.2% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.8820 ILS – 8.87 ILS Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 5 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 4.56 ILS to 4.41 ILS (−3.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (8.87 ILS). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (0.8820 ILS to 8.87 ILS). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (8 months)

47.73 ILS 19.62 ILS Fair Value 4.41 ILS Dec 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

8‑month range 19.62 ILS – 47.73 ILS · fair‑value band 0.8820 ILS – 8.87 ILS · the 32.35 ILS price screens above the 4.41 ILS fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd (ZPRS) currently trades at 32.35 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.41 ILS, implying the stock looks roughly 86.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd generated revenue of 204M ILS at a net margin of -30.2%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.0%. Net debt stands at 915M ILS. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.8820 ILS (bear case) to 8.87 ILS (bull case); at 32.35 ILS, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -86%, ZPRS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 0.0700 ILS 0.1400 ILS 0.2100 ILS 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0700 ILS 0.1200 ILS 0.1500 ILS 61
EV/EBITDA 3.06 ILS 7.53 ILS 11.99 ILS 54
All 5 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0700 ILS 0.1400 ILS 0.2100 ILS 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0700 ILS 0.1200 ILS 0.1500 ILS 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT 0.0100 ILS 3.45 ILS 6.90 ILS 53
EV/EBITDA 3.06 ILS 7.53 ILS 11.99 ILS 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.39 ILS 4.54 ILS 6.77 ILS 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (4.54 ILS) versus Dividend Discount (0.1200 ILS). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 204M ILS
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net margin -30.2%
Return on equity -13.0%
Free cash flow −61.0M ILS FY2025
Operating margin 52.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.3400 ILS
Net debt 915M ILS FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd. engages in renewable energy business in Poland. The company generates electricity from wind and photovoltaic farms. It also engages in the development, leasing activity, and construction of wind and photovoltaic farms; and engineering, procurement, construction, and technical and commercial management services.

Full company description

Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd. engages in renewable energy business in Poland. The company generates electricity from wind and photovoltaic farms. It also engages in the development, leasing activity, and construction of wind and photovoltaic farms; and engineering, procurement, construction, and technical and commercial management services. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd reported revenue of 198M ILS in FY2025 versus 146M ILS in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was −19.6M ILS in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
198M ILS
Latest YoY
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+31.8%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+98.2%
Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY21 146M ILS
FY22 250M ILS
FY23 252M ILS
FY24 197M ILS
FY25 198M ILS
Net income
FY21 −79.6M ILS
FY22 −62.2M ILS
FY23 298M ILS
FY24 82.4M ILS
FY25 −19.6M ILS

ZPRS screens 86% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZPRS

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -30% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.83× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.59× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.59× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 12
HEALTH 9 · sector 68
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥27.99 ¥25.13 -10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 149.70 kr 31.40 -79%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.81 ¥5.57 -43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,537 ₹170.50 -89%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.65 -10%
VERBUND AG OEWA €58.65 €66.19 +13%
BEP BEP $32.33 $73.35 +127%
BEPUN BEPUN C$44.56 C$10.15 -77%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €19.89 €13.90 -30%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥16.21 ¥8.23 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd (ZPRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.41 ILS versus a price of 32.35 ILS, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ZPRS?
Our model-based fair value for Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd is 4.41 ILS (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 32.35 ILS.
What is the quality score of ZPRS?
Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd (ZPRS)?
Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 204M ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZPRS?
The net profit margin of Zephyrus Wing Energies Ltd is about -30.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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