EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO C$15.79, price C$14.01, upside +12.7%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range C$9.99 – C$14.77 · fair‑value band C$10.63 – C$23.02 · the C$14.01 price screens below the C$15.79 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Exxon Mobil Corporation engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas.
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Exxon Mobil Corporation engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products segment offers fuels, aromatics, and catalysts, as well as licensing services. Its Chemical Products segment manufactures and sells olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. The Specialty Products segment offers finished lubricants, basestocks, waxes, synthetics, elastomers, and resins. It is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and other specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission and business opportunities, including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, Proxxima resin systems, carbon materials, low-carbon data center, and lithium. In addition, the company offers aviation fuel. It sells its products under the Exxon, Esso, and Mobil brands. Exxon Mobil Corporation was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Spring, Texas.
Stock analysis
EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) (ZXOM) currently trades at C$14.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$15.79, implying the stock looks roughly 11.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of C$94.53 per share, and 18 of the 18 models we run sit above the C$14.01 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$42.26, and 0 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: C$10.63 (bear) to C$23.02 (bull), the price of C$14.01 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) reported revenue of $324B in FY2025 versus $399B in FY2022, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $28.8B in FY2025, compounding −19.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap C$58.5B (≈ $41.1B) · P/E ratio 1.3 · P/S ratio 0.12 · EPS (TTM) C$10.73 · Net margin 8.9% · Return on equity 12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4% · Operating margin 15.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 13%, ZXOM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$10.63Fair Value C$15.79Bull C$23.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$5.03 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.7%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 11%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−24.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −26.3% a year for the price and +1.6% for the forecasts.
Compare EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 45 stocks
Beats the industry median on 15/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+12.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12.6% · Above median
Return on assets5.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth44.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)28.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZXOM
Frequently asked questions
Is EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$15.79 versus a price of C$14.01, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ZXOM?
Our model-based fair value for EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) is C$15.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$14.01.
What is the quality score of ZXOM?
EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$15.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$10.63, optimistic scenario C$23.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$15.79, about +13% upside versus a price of C$14.01 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$10.63, optimistic scenario C$23.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$361B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) would have to grow free cash flow by -24.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 7.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -6.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ZXOM use?
Our models discount EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) at 7.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) that is -24.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (7.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) grew -6.7 % a year. The price currently implies -24.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) (-24.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 40.33 %: that much free cash flow EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (7.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) it is C$15.79 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$14.01. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ZXOM trades below its calculated fair value: price C$14.01, fair value C$15.79, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ZXOM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$14.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$15.79). For EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) the two are C$1.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) worth?
The market values EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) at about C$58.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$14.01; our models calculate a fair value of C$15.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ZXOM?
Our models span a range for EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED): cautious scenario C$10.63, base C$15.79, optimistic C$23.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$14.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ZXOM?
EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$15.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 0.9.
What is the PEG ratio of ZXOM?
The PEG ratio of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) is 0.09 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
Balance-sheet figures for EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.6%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED)?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, TotalEnergies SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$14.01, calculated fair value C$15.79 (+13%), Quality Score 58/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ZXOM calculated?
We run EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$15.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$14.01. Our model-based fair value is C$15.79, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) right now?
A fairly wide model range (C$10.63 to C$23.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED)
How large is the market capitalisation of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
The market capitalisation of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) is C$58.5B (≈ $41.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) is 0.12 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
Earnings per share at EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) are C$10.73 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
The net margin of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) is 8.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) is 11.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
The operating margin of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) is 15.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
Revenue at EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) is growing +44.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM)?
Earnings per share at EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) are growing +113% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO (ZXOM) carry?
The net debt of EXXON MOBIL (XOM) BMO CDR (CAD HEDGED) is C$26.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026