Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A stock ¥13.79, price ¥15.42, that is 10.6% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.36 – ¥35.13 · fair‑value band ¥8.44 – ¥17.37 · the ¥15.42 price screens above the ¥13.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
Follow Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides wind power solutions in China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Wind Turbine Generator Manufacturing and Sale, Wind Power Services, Wind Farm Development, and Others.
Show moreShow less
The company engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of wind turbine generators and component; investment, development, sale, and operation of wind farms, which consists of wind power generation services through its wind farms, as well as offers technical services; and development and operation of water treatment plants. it also offers wind power construction, warranty, and asset management services.
In addition, the company engages in the supply of wind power equipment and accessories; development and operation of solar power generation projects; energy storage business; and financial leasing business.
The company was formerly known as Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co., Ltd. Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202) currently trades at ¥15.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.79, 11% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥16.16 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥15.42 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.00, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥8.44 (bear) to ¥17.37 (bull), the price of ¥15.42 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 72.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 50.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.8B CNY in FY2025, compounding −7.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 64.6B CNY (≈ $9.7B) Mid · P/E ratio 20.5 · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.7000 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 6.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −11%, 002202 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥8.44Fair Value ¥13.79Bull¥17.37
Price ¥15.42 · Downside -10.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4247 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+0.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.2% vs −1.1%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 5%
AI conclusion: The company's main strength lies in its growing external order backlog and international service expansion, while its primary weakness remains weak cash conversion and low returns.
Main risk: The European Commission's investigation into alleged foreign subsidies for Goldwind could result in corrective measures or barriers that restrict its participation in EU wind turbine tenders and services, affecting international expansion.
Bull case: Goldwind could overcome the EU regulatory pressure by deepening compliance efforts, building local European partnerships or accelerating growth in non-EU emerging markets where its cost advantages support further order gains.
Bear case: If the EU probe leads to restrictions or penalties, Goldwind might encounter barriers in a key export region, forcing greater reliance on domestic and other markets amid ongoing price competition from fellow Chinese manufacturers.
Goldwind continues to build a large external order backlog while pushing larger turbines and growing its international service contracts. At the same time management lowered the full-year shipment target citing softer domestic demand. Our models currently see the shares as overvalued. Will the backlog drive renewed volume growth once the market stabilizes, or will competition and policy risks keep margins and shipments under pressure?
Compare Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−10.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.9% · Below median
Return on assets1.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−6.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.73× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002202
Frequently asked questions
Is Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.79 versus a price of ¥15.42, about 11% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002202?
Our model-based fair value for Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is ¥13.79 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.42.
What is the quality score of 002202?
Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.79 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥8.44, optimistic scenario ¥17.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥13.79, about 11% lower versus a price of ¥15.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥8.44, optimistic scenario ¥17.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 76.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A pay a dividend?
Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A currently shows a dividend yield of 1.30% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A it is ¥13.79 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥15.42. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 002202 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥15.42, fair value ¥13.79, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002202?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥15.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.79). For Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A the two are ¥1.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A worth?
The market values Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A at about 64.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥15.42; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002202?
Our models span a range for Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A: cautious scenario ¥8.44, base ¥13.79, optimistic ¥17.37 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥15.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002202?
Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.5 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥13.79 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 25.8 (reported for FY2025: 23.3). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 22.3. Other multiples: PEG 10.6, P/B 1.7, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 9.4.
What is the PEG ratio of 002202?
The PEG ratio of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is 10.64 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 6.9%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002202 from its 52-week high?
Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A trades at ¥15.42, about 56% below its 52-week high of ¥35.13 and 9% above the low of ¥14.14 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥15.42, calculated fair value ¥13.79 (−11%), Quality Score 49/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002202 calculated?
We run Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥13.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ¥15.42. Our model-based fair value is ¥13.79, about 11% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A right now?
A fairly wide model range (¥8.44 to ¥17.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202) come from?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A grew −3.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.4 %, EBIT margin −9.2 %, tax rate −2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A
How large is the market capitalisation of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
The market capitalisation of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is 64.6B CNY (≈ $9.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is 0.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A are ¥0.7000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
The dividend yield of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is 1.3% (payout 31.7%, on adjusted earnings, reported 28.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
The net margin of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is 4.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
The operating margin of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
Revenue at Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is growing −6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202)?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A are growing −7.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202) generate?
The free cash flow of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is −3.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A (002202) carry?
The net debt of Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A is 46.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A in the live analysis
One click puts Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd Class A on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Some data
Nov 6, 2026