Goldwind Science&Technology Co (002202) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 86.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from ¥16.75 to ¥11.25 (−32.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −6.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.36 – ¥35.13 · fair‑value band ¥8.44 – ¥14.06 · the ¥20.76 price screens above the ¥11.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Goldwind Science&Technology Co (002202) currently trades at ¥20.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.25, implying the stock looks roughly 45.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Goldwind Science&Technology Co generated revenue of 79.0B CNY at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue grew 63.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.4%. Net debt stands at 46.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.44 (bear case) to ¥14.06 (bull case); at ¥20.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 129% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -46%, 002202 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥15.81) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.27). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides wind power solutions in China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Wind Turbine Generator Manufacturing and Sale, Wind Power Services, Wind Farm Development, and Others.
Full company description
Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides wind power solutions in China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Wind Turbine Generator Manufacturing and Sale, Wind Power Services, Wind Farm Development, and Others. The company engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of wind turbine generators and component; investment, development, sale, and operation of wind farms, which consists of wind power generation services through its wind farms, as well as offers technical services; and development and operation of water treatment plants. it also offers wind power construction, warranty, and asset management services. In addition, the company engages in the supply of wind power equipment and accessories; development and operation of solar power generation projects; energy storage business; and financial leasing business. The company was formerly known as Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co., Ltd. Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Goldwind Science&Technology Co reported revenue of ¥72.9B in FY2025 versus ¥50.9B in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.8B in FY2025, compounding −7.1%/yr from FY2021.
002202 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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