Albertsons Companies (ACI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Albertsons Companies stock $16.78, price $12.79, upside +31.2%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.03 – $24.68 · fair‑value band $12.58 – $20.97 · the $12.79 price screens below the $16.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
Follow Albertsons Companies in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Albertsons Companies is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Albertsons Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food and drug retail industry in the United States. The company's food and drug retail stores offer grocery products, general merchandise, health and beauty care products, pharmacy, vaccines, fuel, and other items and services.
Show moreShow less
It also operates stores under various banners, including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, Pavilions, Randalls, Tom Thumb, Carrs, Jewel-Osco, ACME, Shaw's, Star Market, United Supermarkets, Market Street, Haggen, Kings Food Markets, and Balducci's Food Lovers Market; and in-store pharmacies and branded coffee shops, fuel centers, distribution centers, and manufacturing facilities, as well as various digital platforms.
Albertsons Companies, Inc. was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
Stock analysis
Albertsons Companies (ACI) currently trades at $12.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.78, implying the stock looks roughly 24% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $25.44 per share, and 7 of the 19 models we run sit above the $12.79 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.70, and 12 of the 19 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $12.58 (bear) to $20.97 (bull), the price of $12.79 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Albertsons Companies reported revenue of $83.2B in FY2026 versus $71.9B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $217M in FY2026, compounding −39.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $7.0B Mid · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0200 · Dividend yield 5.0% · Net margin −0.1% · Return on equity −2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 31%, ACI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$12.58Fair Value $16.78Bull$20.97
Price $12.79 · Upside +31.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income$3.53$4.11$5.3076
FCF DCF$8.23$25.17$53.4773
5Y EBITDA Exit$32.03$71.16$118.4472
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$8.23$25.17$53.4773
Owner Earnings$10.78$29.45$60.6470
5Y Revenue Exit$0.0400$9.29$21.1063
5Y EBITDA Exit$32.03$71.16$118.4472
5Y P/E Exitn/a$0.7600>$3.0468
10Y Revenue Exit$2.17$11.61$24.4960
10Y EBITDA Exit$23.74$56.34$102.8765
10Y P/E Exitn/a$5.45$12.3961
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$3.02$10.93$14.7464
Lynch FV$2.59$3.70$4.8161
PEG = 1.0$2.59$3.70$4.8157
EPVn/an/a$0.730068
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$6.33$13.80$23.1765
DDM Multi-Stage$6.33$11.31$14.3866
Multiples
P/E Multiple$6.99$9.32$11.6563
P/S Multiple$5.66$7.55$9.4358
EV/EBITn/an/a$0.210061
EV/EBITDA$35.99$58.26$80.5366
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$8.55$25.44$54.0572
Economic Profit
Residual Income$3.53$4.11$5.3076
ROIC Compoundern/an/a$0.730068
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$4.91$7.02$9.1267
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.
SaleMichael T TheilmannEVP & Chief HR Officer49,000 shares at $17.63$863,856Jan 14, 2026
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.5% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.0%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−18.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 1%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+0.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.8% a year for the price and −2.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
AI conclusion: The business shows targeted efficiency gains from AI and structural changes as its main strength but faces a main weak point of limited durable moat with thin margins and elevated debt to equity.
Main risk: Walmart and Costco could continue taking grocery customers from Albertsons with lower prices and broader offerings, squeezing its sales volumes and margins in a price-sensitive market.
Bull case: Albertsons could leverage its AI tools in merchandising and supply chain to cut costs faster than rivals and strengthen loyalty programs, retaining customers despite value competition.
Bear case: If value retailers and discounters keep eroding its share through aggressive pricing and expansion, Albertsons might face sustained margin pressure and shrinking store relevance in key markets.
Albertsons is expanding AI applications in digital shopping, merchandising and operations while consolidating into four regions and adding retail and tech expertise to its board. These steps target efficiency and customer growth amid expected identical sales declines in the near term. Our models see the shares as undervalued, but will the technology and structural changes deliver margin gains before competitive pressures widen?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Grocery Stores · 74 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+31.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−0.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)1.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−0.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)5.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity4.58× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.81× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)0.08× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)13.3× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Albertsons Companies Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACI
Frequently asked questions
Is Albertsons Companies (ACI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.78 versus a price of $12.79, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ACI?
Our model-based fair value for Albertsons Companies is $16.78 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.79.
What is the quality score of ACI?
Albertsons Companies has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.78 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.58, optimistic scenario $20.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Albertsons Companies stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.78, about +31% upside versus a price of $12.79 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $12.58, optimistic scenario $20.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Albertsons Companies reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $83.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Albertsons Companies pay a dividend?
Albertsons Companies currently shows a dividend yield of 5.00% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Albertsons Companies (ACI) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Albertsons Companies pays a dividend of $0.64 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 23, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2020. The payout ratio is 144% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.68 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Albertsons Companies would have to grow free cash flow by +13.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ACI use?
Our models discount Albertsons Companies at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.23, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Albertsons Companies that is +13.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Albertsons Companies (ACI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Albertsons Companies grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +13.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Albertsons Companies (ACI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Albertsons Companies (+13.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.53 %: that much free cash flow Albertsons Companies produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Albertsons Companies it is $16.78 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $12.79. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Albertsons Companies stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, ACI trades below its calculated fair value: price $12.79, fair value $16.78, a gap of about +31% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.78). For Albertsons Companies the two are $3.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Albertsons Companies worth?
The market values Albertsons Companies at about $7.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $12.79; our models calculate a fair value of $16.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACI?
Our models span a range for Albertsons Companies: cautious scenario $12.58, base $16.78, optimistic $20.97 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $12.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of ACI?
The PEG ratio of Albertsons Companies is 1.22 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Albertsons Companies (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −2.3%, debt of 4.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACI from its 52-week high?
Albertsons Companies trades at $12.79, about 31% below its 52-week high of $18.47 and 16% above the low of $11.03 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Albertsons Companies?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Loblaw Companies Limited, The Kroger Co, Woolworths Group, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Albertsons Companies stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $12.79, calculated fair value $16.78 (+31%), Quality Score 53/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACI calculated?
We run Albertsons Companies through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $16.78 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Albertsons Companies currently trades 24% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $12.79. Our model-based fair value is $16.78, about +31% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Albertsons Companies right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Albertsons Companies
How large is the market capitalisation of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The market capitalisation of Albertsons Companies is $7.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Albertsons Companies is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Earnings per share at Albertsons Companies are $−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The dividend yield of Albertsons Companies is 5.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The net margin of Albertsons Companies is −0.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Albertsons Companies is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Albertsons Companies is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The operating margin of Albertsons Companies is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Revenue at Albertsons Companies is growing −0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Earnings per share at Albertsons Companies are growing −64.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Albertsons Companies (ACI) carry?
The net debt of Albertsons Companies is $15.1B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 28.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Albertsons Companies in the live analysis
One click puts Albertsons Companies on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 8, 2026