Albertsons Companies (ACI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Albertsons Companies $10.66, price $11.70, upside -8.9%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.03 – $24.68 · fair‑value band $7.99 – $13.32 · the $11.70 price screens above the $10.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Albertsons Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food and drug retail industry in the United States. The company's food and drug retail stores offer grocery products, general merchandise, health and beauty care products, pharmacy, vaccines, fuel, and other items and services.
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Albertsons Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food and drug retail industry in the United States. The company's food and drug retail stores offer grocery products, general merchandise, health and beauty care products, pharmacy, vaccines, fuel, and other items and services. It also operates stores under various banners, including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, Pavilions, Randalls, Tom Thumb, Carrs, Jewel-Osco, ACME, Shaw's, Star Market, United Supermarkets, Market Street, Haggen, Kings Food Markets, and Balducci's Food Lovers Market; and in-store pharmacies and branded coffee shops, fuel centers, distribution centers, and manufacturing facilities, as well as various digital platforms. Albertsons Companies, Inc. was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
Stock analysis
Albertsons Companies (ACI) currently trades at $11.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.66, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $18.97 per share, and 6 of the 23 models we run sit above the $11.70 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.51, and 17 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $7.99 (bear) to $13.32 (bull), the price of $11.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Albertsons Companies reported revenue of $83.2B in FY2026 versus $71.9B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $217M in FY2026, compounding −39.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $7.4B · P/E ratio 29.3 · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) $0.4000 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −9%, ACI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.99Fair Value $10.66Bull $13.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.5% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−17.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.1%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 1%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.2% a year for the price and −1.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Grocery Stores · 79 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside−9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Below median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity4.58× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)29.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.01× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Albertsons Companies Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACI
Frequently asked questions
Is Albertsons Companies (ACI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.66 versus a price of $11.70, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ACI?
Our model-based fair value for Albertsons Companies is $10.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.70.
What is the quality score of ACI?
Albertsons Companies has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.99, optimistic scenario $13.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Albertsons Companies stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.66, about −9% upside versus a price of $11.70 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $7.99, optimistic scenario $13.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Albertsons Companies reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $83.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Albertsons Companies pay a dividend?
Albertsons Companies currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.13% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Albertsons Companies would have to grow free cash flow by +12.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ACI use?
Our models discount Albertsons Companies at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Albertsons Companies that is +12.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Albertsons Companies (ACI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Albertsons Companies grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies +12.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Albertsons Companies (ACI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Albertsons Companies (+12.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.24 %: that much free cash flow Albertsons Companies produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Albertsons Companies it is $10.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $11.70. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Albertsons Companies stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ACI trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.70, fair value $10.66, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.66). For Albertsons Companies the two are $1.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Albertsons Companies worth?
The market values Albertsons Companies at about $7.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $11.70; our models calculate a fair value of $10.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACI?
Our models span a range for Albertsons Companies: cautious scenario $7.99, base $10.66, optimistic $13.32 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $11.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ACI?
Albertsons Companies trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/B 4.0, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
What is the PEG ratio of ACI?
The PEG ratio of Albertsons Companies is 1.28 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Albertsons Companies (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 4.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACI from its 52-week high?
Albertsons Companies trades at $11.70, about 39% below its 52-week high of $19.22 and 6% above the low of $11.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Albertsons Companies?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Loblaw Companies Limited, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V, The Kroger Co, Woolworths Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Albertsons Companies stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $11.70, calculated fair value $10.66 (−9%), Quality Score 53/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACI calculated?
We run Albertsons Companies through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Albertsons Companies itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $11.70. Our model-based fair value is $10.66, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Albertsons Companies right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Albertsons Companies
How large is the market capitalisation of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The market capitalisation of Albertsons Companies is $7.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Albertsons Companies is 0.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Earnings per share at Albertsons Companies are $0.4000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The dividend yield of Albertsons Companies is 5.1% (payout 150%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The net margin of Albertsons Companies is 0.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Albertsons Companies is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Albertsons Companies is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
The operating margin of Albertsons Companies is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Revenue at Albertsons Companies is growing +7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Earnings per share at Albertsons Companies are growing −20.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Albertsons Companies (ACI) carry?
The net debt of Albertsons Companies is $15.1B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 28.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026