Albertsons Companies, Inc (ACI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $7.4B
Albertsons Companies, Inc
ACI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $6.72 to $12.20 (+81.6%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −14.1% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from $12.20 (bear) to $16.97 (bull), base $12.20. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.03 – $24.68 · fair‑value band $12.20 – $16.97 · the $12.01 price screens below the $12.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Albertsons Companies, Inc (ACI) currently trades at $12.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.20, implying the stock looks roughly 1.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Albertsons Companies, Inc generated revenue of $83.2B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at $15.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $12.20 (bear case) to $16.97 (bull case); at $12.01, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 2%, ACI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($9.96) versus Growth DCF ($2.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Albertsons Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food and drug retail industry in the United States. The company's food and drug retail stores offer grocery products, general merchandise, health and beauty care products, pharmacy, vaccines, fuel, and other items and services.
Full company description
Albertsons Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food and drug retail industry in the United States. The company's food and drug retail stores offer grocery products, general merchandise, health and beauty care products, pharmacy, vaccines, fuel, and other items and services. It also operates stores under various banners, including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, Pavilions, Randalls, Tom Thumb, Carrs, Jewel-Osco, ACME, Shaw's, Star Market, United Supermarkets, Market Street, Haggen, Kings Food Markets, and Balducci's Food Lovers Market; and in-store pharmacies and branded coffee shops, fuel centers, distribution centers, and manufacturing facilities, as well as various digital platforms. Albertsons Companies, Inc. was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Albertsons Companies, Inc reported revenue of $83.2B in FY2026 versus $71.9B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $217M in FY2026, compounding −39.5%/yr from FY2022.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Albertsons Unveils ACI Edge Restructuring, Raises Dividend 13% at Annual Meeting
- Albertsons® Companies Expands AI-Powered Grocery Shopping with New Safeway Plugin in ChatGPT
- Albertsons CEO Susan Morris Buys $450,000 on the Open Market. What Does This Mean for ACI Investors?
- How Albertsons Is Betting on AI, Digital Growth and Loyalty Scale
Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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