LKQ Corporation (LKQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of LKQ Corporation stock $52.77, price $20.05, upside +163.2%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.10 – $53.04 · fair‑value band $34.88 – $67.51 · the $20.05 price screens below the $52.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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LKQ Corporation engages in the distribution of replacement parts, components, and systems used in the repair and maintenance of vehicles and specialty vehicle aftermarket products and accessories.
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The company operates through four segments: Wholesale-North America, Europe, Specialty, and Self Service.
It offers bumper covers, automotive body panels, and lights, as well as paint and paint related consumables for refinishing vehicles; mechanical automotive parts and accessories; salvage products, including mechanical and collision parts comprising engines; transmissions; door assemblies; sheet metal products, such as trunk lids, fenders, and hoods; and lights and bumper assemblies.
The company also provides scrap metal and other materials to metals recyclers; precious metals, such as catalytic converters; and brake pads, discs and sensors, clutches, steering and suspension products, filters, and oil and automotive fluids, as well as electrical products, including spark plugs and batteries.
In addition, the company distributes recreational vehicle appliances and air conditioners, towing hitches, truck bed covers, vehicle protection products, marine electronics, cargo management products, wheels, tires, and suspension products.
It serves collision and mechanical repair shops, new and used car dealerships, and retail customers.
The company operates in the United States, Canada, Germany, the United Kingdom, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Italy, the Czech Republic, Austria, Poland, Slovakia, France, and other European countries. LKQ Corporation was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Antioch, Tennessee.
Stock analysis
LKQ Corporation (LKQ) currently trades at $20.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $52.77, implying the stock looks roughly 62% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $72.67 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the $20.05 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $20.38, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $34.88 (bear) to $67.51 (bull), the price of $20.05 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
LKQ Corporation reported revenue of $13.9B in FY2025 versus $13.1B in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was $607M in FY2025, compounding −13.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $5.1B Mid · P/E ratio 10.9 · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) $1.84 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 163%, LKQ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$34.88Fair Value $52.77Bull$67.51
Price $20.05 · Upside +163.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.32 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors bought shares worth $792,615, most recently on Nov 4, 2026. Buying cluster
BuySue GoveDirector9,795 shares at $20.53$201,085Nov 4, 2026
BuyMichael Scott PowellDirector10,000 shares at $19.15$191,500Nov 2, 2026
BuyAndrew C ClarkeDirector21,800 shares at $18.35$400,030Oct 30, 2026
Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.8% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.5% vs 5.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 8%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.8%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+0.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.1% a year for the price and −2.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (86 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
AI conclusion: The business shows modest durable advantage through its dense North American network supporting organic growth, while its main weak point remains insufficient public data limiting moat assessment and pricing power signals.
Main risk: Ongoing ERP rollout disruptions combined with softer demand in Europe threaten to extend integration issues and reduce profitability across the European segment.
North America delivered its first organic growth in parts and services in quarters by holding prices and using its dense network even as repairable claims volumes fell. Europe still faces ERP rollout disruptions and softer demand that cut into results. Will the North American momentum prove enough to offset the European pressures or will those integration issues drag on longer than expected?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 655 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside+163.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.1% · Below median
Return on assets4.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)1.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)5.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−5.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.56× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LKQ Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LKQ
Frequently asked questions
Is LKQ Corporation (LKQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $52.77 versus a price of $20.05, about +163% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LKQ?
Our model-based fair value for LKQ Corporation is $52.77 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $20.05.
What is the quality score of LKQ?
LKQ Corporation has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $52.77 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $34.88, optimistic scenario $67.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LKQ Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $52.77, about +163% upside versus a price of $20.05 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $34.88, optimistic scenario $67.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
LKQ Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.5B (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does LKQ Corporation pay a dividend?
LKQ Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 1.50% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of LKQ Corporation (LKQ) and when is the ex-dividend date?
LKQ Corporation pays a dividend of $0.3 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 20, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2021. The payout ratio is 15.0% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 16.3%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 11.19 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, LKQ Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -3.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.7 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LKQ use?
Our models discount LKQ Corporation at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.86, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For LKQ Corporation that is -3.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has LKQ Corporation (LKQ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at LKQ Corporation grew +3.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -3.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of LKQ Corporation (LKQ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into LKQ Corporation (-3.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.59 %: that much free cash flow LKQ Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LKQ Corporation it is $52.77 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $20.05. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is LKQ Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, LKQ trades below its calculated fair value: price $20.05, fair value $52.77, a gap of about +163% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LKQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($52.77). For LKQ Corporation the two are $32.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LKQ Corporation worth?
The market values LKQ Corporation at about $5.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $20.05; our models calculate a fair value of $52.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LKQ?
Our models span a range for LKQ Corporation: cautious scenario $34.88, base $52.77, optimistic $67.51 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $20.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LKQ?
LKQ Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $52.77 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 7.8 (reported for FY2025: 8.5). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 9 of the years ex one-offs: 15.3. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 0.8, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
What is the PEG ratio of LKQ?
The PEG ratio of LKQ Corporation is 1.06 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
Balance-sheet figures for LKQ Corporation (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LKQ from its 52-week high?
LKQ Corporation trades at $20.05, about 40% below its 52-week high of $33.67 and 17% above the low of $17.10 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $52.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LKQ Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LKQ Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $20.05, calculated fair value $52.77 (+163%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LKQ calculated?
We run LKQ Corporation through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $52.77 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. LKQ Corporation currently trades 62% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $20.05. Our model-based fair value is $52.77, about +163% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LKQ Corporation right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($34.88). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($34.88 to $67.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of LKQ Corporation (LKQ) come from?
Earnings per share at LKQ Corporation grew +8.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.1 %, EBIT margin −0.9 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of LKQ Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
The market capitalisation of LKQ Corporation is $5.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LKQ Corporation is 0.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
Earnings per share at LKQ Corporation are $1.84 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
The dividend yield of LKQ Corporation is 1.5% (payout 15.0%, on adjusted earnings, reported 16.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
The net margin of LKQ Corporation is 1.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LKQ Corporation is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LKQ Corporation is 9.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
The operating margin of LKQ Corporation is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
Revenue at LKQ Corporation is growing −5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LKQ Corporation (LKQ)?
Earnings per share at LKQ Corporation are growing −29.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does LKQ Corporation (LKQ) carry?
The net debt of LKQ Corporation is $4.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 9, 2026