Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Silgan Holdings Inc stock $47.52, price $41.09, upside +15.6%, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $34.72 – $55.49 · fair‑value band $31.18 – $71.82 · the $41.09 price screens below the $47.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Silgan Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells rigid packaging solutions for consumer goods products in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Dispensing and Specialty Closures, Metal Containers, and Custom Containers.
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The company offers integrated dispensing packaging solutions, proprietary metal and plastic specialty closures, and capping/sealing equipment and detection systems for fragrance and beauty, food, beverage, personal and health care, home care, and lawn and garden markets.
It also provides steel and aluminum containers used by processors and packagers for food products, such as pet food, vegetables and fruits, soup, proteins, and other miscellaneous food products, as well as general line metal containers for products, including promotional products.
In addition, the company offers custom designed polyethylene, polyethylene terephthalate, containers, thermoformed barrier and non-barrier bowls, trays for shelf-stable food products, and plastic caps, sifters and fitments for food and household products, including salad dressings, condiments, peanut butter, spices, liquid margarine, powdered drink mixes, and arts and crafts supplies.
It markets its products primarily through direct sales force, as well as through a network of distributors, and an online shopping catalog. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Norwalk, Connecticut.
Stock analysis
Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN) currently trades at $41.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.52, implying the stock looks roughly 14% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $63.79 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the $41.09 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $13.77, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $31.18 (bear) to $71.82 (bull), the price of $41.09 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Silgan Holdings Inc reported revenue of $6.5B in FY2025 versus $5.7B in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was $288M in FY2025, compounding −5.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.3B Mid · P/E ratio 16.6 · P/S ratio 0.65 · EPS (TTM) $2.48 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 11.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 16%, SLGN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$31.18Fair Value $47.52Bull$71.82
Price $41.09 · Upside +15.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.41 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
Plus 8 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.65/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−0.5% vs 6.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 10%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.1% a year for the price and −0.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Reliable free cash flow from container and closure businesses underpins dividends and balance sheet improvement, while high leverage with debt exceeding equity remains the main vulnerability.
Main risk: Pricing challenges in a mixed demand environment for food and beverage containers could tighten margins and reduce free cash flow generation.
Silgan generates reliable free cash flow from its container and closure businesses that underpins dividends and balance sheet improvement. Analyst previews note low single digit volume expectations with some softness in food and beverage areas. Will the business sustain those cash flows through the mixed demand environment or encounter tighter margins from pricing challenges?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 259 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+15.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.0% · Above median
Return on assets3.1% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)3.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)10.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)1.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.63× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)16.6× · Pricier than median
P/B1.91× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)0.65× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)10.3× · Cheaper than median
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Is Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $47.52 versus a price of $41.09, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SLGN?
Our model-based fair value for Silgan Holdings Inc is $47.52 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $41.09.
What is the quality score of SLGN?
Silgan Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $47.52 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $31.18, optimistic scenario $71.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Silgan Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $47.52, about +16% upside versus a price of $41.09 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $31.18, optimistic scenario $71.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
Silgan Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Silgan Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
Silgan Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.02% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Silgan Holdings Inc pays a dividend of $0.83 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 1, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2004. The payout ratio is 33.5% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 4.82 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Silgan Holdings Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +5.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.7 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SLGN use?
Our models discount Silgan Holdings Inc at 8.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.67, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Silgan Holdings Inc that is +5.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Silgan Holdings Inc grew +5.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +5.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Silgan Holdings Inc (+5.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.72 %: that much free cash flow Silgan Holdings Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Silgan Holdings Inc it is $47.52 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $41.09. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Silgan Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, SLGN trades below its calculated fair value: price $41.09, fair value $47.52, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SLGN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($41.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($47.52). For Silgan Holdings Inc the two are $6.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Silgan Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Silgan Holdings Inc at about $4.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $41.09; our models calculate a fair value of $47.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SLGN?
Our models span a range for Silgan Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $31.18, base $47.52, optimistic $71.82 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $41.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SLGN?
Silgan Holdings Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.6 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $47.52 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 15.0. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 1.9, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
What is the PEG ratio of SLGN?
The PEG ratio of Silgan Holdings Inc is 0.84 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Silgan Holdings Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 11.0%, debt of 1.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SLGN from its 52-week high?
Silgan Holdings Inc trades at $41.09, about 15% below its 52-week high of $48.13 and 18% above the low of $34.75 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $47.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Silgan Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Silgan Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $41.09, calculated fair value $47.52 (+16%), Quality Score 54/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SLGN calculated?
We run Silgan Holdings Inc through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $47.52 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Silgan Holdings Inc currently trades 14% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $41.09. Our model-based fair value is $47.52, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Silgan Holdings Inc right now?
A fairly wide model range ($31.18 to $71.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN) come from?
Earnings per share at Silgan Holdings Inc grew +4.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin −1.8 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Silgan Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
The market capitalisation of Silgan Holdings Inc is $4.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Silgan Holdings Inc is 0.65 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
Earnings per share at Silgan Holdings Inc are $2.48 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
The dividend yield of Silgan Holdings Inc is 2.0% (payout 33.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
The net margin of Silgan Holdings Inc is 3.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Silgan Holdings Inc is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Silgan Holdings Inc is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
The operating margin of Silgan Holdings Inc is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
Revenue at Silgan Holdings Inc is growing +1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN)?
Earnings per share at Silgan Holdings Inc are growing −6.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Silgan Holdings Inc (SLGN) carry?
The net debt of Silgan Holdings Inc is $3.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 7, 2026