Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 3, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.06, price HK$0.12, that is 48.7% below the price, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0240 – HK$0.3450 · fair‑value band HK$0.0400 – HK$0.0800 · the HK$0.1170 price screens above the HK$0.0600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Follow Skymission Group Holdings in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Skymission Group Holdings is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Skymission Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides formwork works services in Hong Kong. The company also supplies metal scaffold equipment and related parts. It offers its services to construction companies operating in public and private sector construction works.
Show moreShow less
The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Yuen Long, Hong Kong. As of January 16, 2026 Skymission Group Holdings Limited act as subsidiary of Dacheng International Holdings Limited.
Stock analysis
Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429) currently trades at HK$0.1170, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0600, 48.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0400 (bear) to HK$0.0800 (bull), the price of HK$0.1170 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Skymission Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$483M in FY2026 versus HK$538M in FY2022, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$140M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$225M (≈ $28.6M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.67 · Net margin −28.9% · Return on equity −75.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.3% · Operating margin −67.9% · Revenue (TTM) HK$483M · Revenue growth (YoY) −1.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −49%, 1429 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.0400Fair Value HK$0.0600BullHK$0.0800
Price HK$0.1170 · Downside -48.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.2% (2021) → −28.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Skymission Group Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 787 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside−50.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−64.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−28.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−67.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−1.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.48× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Skymission Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1429
Frequently asked questions
Is Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0600 versus a price of HK$0.1170, about 49% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1429?
Our model-based fair value for Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0600 (as of Oct 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1170.
What is the quality score of 1429?
Skymission Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0600 (as of Oct 31, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0400, optimistic scenario HK$0.0800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Skymission Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0600, about 49% lower versus a price of HK$0.1170 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0400, optimistic scenario HK$0.0800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Skymission Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$483M (latest available figure, as of Oct 31, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Skymission Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.0600 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1170. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Skymission Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 31, 2026, 1429 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1170, fair value HK$0.0600, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1429?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1170); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0600). For Skymission Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0570 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Skymission Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Skymission Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$225M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 31, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1170; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1429?
Our models span a range for Skymission Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0400, base HK$0.0600, optimistic HK$0.0800 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026, price HK$0.1170). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Balance-sheet figures for Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (as of Oct 31, 2026): return on equity −75.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1429 from its 52-week high?
Skymission Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1170, about 66% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3450 and 48% above the low of HK$0.0790 (as of Nov 3, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Skymission Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Skymission Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 31, 2026: price HK$0.1170, calculated fair value HK$0.0600 (−49%), Quality Score 54/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1429 calculated?
We run Skymission Group Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Skymission Group Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The closing price on Nov 3, 2026 was HK$0.1170. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0600, about 49% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Skymission Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0400 to HK$0.0800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The market capitalisation of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is HK$225M (≈ $28.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is 0.67 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The net margin of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is −28.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is −75.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is −11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The operating margin of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is −67.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Revenue at Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is growing −1.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Earnings per share at Skymission Group Holdings Ltd are growing +142% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429) generate?
The free cash flow of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is −HK$17.7M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429) carry?
The net debt of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is HK$9.9M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Skymission Group Holdings Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Skymission Group Holdings Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Oct 31, 2026