Skymission Group (1429) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$325M

Below-average quality, and screening another 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0100 to HK$0.0400). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0240 – HK$0.3450 · fair‑value band HK$0.0100 – HK$0.0400 · the HK$0.1370 price screens above the HK$0.0200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Skymission Group (1429) currently trades at HK$0.1370, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0200, implying the stock looks roughly 85.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Skymission Group generated revenue of HK$485M at a net margin of -16.9%. Revenue grew 41.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -28.0%. Net debt stands at HK$64.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0100 (bear case) to HK$0.0400 (bull case); at HK$0.1370, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 270% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -85%, 1429 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.0633) versus Multiples (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Skymission Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides formwork works services in Hong Kong. The company also supplies metal scaffold equipment and related parts. It offers its services to construction companies operating in public and private sector construction works.

Full company description

Skymission Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides formwork works services in Hong Kong. The company also supplies metal scaffold equipment and related parts. It offers its services to construction companies operating in public and private sector construction works. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Yuen Long, Hong Kong. As of January 16, 2026 Skymission Group Holdings Limited act as subsidiary of Dacheng International Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Skymission Group reported revenue of HK$403M in FY2025 versus HK$534M in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$105M in FY2025.

1429 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 851 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.