Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0240 – HK$0.3450 · fair‑value band HK$0.1500 – HK$0.1800 · the HK$0.2080 price screens above the HK$0.1600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Skymission Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides formwork works services in Hong Kong. The company also supplies metal scaffold equipment and related parts. It offers its services to construction companies operating in public and private sector construction works.
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Skymission Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides formwork works services in Hong Kong. The company also supplies metal scaffold equipment and related parts. It offers its services to construction companies operating in public and private sector construction works. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Yuen Long, Hong Kong. As of January 16, 2026 Skymission Group Holdings Limited act as subsidiary of Dacheng International Holdings Limited.
Stock analysis
Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429) currently trades at HK$0.2080, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1600, implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of HK$0.1700 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$0.2080 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0500, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1500 (bear) to HK$0.1800 (bull), the price of HK$0.2080 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Skymission Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$483M in FY2026 versus HK$538M in FY2022, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$140M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$333M (≈ $42.4M) · P/S ratio 0.67 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0500 · Dividend yield 11.1% · Net margin −28.9% · Return on equity −28.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.3% · Revenue (TTM) HK$485M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at −23%, 1429 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1500Fair Value HK$0.1600Bull HK$0.1800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.2% (2021) → −28.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Skymission Group Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 818 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside−20% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−30% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−29% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−68% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)11.1% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Skymission Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1429
Frequently asked questions
Is Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1600 versus a price of HK$0.2080, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1429?
Our model-based fair value for Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1600 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2080.
What is the quality score of 1429?
Skymission Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1600 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1500, optimistic scenario HK$0.1800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Skymission Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1600, about −23% upside versus a price of HK$0.2080 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1500, optimistic scenario HK$0.1800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Skymission Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$485M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Skymission Group Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Skymission Group Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Skymission Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.1600 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2080. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Skymission Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 1429 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2080, fair value HK$0.1600, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1429?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2080); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1600). For Skymission Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0480 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Skymission Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Skymission Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$333M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2080; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1429?
Our models span a range for Skymission Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1500, base HK$0.1600, optimistic HK$0.1800 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$0.2080). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Balance-sheet figures for Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −75.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1429 from its 52-week high?
Skymission Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.2080, about 41% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3550 and 462% above the low of HK$0.0370 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Skymission Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Skymission Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$0.2080, calculated fair value HK$0.1600 (−23%), Quality Score 54/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1429 calculated?
We run Skymission Group Holdings Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Skymission Group Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was HK$0.2080. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1600, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Skymission Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The market capitalisation of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is HK$333M (≈ $42.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is 0.67 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Earnings per share at Skymission Group Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The dividend yield of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is 11.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The net margin of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is −28.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is −28.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is −11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Revenue at Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is growing +41.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429)?
Earnings per share at Skymission Group Holdings Ltd are growing +142% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429) generate?
The free cash flow of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is −HK$17.7M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Skymission Group Holdings Ltd (1429) carry?
The net debt of Skymission Group Holdings Ltd is HK$9.9M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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