China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd stock ¥15.97, price ¥9.98, upside +60.0%, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.22 – ¥23.81 · fair‑value band ¥10.11 – ¥26.74 · the ¥9.98 price screens below the ¥15.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
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China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of prefabricated building products and services in China. It operates through two segments, Prefabricated Intelligent Manufacturing Products and Prefabricated Smart Construction services.
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The company offers prefabricated wall materials, such as inorganic aggregate flame-retardant wood plastic composite wall panels, fiber reinforced cement extrusion hollow, decoration integrated, and lightweight cement wall panels.
It also provides prefabricated structure systems, steel truss floor decks, SPC floors, and PC components; indoor and outdoor decoration materials; outdoor flooring materials; prefabricated garden landscape materialsmaterials; and wood-plastic handrails, square tubes, columns, slats, and keels.
In addition, the company offers integrated housing solutions, including prefabricated emergency houses, integrated villas, integrated houses for cultural and tourism, etc.; and prefabricated construction services. It also exports its products.
The company was formerly known as Beijing Hengtong Innovation Luxwood Technology Co.,Ltd and changed its name to China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co., Ltd. in August 2020. China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374) currently trades at ¥9.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.97, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥16.74 per share, and 5 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥9.98 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.81, and 4 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥10.11 (bear) to ¥26.74 (bull), the price of ¥9.98 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 422M CNY in FY2021, a compound +46.0%/yr. Reported net income was −121M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5B CNY (≈ $368M) Small · P/S ratio 1.16 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5900 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin −7.1% · Return on equity −19.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −8.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 60%, 300374 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥10.11Fair Value ¥15.97Bull¥26.74
Price ¥9.98 · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF¥11.86¥17.28¥32.8077
5Y EBITDA Exit¥4.85¥5.59¥6.7777
Growth DCF¥11.27¥18.45¥31.5076
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥11.86¥17.28¥32.8077
5Y Revenue Exit¥8.71¥13.76¥23.6970
5Y EBITDA Exit¥4.85¥5.59¥6.7777
10Y Revenue Exit¥9.45¥16.47¥23.0466
10Y EBITDA Exit¥7.08¥9.34¥12.4269
Multiples
EV/Revenue¥2.37¥4.69¥7.0151
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥1.35¥1.81¥2.7054
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥11.27¥18.45¥31.5076
Rev-Margin DCF¥8.71¥15.02¥24.6271
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.6% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.4% (2020) → −3.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.1% a year for the price.
Compare China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−7.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−8.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)31.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.7% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.30× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.20× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)16.8× · Pricier than median
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300374
Frequently asked questions
Is China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.97 versus a price of ¥9.98, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300374?
Our model-based fair value for China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd is ¥15.97 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.98.
What is the quality score of 300374?
China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥15.97 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥10.11, optimistic scenario ¥26.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥15.97, about +60% upside versus a price of ¥9.98 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥10.11, optimistic scenario ¥26.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.68% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 1.7%.
What growth is priced into China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +13.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.1 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300374 use?
Our models discount China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd that is +13.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd grew +14.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +13.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (+13.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.97 %: that much free cash flow China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd it is ¥15.97 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥9.98. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 300374 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥9.98, fair value ¥15.97, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300374?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥15.97). For China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd the two are ¥5.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd worth?
The market values China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd at about 2.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.98; our models calculate a fair value of ¥15.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300374?
Our models span a range for China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥10.11, base ¥15.97, optimistic ¥26.74 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥9.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −19.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300374 from its 52-week high?
China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd trades at ¥9.98, about 44% below its 52-week high of ¥17.90 and 8% above the low of ¥9.22 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥15.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, Vulcan Materials Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥9.98, calculated fair value ¥15.97 (+60%), Quality Score 40/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300374 calculated?
We run China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd through 9 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥15.97 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥9.98. Our model-based fair value is ¥15.97, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (¥10.11 to ¥26.74). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
The market capitalisation of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd is 2.5B CNY (≈ $368M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd is 1.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
Earnings per share at China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd are ¥−0.5900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
The dividend yield of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd is 1.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
The net margin of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd is −7.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd is −19.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd is −6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
The operating margin of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd is −8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374)?
Revenue at China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd is growing +31.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +44.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd (300374) carry?
The net debt of China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co Ltd is 751M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 8, 2026