China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co (300374) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 2.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥12.10 to ¥9.38 (−22.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥4.74 to ¥14.02). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.75 – ¥23.81 · fair‑value band ¥4.74 – ¥14.02 · the ¥11.19 price screens above the ¥9.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co (300374) currently trades at ¥11.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.38, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co generated revenue of 2.0B CNY at a net margin of -6.2%. Revenue grew 25.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.9%. Net debt stands at 751M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.74 (bear case) to ¥14.02 (bull case); at ¥11.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -16%, 300374 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥14.72) versus Multiples (¥1.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of prefabricated building products and services in China. It operates through two segments, Prefabricated Intelligent Manufacturing Products and Prefabricated Smart Construction services.
Full company description
China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of prefabricated building products and services in China. It operates through two segments, Prefabricated Intelligent Manufacturing Products and Prefabricated Smart Construction services. The company offers prefabricated wall materials, such as inorganic aggregate flame-retardant wood plastic composite wall panels, fiber reinforced cement extrusion hollow, decoration integrated, and lightweight cement wall panels. It also provides prefabricated structure systems, steel truss floor decks, SPC floors, and PC components; indoor and outdoor decoration materials; outdoor flooring materials; prefabricated garden landscape materialsmaterials; and wood-plastic handrails, square tubes, columns, slats, and keels. In addition, the company offers integrated housing solutions, including prefabricated emergency houses, integrated villas, integrated houses for cultural and tourism, etc.; and prefabricated construction services. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Beijing Hengtong Innovation Luxwood Technology Co.,Ltd and changed its name to China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co., Ltd. in August 2020. China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co reported revenue of ¥1.9B in FY2025 versus ¥422M in FY2021, a compound +46.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥121M in FY2025.
300374 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 253 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $102.92 | $70.57 | -31% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,711 | ₹4,719 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥54.52 | ¥13.95 | -74% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,073 | ₹1,245 | -59% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 15.42 MXN | -29% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥16.99 | ¥26.14 | +54% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹435.25 | ₹227.96 | -48% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹26,930 | ₹8,215 | -69% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.70 TWD | 10.48 TWD | -76% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 53.30 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -74% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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