Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. stock ¥13.06, price ¥19.28, that is 32.3% below the price, quality 74 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.32 – ¥38.21 · fair‑value band ¥11.52 – ¥16.46 · the ¥19.28 price screens above the ¥13.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group Co., Ltd. engages in production, designing, research and development, and sales of reflective materials and their products.
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It offers reflective materials, such as reflective fabrics for PPE, industrial washing tapes, reflective tapes, heat transfer vinyl and logo, reflective ribbons and piping, reflective yarns, and prismatic tapes.
The company also provides outdoor reflective fabrics, which includes rainbow reflective, silver reflective, gradient reflective, reflective printing, color reflective, and perforated reflective fabrics.
In addition, it offers safety vest, jackets, pants, raincoats, shirts and sweatshirts, and coveralls. The company exports its products to approximately 100 countries. Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077) currently trades at ¥19.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.06, 32% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥17.18 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥19.28 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.25, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥11.52 (bear) to ¥16.46 (bull), the price of ¥19.28 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. reported revenue of 769M CNY in FY2025 versus 792M CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was 130M CNY in FY2025, compounding −1.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.3B CNY (≈ $491M) Small · P/E ratio 27.5 · P/S ratio 3.62 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.7000 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 12.9% · Return on equity 10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −32%, 301077 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥11.52Fair Value ¥13.06Bull¥16.46
Price ¥19.28 · Downside -32.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3430 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+2.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Per share before 2025divided by the spin-off factor 1.46
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 19%
2025 sits 99% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.0% a year for the price.
Compare Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 336 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−32.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)12.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)13.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)48.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)27.5× · Pricier than median
P/B2.81× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.62× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)25.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA14.6× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 37
PAST (return on equity)40· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)31· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301077
Frequently asked questions
Is Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.06 versus a price of ¥19.28, about 32% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301077?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is ¥13.06 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.28.
What is the quality score of 301077?
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.06 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.52, optimistic scenario ¥16.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥13.06, about 32% lower versus a price of ¥19.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.52, optimistic scenario ¥16.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 906M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 1.56% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. pays a dividend of ¥0.3 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.6%. The last ex-dividend date was May 18, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. The payout ratio is 42.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.51 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +14.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301077 use?
Our models discount Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.83, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. that is +14.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +14.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (+14.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.91 %: that much free cash flow Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. it is ¥13.06 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of ¥19.28. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 301077 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥19.28, fair value ¥13.06, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301077?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥19.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.06). For Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. the two are ¥6.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. worth?
The market values Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. at about 3.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is ¥19.28; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301077?
Our models span a range for Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥11.52, base ¥13.06, optimistic ¥16.46 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price ¥19.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301077?
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.5 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥13.06 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.8, P/S 3.6, EV/EBITDA 14.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 10.1%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301077 from its 52-week high?
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. trades at ¥19.28, about 50% below its 52-week high of ¥38.21 and 6% above the low of ¥18.18 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price ¥19.28, calculated fair value ¥13.06 (−32%), Quality Score 74/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301077 calculated?
We run Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥13.06 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ¥19.28. Our model-based fair value is ¥13.06, about 32% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (74/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The market capitalisation of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 3.3B CNY (≈ $491M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 3.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. are ¥0.7000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The dividend yield of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 1.6% (payout 42.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The net margin of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 12.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The operating margin of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Revenue at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is growing +48.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. are growing −24.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Nov 3, 2026