Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. ¥13.26, price ¥21.90, upside -39.5%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.32 – ¥38.21 · fair‑value band ¥11.65 – ¥16.48 · the ¥21.90 price screens above the ¥13.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group Co., Ltd. engages in production, designing, research and development, and sales of reflective materials and their products.
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Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group Co., Ltd. engages in production, designing, research and development, and sales of reflective materials and their products. It offers reflective materials, such as reflective fabrics for PPE, industrial washing tapes, reflective tapes, heat transfer vinyl and logo, reflective ribbons and piping, reflective yarns, and prismatic tapes. The company also provides outdoor reflective fabrics, which includes rainbow reflective, silver reflective, gradient reflective, reflective printing, color reflective, and perforated reflective fabrics. In addition, it offers safety vest, jackets, pants, raincoats, shirts and sweatshirts, and coveralls. The company exports its products to approximately 100 countries. Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077) currently trades at ¥21.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.26, implying the stock looks roughly 65.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥13.35 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the ¥21.90 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.60, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥11.65 (bear) to ¥16.48 (bull), the price of ¥21.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. reported revenue of 769M CNY in FY2025 versus 792M CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was 130M CNY in FY2025, compounding −1.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.1B CNY (≈ $606M) · P/E ratio 28.8 · P/S ratio 4.86 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.7600 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 16.9% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −39%, 301077 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥11.65Fair Value ¥13.26Bull ¥16.48
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1175 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 19%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.4% a year for the price.
Compare Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 343 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−40% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Return on assets4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth21% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)28.8× · Pricier than median
P/B3.48× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)5.03× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF4.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA19.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)42· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)55· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301077
Frequently asked questions
Is Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.26 versus a price of ¥21.90, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301077?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is ¥13.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥21.90.
What is the quality score of 301077?
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.65, optimistic scenario ¥16.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥13.26, about −39% upside versus a price of ¥21.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.65, optimistic scenario ¥16.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 808M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.74% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +17.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301077 use?
Our models discount Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.76, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. that is +17.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies +17.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (+17.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.44 %: that much free cash flow Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. it is ¥13.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥21.90. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301077 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥21.90, fair value ¥13.26, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301077?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥21.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.26). For Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. the two are ¥8.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. worth?
The market values Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. at about 4.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥21.90; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301077?
Our models span a range for Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥11.65, base ¥13.26, optimistic ¥16.48 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥21.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301077?
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥13.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.5, P/S 5.0, EV/EBITDA 19.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301077 from its 52-week high?
Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. trades at ¥21.90, about 43% below its 52-week high of ¥38.21 and 20% above the low of ¥18.18 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Shenzhou International Group, Tongkun Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥21.90, calculated fair value ¥13.26 (−39%), Quality Score 73/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301077 calculated?
We run Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥13.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥21.90. Our model-based fair value is ¥13.26, about −39% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Key figures of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The market capitalisation of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 4.1B CNY (≈ $606M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 4.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. are ¥0.7600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The dividend yield of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 2.7% (payout 78.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The net margin of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 16.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
The operating margin of Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Revenue at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. is growing +20.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. (301077)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Chinastars Reflective Material Co.Ltd. are growing −2.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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