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Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group (301077) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 4.1B CNY

ZC Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group 301077 · SHE
Price¥20.60
Fair Value¥15.72
Upside-23.7%
Quality73/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.50% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range ¥12.59 – ¥20.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −11.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 24% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • Our model range runs from ¥12.59 (bear) to ¥20.74 (bull), base ¥15.72. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 73/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥38.21 ¥7.32 Fair Value ¥15.72 Sep 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range ¥7.32 – ¥38.21 · fair‑value band ¥12.59 – ¥20.74 · the ¥20.60 price screens above the ¥15.72 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group (301077) currently trades at ¥20.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.72, implying the stock looks roughly 23.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group generated revenue of 808M CNY at a net margin of 15.9%. Revenue grew 20.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 31.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥12.59 (bear case) to ¥20.74 (bull case); at ¥20.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -24%, 301077 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥12.48 ¥14.75 ¥18.83 80
Residual Income ¥6.11 ¥6.91 ¥11.77 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.97 ¥11.78 ¥14.15 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.21 ¥14.55 ¥19.13 38
Owner Earnings ¥11.27 ¥13.30 ¥17.28 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥9.97 ¥11.61 ¥14.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.79 ¥16.40 ¥21.36 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥14.43 ¥19.19 ¥25.06 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥10.71 ¥12.23 ¥13.90 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.50 ¥15.31 ¥18.45 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥13.48 ¥17.10 ¥20.78 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.19 ¥8.34 ¥10.05 54
EPV ¥11.23 ¥12.22 ¥13.06 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥12.59 ¥16.78 ¥20.98 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.07 ¥5.43 ¥6.79 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.73 ¥12.97 ¥16.21 55
EV/EBIT ¥16.71 ¥20.61 ¥24.51 53
EV/EBITDA ¥14.46 ¥17.61 ¥20.76 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.81 ¥10.44 ¥12.07 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.43 ¥4.60 ¥6.86 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥12.48 ¥14.75 ¥18.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.97 ¥11.78 ¥14.15 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.11 ¥6.91 ¥11.77 76
ROIC Compounder ¥11.31 ¥12.41 ¥13.54 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.87 ¥12.67 ¥16.48 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥14.55) versus Asset-Based (¥4.60). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 808M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.8%
Net margin 15.9%
Return on equity 10.6%
Free cash flow 128M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 31.4
More key figures
Operating margin 16.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7600
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -2.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group Co., Ltd. engages in production, designing, research and development, and sales of reflective materials and their products.

Full company description

Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group Co., Ltd. engages in production, designing, research and development, and sales of reflective materials and their products. It offers reflective materials, such as reflective fabrics for PPE, industrial washing tapes, reflective tapes, heat transfer vinyl and logo, reflective ribbons and piping, reflective yarns, and prismatic tapes. The company also provides outdoor reflective fabrics, which includes rainbow reflective, silver reflective, gradient reflective, reflective printing, color reflective, and perforated reflective fabrics. In addition, it offers safety vest, jackets, pants, raincoats, shirts and sweatshirts, and coveralls. The company exports its products to approximately 100 countries. Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group reported revenue of ¥769M in FY2025 versus ¥792M in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥130M in FY2025, compounding −1.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
769M CNY
Latest YoY
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+6.1%
Revenue −0.7%/yr
FY21 ¥792M
FY22 ¥733M
FY23 ¥698M
FY24 ¥792M
FY25 ¥769M
Net income −1.0%/yr
FY21 ¥135M
FY22 ¥98.1M
FY23 ¥97.5M
FY24 ¥148M
FY25 ¥130M

301077 screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301077

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −24% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.03× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 2 · sector 11
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 42 · sector 14
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 50 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group (301077) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.72 versus a price of ¥20.60, about −24% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301077?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group is ¥15.72 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥20.60.
What is the quality score of 301077?
Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group (301077)?
Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 808M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301077?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group is about 15.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.50% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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