Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd stock TWD 94.93, price TWD 54.20, upside +75.1%, quality 76 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 19.90 TWD – 74.13 TWD · fair‑value band 64.22 TWD – 123.41 TWD · the 54.20 TWD price screens below the 94.93 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Yem Chio Distribution Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the sale, import, and export of packaging materials in Taiwan, China, and internationally.
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The company offers tape series, electronic packaging materials series, cushioning packaging materials series, plastic bag series, packaging machinery series, paper packaging series, and packaging materials series products, as well as consulting services.
It also engages in the wholesale, import, and export of various wrapping materials, computer software, hardware, and peripherals; and sale of various adhesive products. The company was formerly known as Xin Chio Global Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Yem Chio Distribution Co., Ltd. in July 2024.
Yem Chio Distribution Co., Ltd. is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171) currently trades at 54.20 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 94.93 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 43% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 124.89 TWD per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the 54.20 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 11.43 TWD, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 64.22 TWD (bear) to 123.41 TWD (bull), the price of 54.20 TWD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Xin Chio Global Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 143M TWD in FY2025, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.8B TWD (≈ $54.7M) Micro · P/E ratio 9.0 · P/S ratio 0.69 · EPS (TTM) 5.99 TWD · Dividend yield 7.8% · Net margin 7.7% · Return on equity 31.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 75%, 3171 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear64.22 TWDFair Value 94.93 TWDBull123.41 TWD
Price 54.20 TWD · Upside +75.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.52 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.0% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+25.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20.3% vs 13.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 9%
2025 sits 152% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+75.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)31.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)7.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)11.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)107.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)7.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)9.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B2.33× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.69× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)13.3× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xin Chio Global Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3171
Frequently asked questions
Is Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 94.93 TWD versus a price of 54.20 TWD, about +75% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3171?
Our model-based fair value for Xin Chio Global Co Ltd is 94.93 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 54.20 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3171?
Xin Chio Global Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 94.93 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 64.22 TWD, optimistic scenario 123.41 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xin Chio Global Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 94.93 TWD, about +75% upside versus a price of 54.20 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 64.22 TWD, optimistic scenario 123.41 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
Xin Chio Global Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.6B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Xin Chio Global Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Xin Chio Global Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 7.79% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Xin Chio Global Co Ltd pays a dividend of 4.22 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 7.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 9, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2018. The payout ratio is 70.5% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.06 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xin Chio Global Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +6.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.1 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3171 use?
Our models discount Xin Chio Global Co Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xin Chio Global Co Ltd that is +6.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Xin Chio Global Co Ltd grew +4.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +6.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (+6.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.54 %: that much free cash flow Xin Chio Global Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xin Chio Global Co Ltd it is 94.93 TWD per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of 54.20 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Xin Chio Global Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, 3171 trades below its calculated fair value: price 54.20 TWD, fair value 94.93 TWD, a gap of about +75% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3171?
No. The price is what the market pays today (54.20 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (94.93 TWD). For Xin Chio Global Co Ltd the two are 40.73 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xin Chio Global Co Ltd worth?
The market values Xin Chio Global Co Ltd at about 1.8B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is 54.20 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 94.93 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3171?
Our models span a range for Xin Chio Global Co Ltd: cautious scenario 64.22 TWD, base 94.93 TWD, optimistic 123.41 TWD per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price 54.20 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3171?
Xin Chio Global Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.0 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 94.93 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 5.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 31.9%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 76/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3171 from its 52-week high?
Xin Chio Global Co Ltd trades at 54.20 TWD, about 27% below its 52-week high of 74.13 TWD and 29% above the low of 42.01 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 94.93 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xin Chio Global Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xin Chio Global Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price 54.20 TWD, calculated fair value 94.93 TWD (+75%), Quality Score 76/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3171 calculated?
We run Xin Chio Global Co Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 94.93 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Xin Chio Global Co Ltd currently trades 43% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 54.20 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 94.93 TWD, about +75% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xin Chio Global Co Ltd right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (76/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (64.22 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (64.22 TWD to 123.41 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171) come from?
Earnings per share at Xin Chio Global Co Ltd grew +6.9 % a year from 2013 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.6 %, EBIT margin +6.7 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
The market capitalisation of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd is 1.8B TWD (≈ $54.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd is 0.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
Earnings per share at Xin Chio Global Co Ltd are 5.99 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
The dividend yield of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd is 7.8% (payout 70.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
The net margin of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd is 7.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd is 31.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
The operating margin of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd is 11.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
Revenue at Xin Chio Global Co Ltd is growing +107% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171)?
Earnings per share at Xin Chio Global Co Ltd are growing +119% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Xin Chio Global Co Ltd (3171) carry?
The net debt of Xin Chio Global Co Ltd is 21.7M TWD (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 9, 2026