Hunan Oil Pump (603319) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hunan Oil Pump stock ¥5.44, price ¥22.24, that is 75.5% below the price, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.10 – ¥45.46 · fair‑value band ¥4.10 – ¥6.83 · the ¥22.24 price screens above the ¥5.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Hunan Meihu Intelligent Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of oil pumps in China and internationally.
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The company's products comprising diesel/gasoline engine oil pumps, mechanical and electric control variable displacement oil pumps, fuel pumps, gearboxes, hydraulic pumps, cooling water pumps, transmission pumps, integrated module products, hardened reducers, and precision gears, as well as high precision ferrous and die castings.
It also offers after-sales services. The company was founded in 1949 and is based in Hengdong, China.
Stock analysis
Hunan Oil Pump (603319) currently trades at ¥22.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.44, 76% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥7.10 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥22.24 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.26, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥4.10 (bear) to ¥6.83 (bull), the price of ¥22.24 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hunan Oil Pump reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 104M CNY in FY2025, compounding −14.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.7B CNY (≈ $1.2B) Small · P/E ratio 741.3 · P/S ratio 34.3 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0300 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −76%, 603319 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥1.26 to ¥29.85). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥4.10Fair Value ¥5.44Bull¥6.83
Price ¥22.24 · Downside -75.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥5.24¥5.22¥5.3776
EPV¥4.11¥4.58¥4.9874
ROIC Compounder¥4.11¥4.58¥4.9872
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥2.08¥10.98¥15.2163
Lynch FV¥3.02¥4.32¥5.6161
PEG = 1.0¥3.02¥4.32¥5.6157
EPV¥4.11¥4.58¥4.9874
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥1.86¥3.47¥4.9267
DDM Multi-Stage¥1.86¥3.11¥3.6967
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥4.82¥6.43¥8.0463
P/S Multiple¥3.90¥5.21¥6.5158
P/B Multiple¥22.39¥29.85¥37.3255
EV/EBIT¥5.81¥7.77¥9.7366
EV/EBITDA¥9.12¥12.18¥15.2467
EV/Revenue¥4.12¥5.92¥7.7253
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥0.8300¥1.26¥1.5854
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥5.24¥5.22¥5.3776
ROIC Compounder¥4.11¥4.58¥4.9872
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥4.48¥6.40¥8.3367
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.48/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.1% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−13.5% vs 3.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 7%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 655 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−75.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)2.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)5.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)13.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)741.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)65· sector 34
PAST (return on equity)9· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)13· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Hunan Oil Pump (603319) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.44 versus a price of ¥22.24, about 76% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603319?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Oil Pump is ¥5.44 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥22.24.
What is the quality score of 603319?
Hunan Oil Pump has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.44 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.10, optimistic scenario ¥6.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hunan Oil Pump stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.44, about 76% lower versus a price of ¥22.24 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.10, optimistic scenario ¥6.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
Hunan Oil Pump reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Hunan Oil Pump pay a dividend?
Hunan Oil Pump currently shows a dividend yield of 0.66% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hunan Oil Pump (603319) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Hunan Oil Pump pays a dividend of ¥0.147 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 18, 2026. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hunan Oil Pump it is ¥5.44 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥22.24. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Hunan Oil Pump stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 603319 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥22.24, fair value ¥5.44, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603319?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥22.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.44). For Hunan Oil Pump the two are ¥16.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hunan Oil Pump worth?
The market values Hunan Oil Pump at about 7.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥22.24; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603319?
Our models span a range for Hunan Oil Pump: cautious scenario ¥4.10, base ¥5.44, optimistic ¥6.83 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥22.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hunan Oil Pump (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603319 from its 52-week high?
Hunan Oil Pump trades at ¥22.24, about 49% below its 52-week high of ¥43.88 and 5% above the low of ¥21.13 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hunan Oil Pump?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hunan Oil Pump stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥22.24, calculated fair value ¥5.44 (−76%), Quality Score 33/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603319 calculated?
We run Hunan Oil Pump through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥5.44 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Hunan Oil Pump itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥22.24. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.44, about 76% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hunan Oil Pump right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Hunan Oil Pump (603319) come from?
Earnings per share at Hunan Oil Pump grew +11.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.5 %, EBIT margin −0.1 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hunan Oil Pump
How large is the market capitalisation of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
The market capitalisation of Hunan Oil Pump is 7.7B CNY (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Hunan Oil Pump is 741.3. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hunan Oil Pump is 34.3 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
Earnings per share at Hunan Oil Pump are ¥0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 741.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
The dividend yield of Hunan Oil Pump is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
The net margin of Hunan Oil Pump is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hunan Oil Pump is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hunan Oil Pump is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
The operating margin of Hunan Oil Pump is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
Revenue at Hunan Oil Pump is growing +13.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hunan Oil Pump (603319)?
Earnings per share at Hunan Oil Pump are growing −26.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hunan Oil Pump (603319) generate?
The free cash flow of Hunan Oil Pump is −53.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hunan Oil Pump (603319) carry?
The net debt of Hunan Oil Pump is 24.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 8, 2026