EN DE
Watch Alligator Energy Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes.
Data-driven stock valuation

Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Alligator Energy Ltd stock A$0.03, price A$0.03, that is 9.5% below the price, quality 23 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

  1. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Energy AU · ISIN AU000000AGE2

AE Alligator Energy Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Alligator Energy Ltd

AGE · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 9% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +22% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +186.2 %/yr in AUD)
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Fair value A$0.0308 · Overvalued
Quality 23/100
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
Watch Alligator Energy Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1150 A$0.0190 Fair Value A$0.0308 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0190 – A$0.1150 · fair‑value band A$0.0289 – A$0.0326 · the A$0.0340 price screens above the A$0.0308 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

Follow Alligator Energy in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Alligator Energy is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Alligator Energy Limited engages in uranium and other energy mineral exploration and potential future development activities in Australia. The company explores uranium, nickel, cobalt, and copper.

Show moreShow less

Its flagship properties are the Samphire Uranium Project; Big Lake Uranium Project; and Alligator Rivers Uranium Province, located in South Australia. Alligator Energy Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Spring Hill, Australia.

Stock analysis

Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE) currently trades at A$0.0340, while our estimate is A$0.0308, 9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0289 (bear) to A$0.0326 (bull), the price of A$0.0340 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Alligator Energy Ltd reported revenue of A$1.1M in FY2025 versus A$3.2K in FY2021, a compound +333.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$8.3M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$151M (≈ $104M) Micro · Return on equity −6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −206% · Revenue (TTM) A$1.4M · Revenue growth (YoY) +22.2% · Free cash flow −A$9.9M · Net cash A$11.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −9%, AGE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0289 Fair Value A$0.0308 Bull A$0.0326
Price A$0.0340 · Downside -9.5%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 2
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 84
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 3
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 31
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 38
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 52
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+225.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+186.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +31.2% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17,150.3% (2020) → −432.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AGE screens overvalued: fair value 9% below the price. Compare with Cameco Corporation →

Compare Alligator Energy Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 34 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −9.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −11.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 22.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.39× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.18× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)21 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)81 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 0

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
IsoEnergy Ltd ISOU $8.16 $7.18 −12% vs AGE
Uranium Royalty Corp UROY $2.96 $2.24 −24% vs AGE
Energy Fuels Inc UUUU $6.74 $4.84 −28% vs AGE
Uranium Energy Corp UEC $7.17 $4.27 −40% vs AGE
Boss Energy Limited BOE A$1.65 A$0.9600 −42% vs AGE
Centrus Energy Corp LEU $109.87 $55.95 −49% vs AGE
CGN Mining Company 1164 HK$2.28 HK$1.08 −53% vs AGE
Denison Mines Corp DNN $2.22 $0.9800 −56% vs AGE
Deep Yellow Limited DYL A$0.8800 A$0.1900 −78% vs AGE
Cameco Corporation CCJ $72.87 $10.06 −86% vs AGE

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Energy stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend StocksUndervalued 52-Week Low StocksStocks for 2027: Large Companies Below Fair Value

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Free calculator Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Free calculator
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorP/E Ratio CalculatorPEG Ratio CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorIntrinsic ValueIntrinsic vs Extrinsic ValueP/E Ratio by Sector
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Alligator Energy Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alligator Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGE

Frequently asked questions

Is Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0308 versus a price of A$0.0340, about 9% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AGE?
Our estimate for Alligator Energy Ltd is A$0.0308 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0340.
What is the quality score of AGE?
Alligator Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0308 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0289, optimistic scenario A$0.0326. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Alligator Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0308, about 9% lower versus a price of A$0.0340 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0289, optimistic scenario A$0.0326. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE)?
Alligator Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.4M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alligator Energy Ltd it is A$0.0308 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0340.
Is Alligator Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, AGE trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0340, fair value A$0.0308, a gap of about −9% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0340); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0308). For Alligator Energy Ltd the two are A$0.0032 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alligator Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Alligator Energy Ltd at about A$151M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0340; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0308 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGE?
Our models span a range for Alligator Energy Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0289, base A$0.0308, optimistic A$0.0326 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0340). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alligator Energy Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −6.2%, debt of 0.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGE from its 52-week high?
Alligator Energy Ltd trades at A$0.0340, about 38% below its 52-week high of A$0.0550 and 55% above the low of A$0.0220 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0308 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alligator Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, Uranium Energy Corp, Denison Mines Corp, CGN Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alligator Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0340, calculated fair value A$0.0308 (−9%), Quality Score 23/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Alligator Energy Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.0340. Our estimate is A$0.0308, about 9% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alligator Energy Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0326). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0289 to A$0.0326), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Alligator Energy Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE)?
The market capitalisation of Alligator Energy Ltd is A$151M (≈ $104M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alligator Energy Ltd is −6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alligator Energy Ltd is −5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE)?
The operating margin of Alligator Energy Ltd is −206% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE)?
Revenue at Alligator Energy Ltd is growing +22.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +225%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE) generate?
The free cash flow of Alligator Energy Ltd is −A$9.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Alligator Energy Ltd (AGE) hold?
Alligator Energy Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$11.5M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Alligator Energy Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Alligator Energy Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.