Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Aeris Resources Ltd stock A$0.36, price A$0.39, that is 7.3% below the price, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0850 – A$1.34 · fair‑value band A$0.2169 – A$0.4856 · the A$0.3850 price screens above the A$0.3570 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 12, 2026.
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Aeris Resources Limited explores, produces, and sells precious metals in Australia. It explores for copper, zinc, gold, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Straits Resources Limited and changed its name to Aeris Resources Limited in December 2015.
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Aeris Resources Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Stock analysis
Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS) currently trades at A$0.3850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3570, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$2.03 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$0.3850 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.2500, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.2169 (bear) to A$0.4856 (bull), the price of A$0.3850 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Aeris Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$703M in FY2026 versus A$387M in FY2022, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$179M in FY2026, compounding +133.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$578M (≈ $393M) Small · P/E ratio 2.5 · P/S ratio 0.56 · EPS (TTM) A$0.1565 · Net margin 25.4% · Return on equity 38.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 21.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 84 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −7%, AIS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.2169Fair Value A$0.3570BullA$0.4856
Price A$0.3850 · Downside -7.3%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0596 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFA$0.9800A$1.50A$2.2580
Growth DCFA$0.9600A$1.41A$2.0078
Owner EarningsA$0.8800A$1.34A$2.0176
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFA$0.9800A$1.50A$2.2580
Owner EarningsA$0.8800A$1.34A$2.0176
5Y Revenue ExitA$0.7400A$1.11A$1.5972
5Y EBITDA ExitA$1.42A$2.51A$3.8874
5Y P/E ExitA$1.28A$2.21A$3.2770
10Y Revenue ExitA$0.8200A$1.17A$1.6767
10Y EBITDA ExitA$1.22A$2.05A$3.3167
10Y P/E ExitA$1.13A$1.86A$2.8863
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddA$0.8100A$3.78A$5.1964
Lynch FVA$1.00A$1.43A$1.8661
PEG = 1.0A$1.00A$1.43A$1.8657
EPVA$1.01A$1.12A$1.2174
Multiples
P/E MultipleA$1.52A$2.02A$2.5363
P/S MultipleA$0.5300A$0.7000A$0.880058
P/B MultipleA$0.8400A$1.13A$1.4155
EV/EBITA$1.57A$2.06A$2.5666
EV/EBITDAA$1.89A$2.49A$3.0867
EV/RevenueA$0.5900A$0.8000A$1.0254
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)A$0.1900A$0.2500A$0.380054
Growth DCF
Growth DCFA$0.9600A$1.41A$2.0078
Rev-Margin DCFA$0.7400A$1.11A$1.5972
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeA$0.5700A$0.7800A$1.3767
ROIC CompounderA$1.09A$1.29A$1.5272
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/EA$1.42A$2.03A$2.6467
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17.4% vs 12.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 30%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−26.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −28.8% a year for the price and −1.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−7.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)38.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets19.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)25.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)21.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)39.4% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.3570 versus a price of A$0.3850, about 7% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AIS?
Our model-based fair value for Aeris Resources Ltd is A$0.3570 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.3850.
What is the quality score of AIS?
Aeris Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.3570 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.2169, optimistic scenario A$0.4856. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aeris Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.3570, about 7% lower versus a price of A$0.3850 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.2169, optimistic scenario A$0.4856. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
Aeris Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$703M (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aeris Resources Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -26.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.3 % per year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AIS use?
Our models discount Aeris Resources Ltd at 12.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.53, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aeris Resources Ltd that is -26.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aeris Resources Ltd grew +10.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -26.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aeris Resources Ltd (-26.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 27.08 %: that much free cash flow Aeris Resources Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aeris Resources Ltd it is A$0.3570 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of A$0.3850. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Aeris Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, AIS trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.3850, fair value A$0.3570, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.3850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.3570). For Aeris Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0280 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aeris Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Aeris Resources Ltd at about A$578M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is A$0.3850; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.3570 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIS?
Our models span a range for Aeris Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.2169, base A$0.3570, optimistic A$0.4856 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price A$0.3850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AIS?
Aeris Resources Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.5 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.3570 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 0.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aeris Resources Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 38.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AIS from its 52-week high?
Aeris Resources Ltd trades at A$0.3850, about 43% below its 52-week high of A$0.6750 and 12% above the low of A$0.3450 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.3570 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aeris Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aeris Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price A$0.3850, calculated fair value A$0.3570 (−7%), Quality Score 54/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIS calculated?
We run Aeris Resources Ltd through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.3570 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. Aeris Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was A$0.3850. Our model-based fair value is A$0.3570, about 7% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aeris Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (A$0.2169 to A$0.4856) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Aeris Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
The market capitalisation of Aeris Resources Ltd is A$578M (≈ $393M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aeris Resources Ltd is 0.56 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
Earnings per share at Aeris Resources Ltd are A$0.1565 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
The net margin of Aeris Resources Ltd is 25.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aeris Resources Ltd is 38.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aeris Resources Ltd is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
The operating margin of Aeris Resources Ltd is 21.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
Revenue at Aeris Resources Ltd is growing +39.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS)?
Earnings per share at Aeris Resources Ltd are growing +554% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Aeris Resources Ltd (AIS) hold?
Aeris Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$153M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Why does Aeris Resources Ltd meet the fair value rule although the fair value shown is lower?
Peak profit dampened: A$1.15 → A$0.3570. The latest annual profit is far above the years before, and such peaks rarely last. So we calculate cautiously with A$0.3570 instead of A$1.15. If the profit stays high, we ease the caution year by year. As in the backtest, the fair value rule checks the value before: +200% against the price.
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Thin data
Nov 12, 2026