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Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arbe Robotics Ltd. stock ILS 0.80, price ILS 1.42, that is 43.9% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology Il

AR Arbe Robotics Ltd. logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

Arbe Robotics Ltd.

ARBE · TA
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 44% below what the stock costs today.

Fair value 0.7990 ILS · Strongly overvalued
Quality 30/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.8 %/yr in USD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 5/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

15.15 ILS 1.26 ILS Fair Value 0.7990 ILS May 2024 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

29‑month range 1.26 ILS – 15.15 ILS · fair‑value band 0.5270 ILS – 1.00 ILS · the 1.42 ILS price screens above the 0.7990 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Arbe Robotics Ltd., a semiconductor company, provides 4D imaging radar solutions to suppliers of parts or systems, autonomous ground vehicles, and commercial and industrial vehicles in Sweden, the United States, China, Hong Kong, and Germany.

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It offers a radar chipset, including transmitter (Tx), receiver (Rx), and processor chips; and the Phoenix perception radar for free space mapping, object tracking, and simultaneous localization and mapping.

The company also develops radar chipsets for integration into advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicles (AV) sensor suites, as well as an array of safety applications with sensing and paradigm-changing perception.

Further, it develops multi-channel radio frequency integrated circuit. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Stock analysis

Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) currently trades at 1.42 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.7990 ILS, 44% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 0.5270 ILS (bear) to 1.00 ILS (bull), the price of 1.42 ILS sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Arbe Robotics Ltd. reported revenue of $1.0M in FY2025 versus $2.2M in FY2021, a compound −17.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$45.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 183M ILS Micro · P/S ratio 96.7 · EPS (TTM) −1.11 ILS · Return on equity −83.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −69.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1,399% · Revenue (TTM) $1.9M · Revenue growth (YoY) +157%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 5 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −44%, ARBE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.5270 ILS Fair Value 0.7990 ILS Bull 1.00 ILS
Price 1.42 ILS · Downside -43.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 0.6200 ILS 0.9400 ILS 1.18 ILS 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.6200 ILS 0.9400 ILS 1.18 ILS 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 90
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 43
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 25
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 2
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 3/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+33.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−56.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4,505.4% (2020) → −4,671.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ARBE screens overvalued: fair value 44% below the price. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 160 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −43.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −60.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 156.6% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.42× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 30.84× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Garmin Ltd GRMN $285.57 $314.13 +10% vs ARBE
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY $618.60 $680.46 +10% vs ARBE
MKS Inc MKSI $192.27 $199.16 +4% vs ARBE
Cognex Corporation CGNX $47.78 $38.10 −20% vs ARBE
Fortive Corporation FTV $65.37 $35.67 −45% vs ARBE
Trimble Inc TRMB $54.11 $29.48 −46% vs ARBE
Chroma ATE Inc 2360 1,250 TWD 607.12 TWD −51% vs ARBE
Coherent Corp COHR $192.81 $92.93 −52% vs ARBE
Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS $272.13 $117.27 −57% vs ARBE
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥69.73 ¥12.60 −82% vs ARBE

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Arbe Robotics Ltd.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arbe Robotics Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARBE

Frequently asked questions

Is Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.7990 ILS versus a price of 1.42 ILS, about 44% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARBE?
Our model-based fair value for Arbe Robotics Ltd. is 0.7990 ILS (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.42 ILS.
What is the quality score of ARBE?
Arbe Robotics Ltd. has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.7990 ILS (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.5270 ILS, optimistic scenario 1.00 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arbe Robotics Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.7990 ILS, about 44% lower versus a price of 1.42 ILS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.5270 ILS, optimistic scenario 1.00 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Arbe Robotics Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arbe Robotics Ltd. it is 0.7990 ILS per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of 1.42 ILS. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Arbe Robotics Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, ARBE trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.42 ILS, fair value 0.7990 ILS, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARBE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.42 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.7990 ILS). For Arbe Robotics Ltd. the two are 0.6250 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arbe Robotics Ltd. worth?
The market values Arbe Robotics Ltd. at about 183M ILS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is 1.42 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 0.7990 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARBE?
Our models span a range for Arbe Robotics Ltd.: cautious scenario 0.5270 ILS, base 0.7990 ILS, optimistic 1.00 ILS per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price 1.42 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arbe Robotics Ltd. (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −83.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARBE from its 52-week high?
Arbe Robotics Ltd. trades at 1.42 ILS, about 74% below its 52-week high of 5.58 ILS and 13% above the low of 1.26 ILS (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.7990 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arbe Robotics Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Coherent Corp, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arbe Robotics Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price 1.42 ILS, calculated fair value 0.7990 ILS (−44%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARBE calculated?
We run Arbe Robotics Ltd. through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 0.7990 ILS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Arbe Robotics Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 1.42 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 0.7990 ILS, about 44% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arbe Robotics Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.00 ILS). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (0.5270 ILS to 1.00 ILS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Arbe Robotics Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
The market capitalisation of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is 183M ILS. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is 96.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Earnings per share at Arbe Robotics Ltd. are −1.11 ILS. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is −83.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is −69.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
The operating margin of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is −1,399% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE)?
Revenue at Arbe Robotics Ltd. is growing +157% versus a year earlier (3y avg −56.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) generate?
The free cash flow of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is −$38.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Arbe Robotics Ltd. (ARBE) carry?
The net debt of Arbe Robotics Ltd. is $23.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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